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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Author: abnormal warm winter
Ningbo Fubon (600,768): Unit fundamentals poor, the Agency is not more remarkable. The reason why the stock's concern, mainly the operation of the main trace of the main unit, compared to current technological form, to form the short-term outstanding opportunities for speculation, the Unit at the current location may produce retaliatory rebound. Similar to the stocks have the opportunity, if there are selling points, there are generally two features, first, the heavy volume after falling Su Liang, on behalf of weaker short kinetic energy, is a prelude to a rebound. Second, the first row Su Liang down the amount of the last storm setback setback often occurs selling points. Ningbo Fubon (600,768) belongs to the former. The following elements of its speculation.
One of the key points: the per capita holding 7440 shares of non-blue chip
Read from the Access to Information Unit, the Unit-quarter earnings on a per capita ownership is 7440 shares, 7440 shares were in possession of a considerable concentration of belonging to a bargaining chip stocks, ownership concentration reached or exceeded this level of individual stocks are more What kind of stocks? More are some good assets, the Fund held a large number of concentration before they become a higher share to each account. Ningbo Fubon (600,768) in the first quarter earnings per share were 0.019 yuan, net assets per share 123 million, and did not give the expected high growth in the major subject. Such stocks are usually no competition for other institutions, and its per capita Chi Chou concentration is so high, can be seen as a single agency (or the interests of the same body), "Zuo Zhuang." In order to form the unit with the pricing and the overall market, I think the main stock holding at least 70% of the outstanding shares.
The two key points: first, heavy volume, after a serious oversold Su Liang
June 16 stock price was up 12.63 yuan to 6.73 yuan Thursday lowest in more than 20 trading days to the biggest drop of 46.71%! Am afraid it is the largest decline at this stage the two cities share. Perhaps you will say that this trend is shipped, the fall, I am also in favor of this point. Main force resistant to the present, its strength should not be questioned. But if you are the main force, 70% of the flow of chips is about 2500 million, 0.1 yuan per Change money of 250 million yuan, a continuous down, the main will be a gap between what kind of psychology?
More importantly, the distribution volume of the unit revealed that opportunities for speculation. Unit since June 29 lower limit was clearly a big bang, June 29 to July 5 the five trading days of the turnover rate was 22.25%, respectively, 38.37%, 26.04%, 27.60% and 25.37%, so a high The change hands, apparently the main result of the impact of the behavior, according to the subsequent drop shape, this trend is often shipped. Remember, the main force in the capital market at all times in the pursuit of maximizing their own interests, because a lot of the main chips, the average selling more than a penny per share, for the main run, are a not a small amount. Since July 19 the future, the stock fell during the early fall significantly compared with Su Liang. But its shares from the July 6 closing price of 8.38 yuan to 6.8 yuan dropped to the current line, to this period, turnover and market environment, the main opportunities and the number of shipments is difficult to achieve, the major proportion of the book market is big shrink, This is obviously not the economy!
The three key points: co-destructive revenge rebound can be expected
In a recent Ningbo Fubon (600,768), the same region, another stock Ningbo Fuda [Quotes, data, news, forum] (600,724) has also appeared plunged in turn exacerbated the short kinetic energy, makes the fall more thoroughly, Ningbo Fu Da (600,724) destruction and suppression of the momentum of its rebound. Concentration of kinetic energy release of short, often a prelude to a rebound. The intensity of its potential rebound? This is the only part of the investment issues of concern. I think that is the main force to determine their rebound. From the preceding analysis, we can obtain the following two conclusions: first, the main strength; Second, the recent fall in Su Liang, the main book has shrunk severely. In general, the main way to ship a lot, such as the right to change hands with the active production of high pour the illusion, but the first high-traded, after the Su Liang shipped directly to suppress unlikely. To do so would maximize the benefits in line with the main force. City, there may be taken on subsequent rebound in manufacturing heavy volume, rapid and pulled to attract off-set to follow suit in order to achieve delivery. And the main force to achieve self-interest maximization, shipping is usually a lengthy process. To sum up, the major may be seriously oversold by technology, launched retaliatory rebound. Famous cities such as the current truck center Jinyu Zhuanggu [Quotes, data, news, forum] (000803) After crash, after heavy volume, up from the lowest point of 3.15 yuan up to 6 yuan, the biggest gain in nearly doubled.
In short, the unit does not have the investment value, but the speculative value of very prominent. The stock plunged to 12.63 yuan from 6.8 yuan frontline, experiencing high traded, Su Liang and then crash a serious oversold technically, retaliatory rebound about to begin, do not rule out the possibility of afternoon consecutive daily limit.
Special Note: similar to the volatility of large, often more than expected, for the weaker investor risk tolerance, non-participation. Note that the unit belongs to short-term speculative variety, pay attention to risk control, I have the above analysis is purely personal point of view for reference purposes only.
