Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-05-20
Measurement period is based on the history of the cycle have occurred as a measuring point to measure the time interval between points of measurement cycles, and then combined with the measurement period measurement derived forecast points, the predicted point together to find the greatest frequency of predicted point, which is the biggest turning point in the probability of occurrence.
The first step, choose an important turning point in the history of dates.
For example May 17, 1999, June 14, 2001, April 16, 2003 and other early stage of the high and low points, etc.. In general, do long-term forecasts need to select the turning point in history, especially the long-term focus on selecting the top and bottom of the time; in a short-term forecasts refer to the recent high and low points of time on it.
The second step, choose the measurement period.
In each of the interval between the two turning point. Suppose we have chosen 30 hours turning point, and their time interval a total of 29 +28 +27 +26 + ... ... +3 +2 +1 = 435. In 435 cycles, there must be the same or similar cycle, simply merge similar items, then there may be more than 100. We choose a high frequency, as predicted by the measurement period.
The third step is the first step in an important turning point election date, with all of the measurements of each cycle, select the forecast period.
As long as the time in 2004, for example, they can be turning point in 2004, a number of projections.
The fourth step would be close to one-time compared to the forecast date of a simple merger, and select the highest frequency, we can get some time to come measurement cycle turning point.
According to measurement cycle theory, we expect, June 15, 2004, March 4, 2004, January 20, 2004, August 30, 2004, October 21, 2004, May 12, 2004, etc. date of a better chance of a turning point, because their measurement cycles and forecast higher than the frequency of turning point, investors can pay attention to.
