Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-09-17
Source: Shanghai Securities News Qin Hong
Conjecture 1: There is Black Monday?
Probability: 60%
Operation Strategy: As the A-share market plunge this week, five of the short-term technical pattern makes the Shanghai Composite completely deteriorated, especially in the process decreased the amount of shrinkage can mean that stocks in the short term more difficult to attract new capital Jiancang desire . So, do not rule out there next Monday to continue the trend of slump.
Operation Strategy: Due to the short-term trends in the market has completely changed, therefore, pre-mainstream varieties, and the current valuation of the more obvious arguments can be actively sought to lighten up the plate, and even clearance.
Conjecture 2: real estate stocks can decline stopped and stabilized
Probability: 60%
Operation strategy: the RMB exchange rate once again this week, five strong, hit 7.7613, the highest since the exchange rate reform, which is the largest real estate stocks decline stopped and stabilizing power. Does not rule out internal appreciation of the renminbi in the short term trend of strong and rebound possible. In the operation, suggest that investors pay close attention to regulatory policies are not affected by the yuan appreciation, but a positive impact on the resource-based real estate stocks. At the same time, for the overall market share is expected to change after the high-quality real estate stocks may also be concerned about Wantong pioneer merchants, shares hit home and other days it is.
Conjecture 3: Shanghai Hong Kong shares will reproduce the dark horse?
Probability: 65%
Operation Strategy: Recently Shanghai has repeatedly strengthened the local unit and its main driving force is the broker's backdoor with the acquisition of high-quality group of assets or group listed as a whole. In the operation, close attention to the current stock price rose more obvious advantages of small but shell resource stocks, Shanghai Maling, Asia Tong shares, etc. is a good choice. Meanwhile, industry consolidation is expected to have the power of the shares Jiang'nan Heavy Industry Company and other controlling shareholders have a solid strength of individual stocks can also be tracked.
Conjecture 4: Will the brokerage stocks are still strong?
Probability: 65%
Operation Strategy: This weekend has been a result of Changjiang Securities backdoor and suspension Shijiazhuang Refining-Chemical recovery, but because they had been rushed from the pay firmly sealed in the limit-board, therefore, the industry believes the stock is likely to copy the shares continued to limit-urban movements This will naturally stimulate the individual stocks have a higher stake in Changjiang Securities passion. However, in practice, be sure to choose those who do have a margin of safety but also has room for imagination of the brokerage stocks, Gezhouba, Guidongdianli and other firms can be tracked.
