The fluctuation of stock Money Tips

Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-06-09

1, the fluctuation of stock:

â—?bull market:

First, the bull market is built on the surface of the most secure markets: from the historical trend of China's stock market can also be seen, as long as stocks in some of the key point and occur several times in the bottom of the characteristics of adjustment may be thus concluded, and business is soon reversed. For example, from 1992 to 1994 appeared three times 386 points, 312 points, 324 points, from 1997 to 1999 occurred in 1025 points, 1043 points, 1047 points have emerged since 2001, adjusted 1339 points, 1311 points, 1307 points, and so , have shown amazing triple bottom line features, indicating that this subsequently of the stock market is likely to reverse, or the beginning of a new round of bull market.

Second, there is a bull market led by five multi-wave campaign, in which three waves (1 (recovery phase), 3 (strong city phase), 5 (overvalued phase)) is increased 2 Wave 2 (for a wave to adjust), 4 (adjusted to 3 waves)) to adjust the wave, with China's national conditions suited to the movement pattern of 1,3 or big waves or five small and five waves waves may be a failure wave. A wave or a bear market would certainly exceed the previous highest rebound points to reach the highest bear market rally point, the main point here is often stuck with weights according to the number or choose a short squeeze ways to continue to climb, or choose to participate actively retracement up to most people in panic Shiyou way to short squeeze does not go back directly to target bit - from the top of a bull market before the recent wave of either one or three waves, or the culmination of five waves. 3 vertices certainly more than one wave after wave of the top and its height is at least one wave height, and the longest time span. 5 wave height is limited, if the failure wave, but three of its vertices ultra-wave peak, if it is the height of four wave decreases in two times; 2,4-wave limit of the general decline in the year-line at or near the bottom of bottoming out, two waves extreme circumstances would almost landed on a wave at the starting point, four-year wave decline in general line of office.

â—?bear: a bear market is a crowded bubble, the value of market return. Is empty side led by five wave movement, A wave (or the beginning of paragraphs), C waves (middle or paragraph), E wave (at the end or above) down, B wave (for A waves adjusted) rebound, D wave (for C Lang adjusted) rebound. A decline in the previous bull market wave limit the space for adjustment of the full time span of the longest two waves or four waves at, C, E wave to A wave will be stabilized at a reference point in its vicinity up again, B wave rally vertex In the past the closest point of the transaction-intensive high at its peak in the vicinity - â‘? A wave in the rebound high. â‘? if the starting point of the previous two waves at a bull, or a rebound in the A wave in the high-point, or in the previous bull market peaked at a wave. â‘? if the starting point of the previous bull market in four wave Department, either in the A wave in the rebound high, or the first three waves or a bull market peaked at 5 waves. D wave peak to B waves bounce bounce peak as a reference point in the vicinity of its peak, no more than B waves bounce peak.

2, index temporal patterns: first, the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock market history, there are some very important and very obvious seasonal cycle law: â‘? whether in a bull market or bear market, the main rise Quotes majority in the first half, second half is usually is a shock, adjustment, down the main. Historically, in the second half in an adjustment phase of the Year are: 1992, 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2001 and 2002.

â‘? the above-mentioned adjustment of the second half of the year, without a valid beyond the second year in the first half, that is, during the first half year have increased by more than a wave of mid-market, and even into the great Shenglang, big bull market.

â‘? the above-mentioned year, in addition to 1997, the other adjustments for all years are in the second half of the year in November to January the following year, stuck between the key at the bottom (1998 a slight error).

â‘? date, an important top of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market is almost invariably appear in the summer (except 1993).

The seasonal cycle of the law on many occasions come true, it is no accident that it and the listed company's financial arrangement, the organizations funding the annual operational plans, climate and environment and even the relative positions of the stars of the investors, the influence of psychological factors that are closely linked. Also, the law does not take into account the above-mentioned period the stock market in a bull or a bear market for the index operation wave-shaped, technical patterns and technical indicators are not considered, so this law is unique in that great reference value for the medium-term investors. From this we can draw a simple stock market for the Shenzhen and Shanghai winning the Road: winter planting summer harvest.

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Second, the time between each wave is relatively unpredictable, usually from the day's most important turning point in the chart the date, after a few to the first 13,21,34,55, or 89 trading days in order to anticipate the top or bottom appears In these Porfirio was strange Day.

3, index spatial prediction: �Shape Prediction: Using the feature calculation at the end of the bear market stock index triple height: height of a wave of space: a wave of space height = (triple bottom at the top of the average - triple the average at the end of the bottom) × 2. One triple bottom at the top of the average = (B wave peak + D wave peak) / 2; triple bottom at the end of the average = (A wave at the end-point + C Lang Lang at the end of the end-point + E points) / 3); a space for a high degree of wave wave height is about more than B = 100-50 points; three waves of space height and a wave height of roughly equal space; five waves if the waves are four and five wave W is not a failure to adjust the five waves of space wave height = (W adjustment adjusting at the end of vertex-W point) × 2; if the characters and for failure to adjust the five waves of space wave height of three waves near the top. (Error of 50 points)

â…?wave prediction: a wave multiplied by 1.168,3.236, respectively added to the two waves, one wave at the end of point 3 can be drawn on the wave, 5 waves minimum objective for the future, add in a wave of vertices can be drawn five waves The most important goal. To adjust the wave retracement should always be 62%, 38% and 50% of the percentage of support.

â…?historical point position prediction: a new cycle is often a CBBC CBBC cycle with an imprint of the former. Often a wave B, D peak occurring at the stage of adjustment, at a distance of a bull market before the recent waves (1,3,5) peak at the top; three waves are waves in a wave appears at the top stage of adjustment, if this one of a wave does not exceed the maximum of the wave before a bull market top, the three waves were the highest in the first round of the bull market wave will appear at the top stage of adjustment in its space to meet or exceed the height of a wave of a space peak height; five waves if a failure is 5 waves of space wave height of a wave or a half the height of three waves of space, if fails then the five waves of space wave height of three waves near the top;

â…?historical experience and data Forecast: China's stock market volatility, a year is 700 or 400 (error of 50 points or so, that is 650 ~ 750 or 350 ~ 450). From 1993 data shows that the shock of attention to its range from the lowest to the highest is 700 points, the second year is actually 700 or thereabouts. Then, in 1995, is 400 points, 700 points in 1996 is about to 97,98 ... ... to see attention to its highest and the lowest is 700 points, 400 points, 700 points, 700 points, 700 points in 2002 is 400 points, regularity is obvious. Usually around 700 points for the 1,3-wave, 5 waves of 400 or thereabouts. A wave: If the previous bull market in two waves, B, D waves for the 400 or so; if the previous bull market in four waves, B, D waves for the 200 or so.

4, stock trends law:

â‘? the new round of CBBC cycle began, not in the index over the previous bull market cycle of a CBBC top of the highest waves (3 or 5 waves before the waves), the former a CBBC cycle wave bull market transaction-intensive roof and a bear market rally in transaction-intensive upward trend in the top will become strong resistance zone Ershi phased adjustments in this index, while in the downward trend is strong support area.

â‘? a new bull market cycle of a CBBC 1,3,5-wave short-term adjustment will restore the 30-day moving average near the rally, limit adjustment in the 60-day moving average in the vicinity. 2,4-wave mid-course adjustments in the years to regain upward near the line, in most cases two waves would be almost landed on the extreme cases, a wave at the starting point, four-year wave decline in general line of office.

â‘? a new round of CBBC wave A limit cycle of a bear market decline occurred at the meeting just before a bull market the space for adjustment of the full time span of the longest two waves or four waves at stabilized, C, E wave would A wave stabilized at a reference point in its vicinity up again, B wave rally has been over the last vertex in the nearest vicinity of the transaction-intensive high at its peak. D wave peak to B waves bounce bounce peak as a reference point in the vicinity of its peak. ]

5, the leading index to run the dominant factor: â‘? the historical landmark of the high and low points. â‘? the economic side: macro-economic trends and industry trends. â‘? the main side: Fund, the brokerage ... ... capital flows. â‘? the State Council, the Commission issued the stock market policy. â‘? mass psychological: â‘? hope; â‘? excitement; â‘? fanaticism; â‘? luck; â‘? disappointed; â‘? pessimistic; â‘? despair. At what stage.

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