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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Showdown in the long-short market, a lot of time, even if the market is already far beyond the "reasonable level", but also insisted forced to wait until one side to the other party no turning back, complete surrender, the market will return to "normal . "
Long-Term Capital Management bet "too big" and the inevitable spread levels narrowed over time the point of view, Mailiweise they may be right, but they could not wait until the day of shrinking, just refuses to relent crocodile in their siege collapsed. They have fallen, the spread narrowed. CAO gamble "too high" oil prices must fall over time the point of view, Chen Jiulin may be true, but he could not wait until the day of falling oil prices have also been crocodile had swallowed. Chen Jiulin was disarmed after the drop in oil prices. State Reserve Bureau Bing that copper prices "too high" inevitable callback, firm short, over time the point of view, Bing may be true, but he could not wait until the day of copper callback on the storm position Pao Lu had. Traders disappeared, copper on the down. The formation of a trend in the market and make the process, no one will know when the trend to the end. Even has obviously "irrational", which will continue to "irrational" for a long time, until those "rational" people have to admit defeat, lying down, only to return to "rational."
For a trend has been formed to guess when it reversed, it is unwise. Not only guess, but with the hands of funds or a bargaining chip to prove the speculation, it is false in. Significantly lighten his most recent, although there are non-market factors in it, although after a longer or shorter time, the share price may be as expected selling price fell to below, but is still essentially a non-intellectual and false behavior. If you use the lever, even after substantial if the stock sold short, I am afraid a few days, also fell. Su Liang of the market and so on, and similar mistake to buy back its own kind of person. Wait until calm investors have been crazy, die-hard short sellers started to cover the stock, the market on the backhand shot into the pockets of prey into the game to an end. Able to bring its operations, as an interesting reverse OUTCOME MEASURES: No cover, not down; a covering on the peak (either the top or in the big top, anyway, enough of mass destruction were brutal).
3600 points, lighten up, it is intended to bear the risk of 10% of the Ta Kong. In other words, 4000 is your one Hom. Or in 4000 because they do not buy stocks before the point had been deprived of the right to operate, out of the battlefield, or 4,000 points to buy shares after the market prisoner, hang dry. Compressive capacity was not sufficiently strong, it can only be faced with such difficulties. Shanghai and Shenzhen 300's top 30 heavyweights, closing volume has reached a record high of 18. Observations from the two-thirds of the ratio is only one step away. Rash of short sellers were forced more and more tight. Withdraw or surrender? Is a problem. After all until 51 then.
Shen Wan Institute believes that China has fully prepared the conditions for the birth of a bubble and called on people to "meet the bubble" and in accordance with Japan and South Korea Taiwan and other regions with the total market value of the bubble peak in the proportion of deposits is projected to total market capitalization of A shares of the long-term objectives will be achieved 40 trillion, short-term forecasts in the second quarter is likely to cross the 4,000-point benchmark Shanghai Composite Index. So strongly advocating for the bubble of the research institutions had increased recently. Everbright should be regarded as a leader, but it changed a saying called "asset revaluation", there is no such a naked Shin 10000.
