Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-07-05
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No way to predict the place of countermeasures
http://www.jrj.com 2007 Nian 05 Yue 14 Ri 03:16 Shanghai Securities News
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â?ZHANG Xiao-hui
Bull market has also brought joy to bring trouble to eat without any advance booking Buxing Le, restaurants, waiters look inside the door greeting guests a rare scenario, individual restaurants are full to the brim of; "Golden Week" tourists who go out series is also worse than the Red Guards. 51 ago to travel agencies, one to see long queues had to go first, too lazy to wait for the second is definitely out where where are all human beings, rather than spend money on Zuishou, forget it.
There is a friend on msn suddenly become unfamiliar, and the original "depressed" and "ascetic" has become a "grasping a limit-board" and "doubling monthly," "money printing machine", but to let cautiously Ask who is who, and then began to chat --- very angry, changed his name should obtain permission from the police station Hu Jijing you?
Swelling, abnormal expansion of the bull market so kind, so that everyone felt "too talented a"!
There are also distraught, often receives a telephone call, "the market is not the adjusted? I came out, how old can not do callbacks," which is the short positions; "The market will fall? I Mancang, is not the risk of too big "? This is eating a belly stocks. Very strange, how to look more bearish are so whisperå? This is not "Magan children Dalang, 2 fear" do?
I can only say that the market could crash at any time, it is likely to continue rising, so much to look at space.
"This does not mean that Yao did not say, watching the empty, but also to do more? You tell me how many points index can go as high bar"?
Beijing is ranked one-day team has not run into a household stupefied; 4:00 am Shanghai are waiting in line to buy the fund; Tianjin, there are no transactions for lodging, and anger over a question, the original orders to buy 70 shares of its own does not meet the rules, At least 100 shares, is called toad salute --- (Lo) of a small hand; some places, also took usury, real estate mortgage, and then go kill.
All right dry, see the Internet playing the stock a result, the network of several brokers can not get a question, the new investors entering the market too much, net blocked. --- How angry they can not help but feel there are so many people have Internet access?
Take a look at the analysis of stock market articles, valuation less, say more than the concept, and subject matter, imagination, such a word flooded; some private out of a period of time, and now looking at broader market rose every day, recovery is also No, do not chase no.
Tape gone really strange, days after the amount of traffic on the day, but the sky-high price for this? Sing the air, it is very awkward, early in the fall, so how can it not fall? Short people are more embarrassing, the index to climb along the line of 5,10 days, more than 40 days climbed over 1300 points, refuse to rest and!
How many can go as high point? God knows.
Valuation Gao Bugao it? To say that the high bar, and some stock is now only thirty or forty, in the future can be on the 100, 200; to say that is not high, China's stock market and there were no penny stocks, this is not a normal bar, take a look at the qualifications of some enterprises to give it a bit more than money, then what we have now a fewå? The market does not matter the level, the main it is not rational, a "few kilometers from heaven" are not rational.
Stock index futures on the market have any effect? God knows. Although there is no lack of articles analyzing and forecasting the macro length films are, neither can most people eat pork, let's also never seen pigs run; a small number of people have seen a pig run, can not eat pork (originally in foreign countries, earned That simply is not enough to do Liangqian futures); both eaten pork, pig run have seen people there are less.
The strange thing is, many people will ask the broader market could not risen à à point, or I can stock rose to à à dollars, it is that you can decide got it? This is where you can predict got it?
Let's children can not afford to do the job, is said to be able to forecast only "prophecy in mind," according to legend is the key link Yuan days, Li Chunfeng writing, also known as "Tui Bei Tu," predicted the beginning to the later Tang Dynasty Empress Wu Shi Er lot, but it was legend.
å±can do? Up to what a stock price,å±do not know, but how much money fell,å±resolutely stop, always aware of; in a stockå±lose up to how much moneyå±also be aware of the keyboard in theå±hands,å±fingers grow on the body, it is alwayså±they can do the Lord's right?
So, feeling the market is not good, ahead of shipment is wrong, the market has not bad-na, so impatient? After all,å±not a big body, really want to go out a minute or two do not run light it? Really feel bad when the firm it wants out.
No money is that two categories of people: One frequently do short-term, jumping to catch up with a lot of consolidation, missed a lot of the surge; second is to predict market correction, then came out and so on, the result is not a callback , helplessly watched index rose more than 1000 points.
Forecast itself is not normal, because the projections are far too dependent on their own judgments, while ignoring the facts themselves. Rogers great emphasis on the fact that, for example, he said the world has 25 years, did not find the world's biggest oil fields, and planted wheat, the land has been reduced, and this is his reason to see multi-commodity futures, the conclusion is not right, yet to be verified, but at least He caught a thing, and that is fact.
The fact is very important, we tend to like to listen to a variety of sources, receive back a host of information, but we ignore the facts, ignoring his own eyes and see the fact that the market is going up; ignoring him to control the risk the fact take advantage of their own destiny, that is a stop bit Let's break came out.
What are the facts? The fact is, the market keeps rising.
It's that simple.
One day the market really bad, and we immediately come out it wants to.
The face of unpredictable market, we need to do is develop a good response in advance, the market's face look better how we do? Does not look good, how do we do? The market if the "take the lead shot," we must "jump the horse." As for how the market will go, it depends on the market themselves, and most will let us predict market surprise. Increase the reserve ratio seven times, repeatedly raising interest rates, the results come out a lot of people scared.
Stop to their stock settings, and the implementation of the guards up their stock, controlling their own funds to develop more precise rules, it is enough other things to let the market tellå±forecast Shier, not busy, does not want to understand Shier do not want to.
Response prediction can never be replaced, the fact itself is the most important.
