Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-05-05
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: 2 major bad, tape it closed red disk, afternoon will be developed? From the three kinds of behavior analysis has the potential to go bad is a good introduction of the stock market. The best and so out of a strong rebound in further judgments would be much better. More appropriate method is: dare to look more and have time to do more preparation ... ...
Today, stocks in the central bank to raise bank deposit reserve ratio 0.5%, and the Air issue new shares to 10 billion, two major bad news - one is a major bad macroeconomic fundamentals, a significant negative relationship between supply and demand, but also the Chinese stock market's most terrible bad. Under the influence of the Shanghai Composite Index opened sharply lower near 20 o'clock, fell more than 30 points, half-way again covering the gap, to close out the red plate, a slight afternoon repeatedly and eventually on the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.62 points, Shen Chengzhi l 3.62 points.
The face of two major bad, tape it closed red disk, afternoon will be developed? This is the doubt over the hearts of all investors. We tried to, whether the phase out of doing bad, bad is not so big city, a major Powei crash disk why there is a larger rebound. These three phenomena analysis, perspective, the development trend of the market outlook.
First, it phased out to do bad.
Saturday, the central bank announced to raise bank deposit reserve ratio 0.5%, for some time, with regard to the strong macroeconomic data, the central bank may take further macroeconomic control measures, rumors have been confirmed. Sure enough, the central bank has taken new measures. Of course, this measure and the market had widely expected interest rate increase compared to the intensity of bad to be lower.
Now, put the question before investors is whether this meant that the new macro-control measures on will be temporarily come to an end - mainly refers to 23 weeks. The central bank would first look at its consequences, before we adopt new measures, or soon to continue to take new measures. That is, the central bank in mind this is a strike out, or strike out a series of combinations do?
If only one punch, then we introduced the use of bad experience is good for stocks, forecasting the current market would hit the bottom, it is reasonable, correct, and consistent with objective reality. However, if the central bank is to take a series of strike out, now is a good use of bad, we must commit big mistakes.
Of course, from the current macro-economic point of view, should be continuous, while taking a variety of macro-control measures, it seems not to the less serious. But soon to judge, at present is to put bad is good, it would seem a hurry, and further look at some may be more secure.
2, major bad failed to significantly Powei big city downstream.
Today, a significant negative stock market, but also combination of bad - one is a major bad macroeconomic fundamentals, a significant negative relationship between supply and demand. But the broader market opened down nearly 20 o'clock opening, once or more than 30 points, on the step up. Did not break a week since the consolidation of the box, let alone out of some market participants forecast a substantial decline of the stock market Powei.
Decrease in intensity from the point of view, July 13 fell 84 points, due to a series of bad rumors. July 19 fell 39 points, is the formal approval of the bank issuing the result. And today is the result of two major bad. Big bad city of intensity every time a strong rate of decline was smaller than the preceding one, phenomenon. This in itself shows a certain extent, the intensity of market declines have been decreasing.
Of course, too early to judge immediately, but solely on the basis of major bad news to see the empty afternoon practice, is very doubtful.
Third, an intraday rebound out of the larger, and ultimately closed out the red disc, is who is doing the most?
Today, large cities have opened sharply lower after the sharp rise once, to close out the red plate, a slight afternoon repeatedly and eventually Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.62 points, Shen Chengzhi up 3.62 points. As we have introduced two major bad, even if the vast majority of market participants do not look at an empty afternoon, are also waiting to see who dares big city trend is highly uncertain circumstances, a large number of buying it? Is clear that only the main have such courage and vision. The main force in these places do more shows, the market may be a bad introduction is a good catch.
4, afternoon trends and operating strategies.
From today to see the broad market trend, there are more obvious to go bad is a good introduction of the stock market. Of course, the other big city out of a stronger, more explicit the rally, and then make some judgments may be more secure. Operational strategy, the current bearish, not quite appropriate, but once again a bit earlier to do more. More appropriate methods are: ideologically dare to look at more, and the determination to do more at any time and preparation - including the right market timing to think of the new round of Quotes of the main hotspots in research and judge on the new round of Quotes of the characteristics, difficult to grasp on the new research, and so on. Only well prepared in advance to work when the time is ripe, we can sure, accurate, good way to operate.
It is worth noting that if the big city is really bad to go is a good introduction of the market, will be the wave of a certain continuous rise in Quotes. Big City reversal at the beginning, not rallies to trim time.
