Long-short sensitive time fighting to enter a choice of directions Money Tips

Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-04-05

Source: Beijing in the first place

Technical shocks can not be maintained too long, after all, need to select the direction of the market. Appeared in the February 27 seen for a decade after the Super Yinxian, long-short near the two sides in 2800 reached a certain balance of the five consecutive trading days up and down shocks, and fluctuations in space to gradually reduce, re-emergence of today's Hu Zhi rebounded to close out the one in Yang Xian, although to some extent reversed the bad technical trends, but did not completely reverse the negative super Yinxian effects, especially the large volume shrinkage speaks wait and see mood inside a large area has been the proliferation of the amount of the sum of the two cities is not more than 100 billion yuan, while an active degree of stocks has also drastically reduced, making money effect began to weaken, we believe that the medium-term adjustment has been established, and as an extension of time, more and more The investors will join the ranks of wait and see, which will lead down the index will continue to seek support, and the recent volatility is what investors in lower horizontal position, patiently waiting for the direction of the timing.

Focus 1: directional selection will be the recent emergence of pressures led to continuation of the medium-term adjustment.

After the Super Big Yin Xian, Hu Zhi point came in the 2800 balance of movements, but we know that a balanced situation will not last very long afternoon break will certainly choose the direction, then the super-bull market will continue rising, or enter the medium-term adjusted? Technically, five days shock process, the multi-resistance has not presented too much action, even the super Yinxian half did not touch, which reflects the strong and multi-Kongfangliliang forces weakened, and the Yinxian a big bang, Yangxiansuliang, as well as fast-shrinking volume also explains the phenomenon does have funds and planned out the market, and we see that Hu Zhi on February 7 gapped up also left a gap, at 2677.04 points, This is just an ordinary breach of the index has a downward attraction, and then from the point of view Huzhi average in the last five trading days around the average number of short-term shocks, but they have formed a downward cross, therefore, according to the above these phenomena, we believe that even if the index under the impetus of recent heavyweight, is expected to rebound, but the pressure of the internal market is already quite large, so afternoon is expected to continue downward Hu Zhi seek the bottom of the support, renewal of the medium-term adjustment, is also That is, the recent signs of any rise or rebound, are investors to reduce positions, risk-averse time.

Focus 2: weight of blue-chip rally to continue weak, wait and see mood entering the fast spread phase.

Yesterday the two blocks in leading the overall strength of the real estate section today, the overall strength of banking stocks plates have confidence in the market produce a more beneficial effect, particularly in home loans to borrowers in today's banking stocks, or large rose sharply today, Hu Zhi The main driving force, such as the ICBC the largest increase approaching 6%, China Merchants Bank close to 8%, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank is the impact of once daily limit, but the overall point of view, the medium-term adjustment process is still in a technical rebound, such as ICBC, China Merchants Bank fell below 60 in the day after the medium-term moving average produced a rebound is the same yesterday, Vanke, China Life, Ping An Insurance and others are listed in a record low since the rebound after, so we believe that such a rebound less intensity, continuity is not strong, driven by the intensity of the index is also not much. At the same time into the mid-course adjustments in the market trend of more and more became clear, they wait and see mood spread quickly in the afternoon, today's Shanghai and Shenzhen cities Turnover shrank to billions of dollars under the proof of this point, but in today's index rose in the process of Most stocks are not moving in silence, and there is no corresponding, individual stocks sharply lower degree of activity, so in this environment, the money effect of weakening stocks slump will be the main features of the market outlook.

Focus 3: to take a prudent operating strategy mainly focus on avoiding systemic risks.

Since we have confirmed that the advent of the medium-term adjustment of the market opportunities to reduce, then what kind of strategy is to take the biggest investors in the market outlook task. We believe that one, rallies continue to reduce the position is the preferred strategy, or more than 200% of the larger environment, the index of the medium-term adjustment of the lethal stocks can not be belittled, especially for underperformance Unit, compensatory growth stocks, stocks of anti-subject matter force, so any technical rebound would be a significant reduction in the timing of position; 2, long-term concerns in advance of adjustment of the blue chips, index shares such as weight, in the context of super bull market, they provide a better fall in intervention timing, but the key is bargain-hunting approach, rather than chase the operation; 3, purchase of new shares may well be a very sound strategy, after all, purchase of new shares will not lose money, and stuck. Fourthly, there is no support for the performance of stocks, pre-or large underperformance shares, but also can be taken quickly out strategy. In general, the release of systemic risk has not yet concluded, the risk-averse investors the biggest operation strategy.