Category: Money Tips Date: 2005-12-19
Under the top of the normal forms, there is a single top, double top and multiple top. Under normal circumstances, if there is no sudden pressure on the fundamentals, single-top formation is unlikely. The double top and multiple top-of Daoshi common. That is because in a bull market, press the next, due to the impact of inertia of thinking, people always think that the stock will be in a very short period of time to resume its rally, another record high, also tend to think that every rebound, is to explore the bottom of the success of signs, so this kind of mentality could easily be the main advantage of the market, allowing the main left to the market also continues to record high fantasy in the side pull side to withdraw, common medium and small investors also continued to rebound, the layers of food set , bogged down. Therefore, we often say that the top is not a point, but a region, reason is obvious here.
So the real top of the How to Identify? In China's stock market, at the top of the formation is always accompanied by two factors, one is the policy factors, one is technical factors. The former can easily lead to steep decline, which could take three back to continue for a long time before they let anyone see it at the top of the power to understand and its destructiveness. So if these two factors combined inspection, at the top of the form on the glaringly obvious.
Stock index plunged a row this week, many people worry that 4335 points, is probably the place to bid farewell to long bull, if the policy elements and technical factors together inspection, really a bit like that in a number of risk management education is invalid, the introduction of increased stamp duty heavy blows to suppress the stock soaring, it has had a fundamental condition for a policy shift. But why can not yet conclude that this bull market has been an end? That is because the management in the next few days, and continue to refute rumors and clarify the rumors, blowing warm air frequency is clearly a policy shift that is still in doubt. The second half of this week, a technical rebound, which is likely to build a double top and multiple top may be, but so far no signs of unusual high heavy volume, indicating the market mentality of calm, the main intention is not left the market, regardless of cost. This view, this week's adjustment does not mean the end of the bull market, at best, may only be an interim adjustment.
While the phase adjustment is relatively easy to grasp the characteristics. Investors can generally find some of the indicators from the following stages at the top of the normal identification.
First, Bollinger Bands under the tracks below. To use Bollinger Bands to read the tape, or stock selection is mainly based on Bollinger Bands indicator aperture size, based on openings became smaller and smaller for those who want to pay more attention to the disk. Because Bollinger Bands openings became smaller and smaller, indicating stock price up or down range became smaller and smaller, long the power is no longer powerful, short-term disk is bound to choose the direction of a breakthrough, but also opening smaller disk mutation of the stronger; second fool SAR sell signal indicators; 3 is 5-day moving average Sicha 10, MA, and puncture 25, MA 30 day MA, midline long Qu Dan; Fourth intraday rebound fatigue, MACD red line disappears when the green head and disappeared now; 5 KDJ and the RSI indicator is a short-term passivation of the state from the peak down to near or even below 50; 6, after a period of market power is stronger than the seller forces the buyer's gains after the long, or only maintain the original weakening the purchasing power , so that gains ease, while the short-forces are strengthened, the final balance of power both at this time there is no ebb and flow of stock will remain stationary state. If the seller than the buyer power, the stock will drop may be only slowly began to change, decline is not obvious, but later by the short side full control of the initiative, the downtrend turn anxious at this time adjust the market will be coming, while the disk in this period of time will be significantly more than Yin Xian Yang Xian, and the weak trends in this area are also subject to volume support, at this time the performance of the multi-volume became smaller and smaller from left to right, indicating short-term market environment has changed, people tend to care, the operation appears conservative.
