Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-02-12
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: Marxist philosophy that: things are: production, development, climax, ending. Several stages. Disk has not yet found out that a big bull market peak Quotes. From a philosophical perspective, there is a wave of afternoon should have the characteristics of the stock market overall increase. This method, right? ... ...
Today, broad market continued to rise, in the face index stood almost 4200 points, the market reach the peak of the argument endless, endless. How to determine the broader market in the end the top of it? The key is how are we going to judge it?
Now that the tape is already at the top of people, mainly with the theory of price-earnings ratio - that the big city, the current average price-earnings ratio has risen to 40 or so already on the high of. Or is to use up too much of the theory - that a starting point Quotes from 1000 to the present have risen by more than three times the rate of increase is very large, they have already reach the peak of the.
We are here from another perspective, from a philosophical point of view to analyze and come to another conclusion.
Is to give investors a major new ideas and new perspectives.
1, we should try to use philosophy, Marxist philosophy in particular, to analyze the current stock market.
Philosophy that the general law of development of things is that everything has its own: creation, development, climax, ending. Several stages. This is from nature, human social activities, summed up the most general law of motion.
Humanity is summed up with this philosophy, to analyze, predict a variety of nature and human social activities.
From a philosophical theory, it should also be applied to analysis of the stock market. Of the stock market is also a kind of human social activities. And from a sense that it than is currently used by some investors, theories - including the fundamentals of economics as the main analysis to the technical side as the main statistical analysis in the theoretical system to a higher level on the . Philosophy is human knowledge and transform the world of the most general way. It is more than economics, statistics in the theoretical level is higher.
Especially in the present, in considerable part of the traditional theory of market participants, with economics, statistics to analyze and predict the stock market, the case of repeated errors. We should try to use philosophy, Marxist philosophy in particular, to analyze the current stock market.
With a higher level of theory to analyze, predict where the current stock market.
2, from the disk analysis, this is only a Quotes production, development stage, still not have a climax stage.
This is a great bull market began in November 2005. It has undergone the following stages:
First, the resulting phase. It is from November 2005 to July 2006. It is this generation phase of a bull market, it has accumulated a substantial increase in the stock market momentum. This is the main force to create a bargaining chip in a bull market the initial collection phase.
Second, the development stage. It is from November 2006 to January 2007. This phase of the wave of the market out of the bull market indices. However, in-depth analysis, this is a local big bull market and going well but blue chips. It can only is this a bull market of the development stage, but can not be the climax stage, when the overall increase in the stock market does not have the features.
Third, the half-way adjustments. It is from January 2007 to March 2007. Is a tape into the interim period of adjustment.
Fourth, another upswing. It is from March 2007 to the present. Its main features are: index climbed, hot spots in order to subject the main unit.
From the characteristics of the analysis, this stage can only be another form of local bull market. - Shares the subject matter is a major bull market, but there is no index, no blue chips participation. In the great bull market, the blue chip is the first major leading role.
Therefore, we can hardly say that this stage is the climax of the bull market phase.
In other words, from the disk we have not found that this bull market out of the climax of a market, have not found an overall increase with characteristics of the stock market.
3, from the philosophy, Marxist philosophy in particular, to analyze the current stock market, market outlook, there should be high tide Quotes.
Marxist philosophy tells us that anything develops, it will have its climax stage. Applying this principle to analyze the current stock market, then it should also be a great bull market has its climax stage.
At present, the bull market from a look at the whole process, we have not found this stage of development. Therefore, we expect the index will be out of the afternoon wave conditions to overall increase - index of blue chips, other stocks are rising with the tide Quotes.
Of course, whether philosophical, especially the Marxist philosophy and to analyze the current market, can accurately predict the stock market has yet to be taking another look.
There is also only from a new perspective to analyze the purpose was to give investors one more analysis, research point of view, point of view.
