Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-01-18
Hurricane "Matsa" come to the capital, the parties are nervous tension. Fire protection, security, neighborhood, full start, said that tens of thousands of members of staff prepared to meet the challenge, only such "Matsa" to come.
Such a development is so dramatic, wait two days later, "Matsa" has vanished! Until yesterday morning, "Matsa" only played a few sneezing, sporadic drizzle floating down the capital, with the legendary horror of "heavy rain" quite different galaxy from.
Clearly, the terrorist "Matsa" gentle performances, so that weather experts, no face!
Thus the host thought, our stock analysts and weather experts, people who have too many similarities, Stock Analysts to predict the market trend as the rice bowl, meteorologists rely on analysis of changes in the weather to make a living. Since it is predicted, will inevitably be wrong judgments, the two different is that the accuracy of weather experts, slightly higher, while the Stock Analysts forecast errors are routine, but occasionally, when an accurate prediction is particularly suited down.
Caring people has had to look at CCTV, "the stock market weather" forecasts predict the probability of error column more than 90%, most analysts bullish when the broader market potential down; when professionals are pessimistic about the look empty when the broader market is often magical rose. The host thought that CCTV "stock market weather" forecast accuracy of about News Network after "weather forecasting" 30%!
Objectively speaking, the difficulty of forecasting stock movements far more than forecast the weather, hundreds of satellites in a 24-hour monitoring of atmospheric changes, cloud, air panoramic view, forecasting usually pretty close together; and predict stock movements is not the case, the investment by tens of thousands, influencing factors is extremely complex set of systems to predict if the tape who compiled more than 70% accuracy, I am afraid inventors will be able to win the Nobel Prize!
Although the "Matsa" to the weather experts, opened a little joke, but after a combat exercise in disaster prevention and awareness of all the people has improved significantly, we can not not be a good thing. Our Stock Analysts are not so lucky, prediction error, a Gouxue criticized by investors sprinklers, you say that injustice is not wasted?
Therefore, the weather is still a day to look at, but stock analysts read the article, or less suitable. Our stock analysts who are not low level, but the stock is not pondering such a thing, to predict, it is difficult!
