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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Shanghai Securities News Gandan
Conjecture 1: Monday, red tape
Probability: 60%
Comments: Although the A-share market down Friday ascribed, in particular the Shanghai Composite star appeared in a Red Cross movement, but because of the current performance of listed companies grow beyond market expectations, as well as two tax merger-expected appreciation of the yuan, and many other strong to do The existence of multiple kinetic energy, there may be further ascribed to the market next week.
Conjecture 2: Opening of new shares of the Fund appear dark horse
Probability: 70%
Comment: In the January to February warehouse funds transfer process, the early or too large financial services, wood furniture, real estate, food and drink, cultural transmission has been underweight, the electronics industry, textile and garments, electricity, utilities, oil, chemical, paper, printing and other industries to be overweight, these stocks most likely to be a star.
Conjecture 3: Car Plate is expected to rebound in
Probability: 65%
Comments: The recent fuel duty vehicle subject to the effects of plate movements sluggish, but because of the fuel tax is a tax reform rather than the consumption tax and, therefore, does not inhibit the desire of residents to buy cars. Therefore, after a period of adjustment, car plate has accumulated a certain amount of bounce momentum is expected to rebound next week.
Conjecture 4: The overall concept of re-listing of a dark horse
Probability: 60%
Comments: There are broker reports that: "central enterprises restructuring and the overall market is often understood as the stocks market, but for now, may become the drivers of the year to deepen Quotes." This point of view, the central enterprises listed holding company as a whole listing of A-share market is expected to become a hot topic, but also is expected to become a major highlight of next week's tape.
Conjecture 5: ST segment trend rebound
Probability: 65%
Comments: ST segment there are two main themes, one does not share reform theme, the second is to re-theme. In fact, in stock reform process, often implies a re-stock reform + expected, so ST stocks tend to change the course of realization of black-bone chicken stock variable Phoenix trend, therefore, short-term shocks will not change the long sought after shares of funds of the ST.