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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
The nature of the average line
The analysis of the moving average is a dark horse to select stocks that another effective way of shares. Moving average line is the analysis of price movements in a way, it is primarily within a certain period of time will be the average share price, according to the average figure line. usually the daily average K-line diagram and a diagram drawn in the same, so easy analysis and comparison. By analyzing the movement of average and the average line and the K-line to determine the relationship between the timing of the sale, or to judge the general trend of direction. advocate the use of moving average line, believe that the majority of small daily transactions, the volatility is an important trend is only a small episode, if the over-emphasis on these small fluctuations, but easy to overlook the main trends. It was felt that analysis of stock prices should have a broader perspective. use of the average line of approach, focusing on the trend of price changes. the general average sample number 3 days, 7 days, 10 days and 30 days, and so on, and even long-term average sampling time up to 150 days and 250 days. who have been able to use technical analysis to analyze the average price movements, because it has the following basic features:
1: Trends of the characteristics of average stock price movement can be expressed the basic trend.
2: Characteristics of stable moving average did not like the Daily ups and downs, but the landing was very smooth. Upward, the average line is often slowly upward, downward as well. To change the average movement of the trend was not easy.
3: The security features are usually more long-term average line, the more security features can be shown that the moving average will not easily go up to down, must wait for the city of potential uncertainties, the average line will really change direction. Often City, potential began to fall at the beginning, the average line is upward, until the city, a significant potential drop potential only when the see the average decline. This is the most significant feature of the average line.
4: have implications for the characteristics of stock price up from an average of the bottom line of breaking, the average line also began to move up, can be seen as bullish support line, the average price dropped back near the line every time when the forces that support will naturally occur. Short-term average moving up fast, medium and long term moving average line of slow moving upward, but they would not necessarily mean the average holding period of an increase in costs
5: to help stock price fell from an average of online properties, under the direction of a breakthrough, the average bottom line has thus begun to move into a short time average of the resistance line, rebounded to an average market price for each line in the vicinity, the naturally occurring resistance to . Therefore, in average downward movement, when stock prices rebounded to an average of the time near the line are sold, the average time with a help line or function. If the market is slowing down, with an average line began to slow down, this time If the average price again close to breaking the averages may start upward rally, this time moving average of the help function or weakened.
The moving average system to capture the main Shenglang short individual stocks to capture the main Shenglang premise is: the best is in broad market rally stage, at least be stable, it is best not to fall trend speculation. Each section has its own lead those who saw the lead dynamic, and immediately after a second look at stocks. Selected stocks must be in a rising channel, and 5, 30, 60-day moving average line, showing a double "golden cross", the average system that is issued a "buy signal the end of speculation." When the Unit 5, 10-day moving average were taken at the March 21 break up after the 30-day moving average, then its average system will form a "long arrangement." In particular, whenever a pullback to 5, 10, 30-day moving average line
Tip 2: For some must have occurred early gains, and then finishing at a high level Suliang stocks, once again average upward divergence, indicating that the forthcoming new round of offensives, such as the Mudanjiang (600,173) since 1999 will be a long-term bullish, 2000 3 since 10 yuan on a platform near the finishing, binding together the three moving averages, but in March 2001 13
Tip 3: For the short-term or excessive stocks, once the 5-day moving average inversion is broken down to an effective 10-day moving average line, it indicates that the Unit has in the falter and the hopeless situation, investors should sell fast clearance and profits end.
Tip 4: Domains under heaven, together, tends to divide a long, long period of division combined, averages also true. MA Cross generally have a technical callback time, cross-correction, when up to buy, cross-sell when the downward correction. 5 and 10-day moving average is up, and 5 in 10-day time line to buy if they do not break 10
There is a trend in the market in the moving average line advantages:
(1) the use of moving average price line can be observed the general trend, regardless of price changes occasionally, so that automatically selects the timing of access to the city.
(2) the average line showing the "access goods" of the signal, will reduce the level of risk. No matter how the average changes, but reflects the way to buy or sell signal is the same as. , That is, if the stock price (must use the closing price) down pierced moving average line, that is, selling securities Signal: On the contrary, if the stock price upward red moving average line, is related to the cargo signal.
In the absence of market trends in the moving average line Disadvantages:
(1) The system can be derived by analyzing the average number of trading signals, but the average response system itself is slow and difficult to grasp the trend of peaks and troughs of stock. Should therefore be combined on K-line, KDJ indicator, OBV curves and other analytical methods, through a variety of technical analysis methods to determine the trading strategies.
(2) the price volatility of small leather city, an average line of a compromise on the price of being, there are cross-type levels of access cargo signals, so that analysts can not be conclusive in the absence of trends during the period, repetitive loss will be inevitable , and therefore should be selected at this time other technical analysis methods.
Moving average parameter settings
At present a variety of technical indicators used to measure the city a lot, use the method, application scope, the use of different principles, but some of the indicators appear in the user accuracy is not high, it is difficult to be effective. From now on the subject of our discussion is how a number of technical indicators to set the parameters so as to enhance their users in analyzing the accuracy of price movements, to play a greater effectiveness.
In a variety of technical indicators, I have been very fond of using the moving average system to determine price trends, and that the system is used to determine the average price movements can not be replaced by other indicators have a role. In many users view, the average system parameters (in days) set to 5 days, 10 days, 20 days or 30 days is commonly used to set method, but I believe that at the present stage in China's stock market, 55 days, 120 days, 250 -day moving average number of days is the ideal setting, it may be said: the short-term average number of days the system can only provide the user with some modest profits, but long-term average system can find a big dark horse for us to generate huge profits, and when the price decline, this three moving averages often provide us with Buying or sell into rallies time.
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From a number of share prices doubled in the movement of large Niugu not difficult to see a breakthrough on a file that is 55 days long-term average, 120 days and 250 days moving average is necessary for the formation of large bull market conditions, even though shares in these stocks over the long-term averages are not there will certainly be substantially higher, but there have been sharp rise in individual stock price rose sharply both in the long-term average after the break. Once the long-term average was arranged long and began to diverge at this time will be out of the continuous price rise shocks Quotes.Moving average of the averages have implications for the role of
Granville studied the laws of the moving average line of eight investors, all know that moving average of stock price movements have implications for the role of aid fell. 1250 MA from the moving average rule is the law of Granville on the basis of eight, summed up the development of a new self-contained moving average real theory, it is with Georgia's law has extended the theory, so Georgia's law in many of the conclusions are in 1250 law has its counterpart in the form of, in addition to the previous system, introduced in 1250 averages of various moving average of the price trends have implications for the role of foreign aid or, as in the 1250 law, we are formed by the average number of average group of systems, the corresponding The moving average of the moving average systems have fueled the help or between phenomena, and is a long-term average 120-day moving average and 250-day moving average of the short-term 20 day MA's fueled the role of aid fell.
Have implications for the role of the 120 days (250 days) moving average is up, or go flat state, more useful. First, we look at the rocket Legend shares (600,879) between 1999 and April 2000 the trend between 1250 MA system can be found in two distinct fueled the point, one in November 1999 when the 20-day moving average tends to 120 been fueled role-day moving average, stock prices run up, because when the market trend of non-cooperation, stock prices did not continue to rise. Another point in January 2000, 20-day moving average by the 120-day moving average support, followed by the general trend for the better, the stock price movements in the volume of effective cooperation with the sharp rise. These two points are obvious between the fueled the point of moving averages.
Other examples are many, like this 20-day moving average moving average fueled by the large role of the arising market, common in the stock market, we can open the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets in the stock charts, you will find a large number of such a trend form, in which we also find that the implied market opportunities.
For this moving average trend fueled the form is not difficult to find its formation mechanism, in fact, we have described above the 20-day moving average moving averages Jin Cha and big selling points is formed through the opportunity to have revealed such a view: " average price across the Great does not mean that future trends continue, 20-day moving average of the cross is to confirm the continuation of the trend. " In fact to say: "good in stock price cheat line, while the trend line it will be difficult cheated a lot." In fact this "average rebound" is effectively identify the main banker is one good way to cheat the line, there are a lot of technical analysis have also paid great attention to 120-day moving average and 250 day moving average at the role of attention to the 120-day moving average and 250 day moving average located for technical stop-loss position, so that some main dealer price break on the intention to support the major averages to create a "bear trap" forced to leave the technical set stop-loss, so the main banker reached the purpose of disk cleaning technology to follow suit. But by the 1250 average for the system in the moving average bounce rule, we can clearly see their true purpose and manipulator of the bottom line. Therefore, we used 1250 law in the "average rebound" theory, which can identify the main lines of the short deceive another profitable market opportunities.
And have implications for the role described above, are very similar, but totally the reverse is the average fell between the role of aid, the simple explanation is that 120-day moving average and 250-day moving average fell to 20-day moving average will help the role. In particular, a downward trend is very clear the 120-day moving average or 250 average. 20, crossing the line and there is no major moving averages, but in the near-through when Hou, forming moving averages fell between the phenomenon of help, that is, 250.
The use of moving average to capture the stock will soon pulled up
Actual combat in the selection of individual stocks in the stock market there are a lot of technical analysis software and a very many ways, but they can not do without technology, the most fundamental factors: volume, price, line. We are now introduced to the method is to use price-volume line, lines, namely the average system to quickly capture the banker into the Zhuang Xi Pan, the upcoming pulled stocks. First, we will average the system is set to 5, 20, 60 days and 120 days, if the system is only three moving averages, then you can set to 20, 60 days and 120 days. Set up a good average in the system, specific application is that when the dealer the gradual accumulation volume when you zoom, the stock rise, five-day online wearing 20 day MA, 5, 20, wore another 60 days and 120 day moving average, Throughout the moving average system, arranged to form long after the price rise also to a certain extent, the dealer will naturally Xipan. Xi Pan, when the dealer will normally suppress the very low stock prices, stock prices have fallen below 5 MA, 20-day moving average and 60-day moving average and even 120-day moving average, so that short-term moving average was arranged short, 20-day moving average continue to drop, but the banker is Xipan nature of the medium and long term rising channel 60-day moving average and 120-day moving average will not be affected, is still up, or go flat in the state. After 20 day MA then fell after rising early, or go flat in the 120-day moving average convergence of the formation of the state in the 20-day moving average and the 120-day moving average convergence process, the drop in stock prices began to stabilize and gradually converge on the wearing of 20 and 120-day MA. Investors should note that this time, and once the day price-volume breakout above the 60-day moving average, preferably in a bald Yang Xian 60-day moving average breaking above, then the day before closing is the best point of intervention.
For example, Yanhua ascribed to high through the early fall after March 9, 2001 On this day, 20-day moving average convergence and 120-day moving average after just 60-day moving average stock price-volume breakout a few days, an increase of 20%. As another example, the North's shares in the October 25, 2000 before the stock price shot up through the early fall, after finishing 20-day moving average and 120-day moving average convergence of the state was after the stock price-volume breakout 60-day moving average, the results of more than a dozen stock trading day up more than 50%. Such an approach is the result of long-term practice, the summarized income, so the success rate is very high. The reason for convergence of two moving averages, the volume, breaking 60-day MA and then to intervene, because after making a long Xipan line after the market cost, then volume, breaking 60-day moving average, then the dealer Xipan after the conditions are all aspects already have, the real pulled up will begin.
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