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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Investors still early high degree of fear psychology, and with the advent of 11 holiday, some investors took off the bag for the security strategy, and because some of the leading led or large, there have been some of the selling pressure, resulting in a fast sell into disk from time to time, but because of the market environment remains very stable, different funds are still operating according to its own steps to their own shares, so whenever there is fast approaching sell into there will be bargain hunting , on the whole the market has remained good upward trend, Hu Zhi early today continued upward approaching the high point of the whole remain strong oscillations, the formation of well-supported short-term moving average, trading volume also continues to be maintained at a stable level can be considered short-term market two possible trend should accelerate the upside, strong through the high points, to 1,800 points to enter, one big triangle withdraw sword early 1700 near the neckline, and then continue upside, different trends should be taken to a different operating strategies, So how should investors do?
You can see, this week, the biggest market, a strong upside momentum comes from two aspects, one part of the strength of blue chips today, the bank accepted the HKEx Listing Committee of the hearing and the trial to the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued Commission to submit pre-trial Guo will apply, the lower the issue price on the current plate has a stimulating effect on banking stocks, the recent record high G China Merchants Bank, the entire plate has obvious signs of financial involvement, while the real estate by doing my part in the continuous appreciation of the renminbi under the impetus of the entire plate continuous very good today, a breakthrough 7.93 yuan mark once again refreshes a new high, this part of the blue-chip stocks had a strong stabilizing effect on market confidence, inhibited a considerable part of the selling pressure. The second aspect is related to B shares rumors Monday (September 18), B-share index reproduction limit-scene, giant heavy volume rose more than 90% of the stocks to reach daily limit, while the factors for this phenomenon is that the market for A , B shares combined with strong expectations, due to the implementation of the QFII system, foreign mergers and acquisitions and the introduction of the bill have overseas listing of domestic enterprises, coupled with the RMB exchange rate tends to the market, the future of direct exchange is inevitable, so B-share market in a very awkward position in this context, B-share market in the future will definitely be cold, then the solution of the problem from the B shares into a management agenda, resulting in a strong expectation of capital inflows on a large number of B-share market, which also directly contributed to the strong A-share market.
But for these two main factors, we can carefully analyzed, is not it can continue to promote the A-share market appears strong breakthrough in the trend is accelerating up.
First of all, technically, real estate, banking stocks after a continuous rise in technical indicators are already in high, and have been signs of departure from the top, that is, while continuing upside will be subject to a strong sell-off, while banks, real estate and other broad market stocks need money more upside in the current volume level, there a low probability of such a trend, especially in the just break 1700 points, faces the occasion of previous high, we believe that multi-impossible to adopt such a strategy. And if the initiative to withdraw sword, to confirm the vicinity of 1700 points, that is, pre-large triangular neckline bit, the rhythm of the market will be more healthy.
Second, the environment, banking stocks sustainability of a strong plate, while the medium and long term, bank shares rose plate still has a good space, an upward trend intact, but recent gains have been very high, from early August when the increases have been more than 30%, and Friday is G China Merchants Bank H shares listed on the Hong Kong stock market the day being released today, the bank prior to the hearing could be considered, G move up the line to meet the one hand, H shares listed on the one hand, for the ICBC listing prepared, then when these two things have been coming to an end when, G Merchants Bank can not continue to do upside?
3rd: B stock's strength is the A-share market in the past few trading days does not want to transfer an important factor, especially in the Monday, A shares Hu Zhi repeatedly adjusted downward, but ultimately closed out the red plate, B-share market is the most important factors, then A-share market in the relevant part of the hot plate has also been speculation and stabilize the people's minds, as the A-share market, the intrinsic motivation upside though, but the three-day oscillation has been shown to begin blocking the short side, and from the disk of view, to follow the broad-market index, after a hot little blue-chip, a considerable number of stocks above the heavy pressure, although the disk in the crowded, but for investors in terms of operability but has been greatly reduced, profitability more difficult, even of the chase and the loss-making situation.
In summary, we believe that, in the current point position and the environment, multi-continue to directly take the initiative to retreat than a strong uptrend, the upside of the foundation is more solid, it will be more conducive to the healthy development of Quotes, that is, If there is a continuous trend pulled investors out rallies, lower position would be a better strategy, in contrast, if there is to test withdraw sword down to near 1700, it is the investor bargain-hunting, increase position time. Different trends, investors should adopt a different strategy to be effective to avoid the risk of profit.
