Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-02-24
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Our preliminary conclusion: big city, crazy Quote basically completed the comprehensive preparatory work carried out, into the Xipan stage. Xi Pan after the broader market goes into a frenzied round of the characteristics of accelerated Quotes. Investors should be patient holding, waiting for this most exciting of the stock market's.
Today's index continued its upward trend, and has reached a new high, there is a definite breakthrough in the early high tendency. Re-analysis in May the broad market trend, we found that basically index is in the box go shocks of the stock market. As a result, we feel it is necessary to analyze the broader market at present stage of development and prospects in order to enable investors to better grasp the back of the stock market.
Initially, we judged that the big city has basically completed the comprehensive mad Quotes carried out preparatory work into Xipan stage. When the Xi Pan after the broader market is likely to enter with full madness of the characteristics of accelerated Quotes.
1, for early stage Quotes of the characteristics of analysis.
This wave is from the bull market began in November 2005. It's about experiencing the following stages of development:
First, the start-up phase. It is 2005, 11 month - August 2006. Its characteristics are: index has increased by a considerable margin, the main hot spot is a non-ferrous metal plate. But generally, the broader market with a significant increase in local property stocks. Therefore, we put it characterized as a start-up phase.
Second, the first ascending segment. It is 2006, 8 month - in January 2007. Its characteristics are: straight, sharp increase, rising main hot spots are blue chip companies to make up with the indices Quotes Quotes view. Quotes show a very obvious feature of the great bull market. Section of the community is through this market, restored confidence in the stock market and re-attach great importance to the stock market.
Third, the half-way adjustments. It is from 2007, 1 month - in March 2007. Its characteristics are: an increase in a row after the broad market into the repeated shocks of the stock market. Especially in the February 27 fell nearly 9 percent, the market periodically to see an empty one-sided manner.
Fourth, are rising again. It is from 2007, 3 months - early in May. Its characteristics are: Index to its own run-way up, relatively long duration, an increase of some. The market shares of the main subject matter is hot.
From the big city to begin in May entered a pattern of repeated shocks.
Second, the current stage of development of large city.
Broader market in which we judge the present stage of development are: a comprehensive pre-launch madness Quote Xipan stage.
First, it produces a prerequisite is: San Siyue broader market continued its own run-through, the group has completed a comprehensive collection of Crazy Quotes carried out the task. However, after the completion of the collection index is not immediately entered full crazy market, it must go through a Xipan of the stock market. Dish wash before they enter the profit-round crazy Quotes. So tape to go through this process.
Secondly, from the disk of view, we believe that: a comprehensive collection of Crazy Quotes from the whole, the task is complete. However, the main hot spot point of view, if not yet completed, or that the blue chip market on May 9, is still relatively small. Is not enough to the main hot spot to collect enough chips. Therefore, we think that the recent blue chip will be a phased Quotes.
Originally, we estimate that blue chips a great impact on the index, once the hype the main index of blue chips will make accelerated features. Therefore, the forecast at this stage where big city, there will be accelerated features. However, from May 9 to see blue chips of the stock market, the index does not accelerate the rise, the main force by 28 to eliminate the phenomenon of blue chip companies on the Index. Therefore, although we expect there will be a recent blue chip phase of the stock market, but does not think that will accelerate the rise in indices in recent months.
Third, the trend afternoon.
We estimate that the broader market trend of the market outlook may be:
First, the blue chips up again, completed a comprehensive collection of Crazy Quotes main hot spots.
Second, the index fell into the Xi Pan C-wave. - The previous two weeks is Xipan A-wave adjustment. The recent rebound B wave up.
Then, the tape would be a big bull market into the best, most exciting, the most brilliant full crazy Quotes. - A preliminary estimate of its arrival in June, the Shanghai index is likely to hit 6000 points, or even higher. Investors should be patient currently holding, waiting for this most exciting of the stock market's.
