|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:2009-12-12 2:34
On "quantity", it is difficult to judge is a limit, in addition to a very small number of especially prominent position, how many heavy volume count the number of operators Su Liang, in fact no one can follow the law, often is a "potential", that is the trend of heavy volume and Su Liang's hungry trend, from the overall trend of the pre-judgment and the then state of the market changes, as well as hard to understand changes in market psychology, which requires a comprehensive analysis to determine, and each person may be a different view.
Most of the time heavy volume is a good thing, but sometimes rather heavy volume is a bad thing, sometimes Suliang can become a good thing, we need to have is the general understanding of this tricky.
First talk about the big bang, for the broader market heavy volume better than the Su Liang, one need not be too concerned about the two days of heavy volume, but after a clear periodic heavy volume will have to rise to a high degree of attention, indicating the next most likely change disc, the most recent tape, there This trend, let us note that in recent phase of count this week, a five-week contribution, taking into account the trading day of the week during the Spring Festival reduction can be considered a continuous seven-week contribution, that is, not a unilateral up here is not a unilateral down from the daily and weekly line can be clearly seen the signs, according to my analysis, or a similar effect in November 2003 over a wave of mid-level market, either through this heavy volume, after entering the last five waves (C waves) bear tragic end a fall. Remains to be seen.
Volume on the broad market is as follows: a big move upward trend in the amount of secondary phase as the index rose will be able to maintain a sustained amplification, the amount can not keep up with the downward trend is bound to return, such as the amount of discharge too quickly or abruptly larger than fast, will also lead to follow-up to the amount of energy can not maintain a steady downward path back to arise. The upward trend of the mid-and late to make money as cover their share reflects the effect of big area of Lock, volume reduction, and the prices of late, and fell again early signs of heavy volume, and then zoom in with the rebound put volume contraction index step by step to the , the bull market of the Su Liang often bear the heavy volume than the large, they are not the same in each stage, telling the truth about the recent rise in the 1200 decline is not too big cases (tug of war, I remember 98 years, and there have been cases body of tug of war)) consecutive 10 billion more than the amount of really cherish.
And then to talk about the heavy volume stocks
A decrease of channel followed by a sudden rise in massive and rapid release of Su Liang (usually two or three days on the seen), 90% of the scam, can not buy. In the medium to long term rising channel, followed by a sudden massive release and rapid Su Liang, as long as days after which stock prices fell in quick succession, the majority still show (usually scare people). After the long-term stock price pushed up sideways at a high level after the crash after a row (mostly consecutive limit-down) immediately appear heavy volume upside, 99% are the main ship can not buy, even if the stock price has fallen 90%; the above-mentioned stocks rise after fall Continuous heavy volume after volume of the long bottom to lead to massive re-Su Liang never after, so that the bottom of the composition after (usually takes at least one month or more cycles) signs of recurrence up heavy volume, after careful observation after admission option , probability than the first time in heavy volume on the power when you most, but remember that this is only a rebound in a wave of relatively large (generally 30% or even higher), such shares will be new lows later. Type of dish Zhuanggu day changing hands jumped 20% or more are common.
2, long-term rise in a row, big Niugu heavy volume up (usually 3% to 10% per day, according to the status of individual stocks and the whole trend to be) when you need to guard against the situation. For example the recent 600,331 such shares, the stock settled in the main from 2003, after two large-scale Major Holders the right to re-calculate increase of more than 100%, the recent month, appeared in 200% change hands, change hands daily average of 5%, nearly 2 month from 4 yuan to 5.8 yuan, Tai Yin Tai Yang consecutive hatched big bang from top to bottom, this heavy volume is a typical right into the shipping market, is called mixing well Moyu the beginning, when pulling heavy volume may be shipped difficult, but a long time, it was to see where the non-cross-down, or the rise and shock to the people to create a lot of opportunities, so they continue to have "fish" swim in the past, the process of continuous heavy volume can make the retail bait fish in troubled waters type of shipment on the success. Let us look at Maotai, Su Ning, Commodity City, and other stock that is not heavy volume could have been rising continuously, although a day or less (as opposed to 600,331 or so often on the table) of the overall gains are very large, far more than some fast up shares, they are as long as no heavy volume, it's a relatively safe.
[1] [2] Next Page
Recently, some accumulation of a huge second-line blue-chip gains accelerated, and there are also signs of heavy volume, although not 600,331 as typical, but still worthy of vigilance, once to go down to resolutely avoid. Suning of these funds for a number of giant warehouse Kong Pan's shares, once the trend to go bad, you do not break long line of casual rebound, institutions Bao Tuan also heating lines, fallen trees and scattered monkey Sun, fled up is faster than the one in the past the bank Auto petrochemical aviation unit is an example, once the industry to switch to bad, is no longer optimistic about the company or up to no end, I believe that the near future, and transportation stocks will be re-guided complex nature, and as the collection and transportation of these stocks just boom only once after a long cycle business cycle also finished (in the concentration of Sinopec Qilu Petrochemical, have already monopolized the market share has been very difficult to improve the economy to rely on industry, degree of maintenance, port development to a certain extent can not be further increased its container throughput, continuous pulled speculation simply can not be sustained for too long time) In fact, China is true almost all the votes. In short the stock funds, the main event of a heavy volume Shigekura down must be highly vigilant and must not be rebound. Please note that such shares or too large, the main profit too much, the former stage and is now desperate, immeasurable is to pull up the next fall ready, with the last two years 200%, 300% increase compared to down 30% 50% meant nothing. Starting point for grasping the Shenglang to participate in the most equitable exchange market foreign exchange market through train is not necessary to make only a sure win
These days a large number of pre-strong signs of second-line blue-chip appeared heavy volume, particularly those who ascribed to lower the collective and warrants vigilance.
Another non-ferrous metal plates heavy volume is also very clear that many species appear heavy volume stagnation and fluctuated signs of vigilance.
3, 90% were heavy volume Suliang Zhuanggu the process of re-heavy volume, in this case is strong Zhuang Gu, operating cycle is very long, we should guard against high and high continuous heavy volume continued to decline after the heavy volume (head is not a big bang, in the halfway up the mountain a big bang, such votes are often among the main benefit a large number of positions, once the shipment is irresistible).
4, the majority of the so-called bottom of the heavy volume increase is not reliable (apart from the great bull market), are generally 12 days or a few days, market, up to doing the short-term, one left who look anything but reassuring, like so many scams, there are many cases and morphology, we can see from 2003 to find many examples of this year. That the bottom of the heavy volume of the reason for suspicion is that down so much, up a couple of days then the 5% to 15% of which occur so easily so many orders, unless they are the main force in the inverted. Comments on the Internet two weeks before seeing Tiantonggufen 600.33 thousand, many people reply in the good, is not only ridiculous, if the main really need to do many things, guilty of consecutive weeks that put such a large volume (several times when the days change hands 10%), to know the time of their cumulative gains of 30%, especially from the bottom of the heavy volume of history, and a minimum 6 yuan rose to 606 yuan on the Japanese changed hands 10%, from 6.3 to 7 yuan a succession big change hands, you take a look at the amount of per capita holdings: to reach more than 1 unit, obviously Laozi and Zhuangzi to be shipped, from the perspective of changing the words of Chuang, nor because of the similar stage in a long time put a perfect scale type heavy volume reduction (not fast) form, if done, must have the ideas, the use of the main form of shipping do earn a little smaller, so as to avoid fooled stuck. In addition, I found that a bear market slowly climbing up slowly heavy volume nor reliable, I recently ate a loss, I have calculated that to understand, the main strength will not be such a strong climbing operations, or wish to vote 600,399 shares of the class.
5 consecutive daily limit heavy volume is a good stock, especially in advance with the broader market (half a day or days) to start, it may first select the short-term intervention, to observe. Premise: 1, the bottom region, two, stock news and no news or obscure subjects 3, not opening the sealed limit-4, leading with the broader market early and firmly Feng Ting, followed by (third day, afternoon or second) tape also appeared to a good sign 5, the general daily limit in the second and third days of intervention, depending on the circumstances on the fourth day the fourth-yang could also consider entering. 6, suitable for professional speculation hand, we have no time to observe the amateur it is difficult to grasp.
Previous [1] [2]