|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Qinhong Bohai Investment
Conjecture 1: Will the broader market, after the first tune up
Probability: 70%
Comments: First 51 holiday next week, the last trading day before, while the historical trend shows that in a bull market cycle, the holiday has a zoom feature to do more effects. Therefore, separate ways is more the mentality of funds holding festive strong, most likely next Monday's afternoon session after looting plate movements, it does not rule out the following Monday, A-share market appears to emphasize the possibility of following up the trend.
Conjecture 2: Will the rebound in the steel plate
Probability: 60%
Comments: Steel shares are listed on the adjustment of this weekend was mainly due to a quarterly shows that the steel industry in the first quarter compared with 2006 fourth quarter net profit chain growth is limited, therefore, some institutions in order to suppress reduction of share capital. However, as iron and steel industry, a quarter of high growth trend, as well as iron and steel industry, listed companies are in keeping with "small companies and large group" feature, therefore, does not rule out that such stocks rebound next Monday.
Conjecture 3: the frontline index stocks once again come forward to protect tape
Probability: 65%
Comments: At present, first-line index stocks exposed to greater motivation to do more the one hand, rapid economic growth into a strong momentum, while the first-line index stocks are the backbone of national economy, enterprise, in the context of rapid economic growth, first-line Indicators do more stocks with strong momentum. The other hand, because the injection of expectations, stock index futures, and many other subjects is expected to give it ample space for the valuation premium.
Conjecture 4: brokerage stocks will once again do a dark horse
Probability: 75%
Comments: The recent A-share market bull market trend is very clear, which means that the biggest beneficiary as the bullish performance of the brokerage is expected to be rapid growth in funds separate ways around the brokerage stocks are still the main line tap potential of this stock. With the current A-share market, after record high, will stimulate more capital inflows into the concept of brokerage shares.
Conjecture 5: Will the media section is still strong
Probability: 65%
Comments: Due to a significant market capacity of the media and the media have a strong injection plate is expected to make the media shares higher again in the week. Although the media business, business is not complete, this is bound to inhibit its reasonable valuation of space. However, the plate is facing a very strong short-term capital injection is expected, therefore, within the expected short-term rising again.