Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-04-27
Soros in the examined various types of financial markets and macroeconomic developments and found that they never showed a balanced trend. In fact, the assertion into the market tend to over-the non-equilibrium, there would be more meaningful, because, this imbalance will be developed sooner or later, to the intolerable point, had to be amended.
People to make buy or sell a commodity's decision is not so much in the balance based on market considerations, as it is from the view of the market imbalance, exactly is that market psychology is the view of the expected imbalance. Make the market go over the non-equilibrium is the deviation from the expected level. Therefore we can say the market is expected to find the gap with the objective reality is the Soros investment opportunities in the financial markets found a shortcut.
He believes that "the scientific method is based on such a default, that is, the success of experiments should confirm the validity of the hypothesis being tested, but when the object involved in the subject of thinking time, the experiment has been tested successfully and does not guarantee the validity or truth of statements of . participants thinking has nothing to do with the facts, but it affects the process of development of things to make things more complicated process of development. but the objective facts of science will eventually understand those mistakes and cognitive gap corrected.
Soybean futures on agricultural products market, for example, the gap between market expectations are often prone to the early stage of crop growth in the whole process of wet and dry weather conditions on the final yield of expected demand to expand or shrink the size of the excessive expectations of the financial attributes of agricultural products over expected, the impact of unexpected events on the duration and intensity of expectations, as well as funding potential scale of the flows in excess of expectations and so on ... ...
Imbalances in the functioning of financial markets, market participants view the gap between the actual situation is inevitable. Since our energy is limited, awareness of not perfect, so find that the market expected and the deviation between objective things, and found that the market may be a tendency to over-the non-equilibrium is not only one of the secrets Soros investment is more worthy of the investing public concern .
