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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Forward-looking analysis of the market once again been validated, 20 the recommended daily limit of Dalian Thermal heavy volume, and firmly sealed in the limit-board, involved in a broader market investors to avoid the risks of diving; October 11 to remind investors of risk aversion, 16, pointed out that the multi - and air forces to convert complex ways to start on the 19th that the total operating strategy for the recent light-heavy index stocks.
The Senpachi pass, long-short growing differences, with the huge profits pouring plate today, both large cities of Shanghai and Shenzhen diving, Hu Zhi October 8 will be a gap completely covering, fell below the 5, 10 or 20-day moving average, forming a Yinxian engulfed the top 10 K-line bad combination, while turnover has also been larger, there is money is out of the market, stocks sell into the risk of rapid advent of lower limit the number of individual stocks increased substantially, we believe that, after a strong pre-oscillation, the market adjustment of the internal pressure, especially in the ICBC has been successfully issued the end of the upcoming occasion, the market needs to undertake greater financial pressure situation, short-term adjustment is inevitable But down space and will not be too large, long-short will continue to engage in a vigorous battle, will continue to rely on the multi-inertia for resistance, while the short side will be gradually accumulate energy, 1,700-point mark will have a better integer support.
Focus 1: Multi-pressure short-term adjustment Ruqierzhi, we can still expect a long-term bullish.
In the previous report, this column has pointed out that in October the biggest negative factor is the lifting of the ban by the formation of small non-expansion pressure, the first two trading weeks of the strong oscillations, in large part because the world's largest IPO ICBC successfully issued by the need to create a good market environment. Sany Heavy Industry opened in June this year "small non-" a prelude to lifting the ban since the market has experienced a 7-8 month peak of lifting the embargo, but because of increased inertia, the overall performance is very steady, and even continued to rack up high, but with the lifting of the ban-scale expansion, the pool also will increase the pressure, especially in October, 25 companies listed 2.858 billion shares of lifting the embargo of the time focused on the end of week three is that the climax of the first day of a ban. Meanwhile, last week, the bank successfully issued this week, five will be available, but also for the market has brought enormous pressure on the funding needs, and, with the greatest similarity with the ICBC listing of the Bank of China, the market has a continuous adjustment, the Bank of China A shares listed in the July 5 date on which Gaokaidizou, followed by six consecutive weeks K-line closed lower for the stock from the market near the beginning of 4 yuan fell to 3.26 yuan in the vicinity, more than a month fell nearly 20%. The Shanghai Composite Index over the same period fell from 1750 to 1540 points, near the line, or up to 200 points. In this expectation, the market adjustment is to be expected. Especially in the vicinity of 1,800 points, Hu Zhi or has reached 80% of all home loans to borrowers or staggering profits very large chips, there is a sign of trouble, investors will be out of pocket to sell into the security operation, which is on the market today dropped one of the factors. But in the long-term point of view, the pattern has not changed for the better, such as the revaluation of the yuan's rise; macro-economic growth is still good first three quarters of GDP growth rate of 10.7%, the growth performance of listed companies is expected to increase; macro-control reduced pressure, etc., have decided in the context of the bull market, any funds in the short-term adjustments to bring excellent opportunities for bargain-hunting involved, but the Stock division is inevitable.
Focus 2: structural division within the market is inevitable, the price closer to the value of
In today's crash in the history of the great Niugu, the two cities of the second high-priced stocks, Moutai has continued to perform strong, and real estate leader China Vanke once hit a new high, China's Sinopec to Tianquan, while at the same time, sensation in the assets to be injected into pre-theme, themes plate backdoor brokerage stocks fell sharply, some individual stocks lower limit heavy volume, and the overall point of view, the adjustment process, with results supported by blue-chip value stocks despite the pressure of profit-plate , but the decline was not large, oscillation amplitude is not large, while those belonging to the subject matter speculation underperformance shares, a loss of shares, stocks and other subjects to abandon the goal has become a phenomenon shows that in the context of the bull market adjustments, but the structure on the adjustments. After more than a year have been rising continuously, the market as a whole has a relatively high valuations, particularly in some sections and individual stocks have been overdrawn on the price of earnings and future stock price performance of growth, regardless of external factors from the market or from internal factors point of view, the current market, structural adjustment pressures have yet to be digested. As in the four-year bear market, also appeared in such Moutai Super Niugu, then a big bull market, will also bear a huge decline in stocks occurred, that is, the long-term bull market will certainly be or 10 times the price of Niugu record highs, there will be more than 90% decrease to below one dollar, or even to the corner points to move closer to the Big Bear stock, which is the tremendous power of structural adjustment.
And specific to the operation, although the latter part of the adjustment is inevitable, but lighten up the beard, eyebrows and grabbed avoid, because there will still be a better callback broader market investment opportunities arise, the current phase has been inappropriate for re-chase, investors may be Recent moderate lighten up, lighten up the focus of the subject matter is the lack of performance shares and low-profit support unit, has emerged a substantial adjustment to the pre-investment value of the reproduction of blue-chip high-growth stocks, index callback Irony but the best bargain-hunting in the approach opportunities, or to continue to track or higher value products, following the broader market fell to adjust, it is a rare opportunity for intervention.
