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On the volatility of the issue financial management tips tips Bar

Data:2009-12-12 2:34

Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-05-20

This is a long-debated topic Gann researchers, have been looking for. Whether the volatility is what I know some of the domestic masters and friends, have their own opinion, but nobody can really comprehend Mody.

My knowledge is also a personal point of view, the following contents for reference.
In fact, the movement in our laws of nature are relative, are formed under certain conditions, lose its existing conditions, such laws would disappear.

In my research reveals that (it's set aside all the books to understand) the following points:

1, there is the movement of the stock market volatility there is volatility, but volatility in the number of out there, from weak to strong.

2, there are fluctuations in the rate of structural fluctuations in the stock market volatility structure is passed in the mathematical model.
3, volatility rate of a direct impact on the strength of the strength of the trend.
Stock with a different trend, volatility is also different. If the fluctuation rate is different, and each wave of increasingly faded and the virtue of Huan Yong Tan Qu W Falcon blowing ฤก 2ว˜ ๎‡?Organization, shed the milk teeth really that cough frequency was cough-mo nightmare acyl ๎ƒ?book shed the milk teeth ๎Ÿ?feed nightmare frequency brain vent yuan umbrella a hot core? .19 Quotes and the usual increase in market, volatility is different.

4, as long as there is volatility, there is volatility.
Volatility of price fluctuations inherent properties, but it is not an inherent property of the stock. It represents only a certain volatility in periodic structure along a certain degree of volatility in the role.

Also important to note the different trends in the volatility of volatility, there are some specific rules, but the fluctuation of the death with the disappearance of the trend. Do not think you have a tendency to find some kind of rule, you can move anywhere in the application, then you are wrong. Different causes, leading to different results in different patterns. Sometimes, though on a very similar shape, but the causes are different. Only by understanding the causes of fluctuations in order to know the volatility of results. The so-called history repeating itself and not a metaphysical returning, but to reproduce the causes.

In the round of the round, time and price of the resonance is only revealed as part of market volatility, are you still missing 1 / 3 area. For example, a fist fight in a strong person's body, and playing in the weak person's body without the wind, the effect is different. Detrended fluctuation angle and shape of the judged, is the remaining 1 / 3. You can refer to the Gann angle lines, but by no means high and low points are used to sub-paragraph, but the trend where the strength of the relationship between the angle and time, its usage Ziwu bar, they come here.

Reference: round wheel of time + price point + time-line perspective

Gann 4,6 the time cycle is the time in its essence.
However, if the loop reaches 6 or 7, when the square, then the basic cycle of a cycle will be over. Behind the figures should not be re-use, highly volatile. A result of the search for a new starting point, or a higher cycle charts, such as weekly, monthly line, annual lines.

The difference between investment and speculation is that the former: the volatility of the market can have a full analysis of knowledge.
1, and be able to objectively estimate the odds of your rates, win lose ratio (that is able to win much, lose much).

2, can estimate the market potential risks, proper precautionary strategy, namely, how to escape a bad situation, the key is what is the situation for the poor, which is that you had a good grounding.

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3, for buying and selling price and time for the right judgments.
The latter: that do not understand the market conditions in the market, to follow suit, listening to the message, or just feel of, and draw no distinction between poker game is good or bad, you do not comment.

The difference between investment and speculation is here, any market investment and speculation are all co-exist, the key lies in the role of intervention.

The remaining question, I would like you to consider to understand.

When inflation is not up, can not stand the waste.
The key lies in what shape, what price, when the bull.
When the down is not down, not down they are stronger.
The key lies in what shape, what price, when bearish.
What is the price when it should go, when not yet reached the What is the price.
This is what we used to determine whether the market should be an important basis for a turning point.
In other words, a price, the market should be at what time, what form to achieve. Reached, the market will continue to follow the trend, did not meet, the market turning point will occur at this time.

The key is how to measure the length of time. In fact, this question I in the previous post, it had metaphor, and some things that only your own enlightenment out, is their own, so you can flexibly.

Technical analysis is the rational and irrational and anti-technical analysis, in fact, learn technical analysis, you can only preserve capital. But once comprehend the meaning of anti-technical analysis, you will really profit.

Because you use technical analysis to see everyone to see. You can see with the anti-technical analysis is that we can not see.

The so-called anti-technical analysis is based on technical analysis theory and found that the stock transaction. Because a lot of transaction shares when they arise, often to violate all the principles of technical points, or banker who is making money.

You can see the top-down break arc, which is a precursor to the standard drop, but it happens quickly pulled up and never came back. Hey the worst is that you have just the loss of the Ta Kong.
Never turn to confirm the market potential, until the time beyond the balance. I think we all remember this sentence in the psychological, indeed this is the most Gann theory, the essence of one is to study Gann cycles, Gann's shape, price, time and the potential relationship between the major criterion.

Time is an important yardstick to measure the development of things, such as the person's life contains many stages, from childhood to youth, middle-aged, old age. The time between each stage has a division, we are being called a critical point. The time did not go beyond this critical point, you go wrong the infant as young people. Once the time beyond this critical point, then the stage of the transition occurs, the cycle of nature is to run like this, this is the cycle time for the law of the critical issue is to study the laws governing the operation of the laws of the market cycle. But the key is in the stock market, there is a periodic pattern are many, you can find the stock market this critical time constraints. For example a year, 24 solar terms, each solar term is a critical time period, but the role of each of the different solar terms. Only the beginning of spring it marked the beginning of spring.

Another point, the time to address the balance, shape and price, with potential major breakthrough in the relationship. It is often said, must be a long drive up or down a long drive will, and this is when the trend in a state of maintenance, the maintenance of this state until the time beyond the maximum tolerated, that is the trend turning point occurs. But in the end is up or down, this fluctuation patterns and trends, fluctuations in the relevant terms, such fluctuations, and fluctuations in shape and angle is formed by the investor mentality. For example, when each rising very fast, very steep angle. The decline is very slow when the angle is very slow. It illustrates a good mentality, buying power sufficient, hard weaker. This round-trip times, more and more people to invest in psychology to strong, and this kind of psychological maintained beyond the equilibrium point of time when the trend will be an explosion. If, in turn, increased the speed slow, down fast pace of change, indicating investors to invest in psychology began to fatigue, loss of confidence begin to invest, so that repeated several times, this kind of psychological time, once beyond the balance point to maintain the trend would have been a turning point. Similarly, if the rise and fall quickly, and it illustrates the psychological instability, but once the situation to a situation in which the above-mentioned two kinds of development, then the trend has already started brewing up until the time of breaking balance, unilateral Quotes will show up. The so-called time to go beyond balance, the psychological investment of time beyond the psychology of the maintenance of the maximum time to endure. For instance, some people have been stuck with the stock, and can also be the beginning, but as time went on, and my heart began to impetuous up every day looking at other stocks on the rise, while their shares continued to fall in one day, will no longer tolerate the sell the stock swap. This is the time to endure beyond the balance, the trend took a new turn. Holdings will be like this, not because of losing money, but because of ** can not bear. Then the other hand, if you think carefully, you'll have the entire morphological analysis re-understanding of the technical analysis will be a deeper insight, a better understanding of the nature of volatility, so that you will really know the market. That is, Gann said, the different causes lead to different results. This is the essence of technical analysis, understanding the law, understanding the law and to study how the law is, and the final application of the law.

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The last quote the words of Gann never confirmed until the time of the market potential beyond the balance transfer.


4 for: July 2


[Round 360 degrees, with nine-digit figure of the root causes of all of mathematics. In a circular surface, can be set to a four-square and triangle, but in its internal, but also set up four square and round, and in its external, but also can be set as a four-square and round, these proved that the market operation 4 for. ]


In fact, Gann implied here is very clear, including:


"Round 360 degrees, with nine-digit figure of the root causes of all mathematics." It also means the root cause of all the cycle. "In a circular surface, can be set to a four-square and triangle, but in its internal, but also set up four square and round."


In some sense:


Refers to the trend can be included in the trend of smaller away from it, but also can be set as a four-square and round.


In some sense:


Refers to the existence of a trend of a larger trend. "These proved that the market for four runs,"


In some sense:


Market trends in any one run by the four basic components: namely, four-Oriented


A time


2, price, three patterns, four active degrees (that is, the market sentiment, trading volume) This is also the analysis of markets must be the reference surface, rather than a single aspect.

On "When the time to visit with the price into the four shape is changing its stance that is at hand," July 4 Gann's more obscure words, but also very simple. Gann referred to here, four square, not a random four square, but rather specific. For example, the chart you draw up a four-square, when you chart the price - the time change in ratio between the coordinates, then it is no longer a square of four. If you can not find a stable four-square, then the Gann terms of this statement also does not make sense to you, because you do not have a reliable determination conditions.


Gann referred to the four square, that means a certain proportion of the (chart price - the ratio of time coordinate) of the drawn four-square, when the trend in the four square diagonal, that is, when running on an angle of 45. Trend should belong to balance the rise in rates, or lower.


Quotes for the rise in terms of balance, increased strength is not strong not weak. When the increase in large and 45-degree angle, the stronger the trend. Weakening trend in less than 45 degrees. So, here is a 45-degree angle is the strength of the watershed. According to laws governing the operation cycle will find that, when the trend is running higher than the 45-degree angle, the price cycle, play a major regulatory role, and time constraints played a secondary role in cycles. When the trend of less than 45 degree angle, the time period constraints play a major role in the price cycle, played a secondary constraint reuse. An analogy that only the confidence of investors is sufficient to make an upward trend in higher than the 45-degree angle to run, then if you encounter an ordinary high time to cycle upward trend will not have much impact, unless prices reach a high degree of warning area. Conversely, if investors lack of confidence, or, if on edge, when the rise is difficult to a high degree of 45 angle, then if you encounter an ordinary high time to cycle, are likely to produce heavy losses on the trends, and even took a new turn.


But when the trend runs along the 45 degrees, when the major high pressure to coincide with important period of time, when, when the role of the two pairs of markets are equal, and those arising from the resonance is the largest, which is the square of the number of the biggest principles. This resonance can lead to the trend took a new turn.


Therefore, the "link" this sentence means that when the important time period with key price resistance into a square when the turnaround that is before us.
How do you choose this final critical ratio graphics.

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