Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-04-12
Source: Li Yongyang
A lower opening Friday after the broader market started around 4000 points, shock and for a time breakdown on the 5th line. Afternoon in the banking and real estate stocks and other blue-chip rebound plate driven by Zhu Bo and eventually stood on the 5th line. Weekly gain yang. Shareholding financial Plate rebound, but the intensity is limited. Shanghai stock market turnover 186.4 billion yuan, Liangnengweisuo.
More to the policies and capital in and out over the weekend more sensitive time. Friday's low-opened for two reasons: one, the central bank Thursday some commercial banks to issue bills of about 110 billion yuan, which is the second time this year. The net amount of money withdrawn from circulation reached a new high since 7 weeks. At the same time, there are more than 170 billion next Tuesday due to raising the deposit reserve ratio was frozen. This reflects the attitude of the management of liquidity contraction, and the right side is a test of short-term capital .2, public opinion of the controversy and the management of policies introduced by the introduction of the market over the weekend sparked concerns about .5 bad on a policy-sensitive time, as time goes on, this fear in the increase. These factors lead to some funding options to avoid the risk of short-term withdrawal.
So, the situation is complicated by differences in long-short continuous case, the next week's market will be how to interpret it? In my opinion, the following three points are crucial to read the tape: 1, bank real estate section can rise again. Out of the yuan over the weekend continue to appreciate the expectations, late Friday on behalf of the Minsheng Bank and other varieties occur Vanke A pulled heavy volume. Wed bank real estate section corresponds to the collective heavy volume upside, this follow-up actions by them the desire is still strong. As a long time consolidation up to three months, weight plates, in heavy volume after reaching a record high trend worth looking forward to, and the operation will be to determine the main idea of the key. Tuesday will be the Bank of Communications listing day. banks re-plate the possibility of Monday to meet the heavy volume worthy of a high-profile close attention.
2, hot whether to switch successfully. I have recently stressed that this is essential in the near future. Judging from the recent disk observation, shares of the financial sector appears at low tide. Theme shares the overall good play will not be re-staged. The new battleground has shifted to the banks and real estate blue-chip plate. of course, also includes institutions such as iron and steel vehicle energy Shigekura varieties. If the Quotes can continue, the expected launch of stock index futures will become one of the most important driving force. grab in front of a wave heavyweights to raise the action, now, with the the expected introduction of stock index futures moved closer to the disk has been reflected in the further looting of the broad market heavyweights to raise actions. Of course, such a move may also be double-edged sword. success depends largely on the introduction of stock index futures time. In addition, the 5.19 approaching, the bull market of the complex, some of the leading science and technology transaction occurs, it should be a good performance next week. can be concerned about the strong variety of callback process.
3, from the technical analysis, on the 5th line is still a key indicator of short-term strength. They do not close below on the 5th line is still a pattern of short-term strength. I analyzed yesterday, May 9 near the trend of 4000 and in March 28, 3000 near the trend of great similarity. are large integers mark the first point of sharp shocks, the next line of a very long shadow, and put the amount of days. and the amount of days rest after the test a low shallow Su Liang. then relying on 5 online line. ability to continue to copy the key is on the 5th line of the pros and cons. If you completely cover the May 8 3841 gapped point gap there weakening of the possible, be careful.
To sum up, face the pressure of short-term funds as well as policy control concerns will likely lead to 4,000 points in the vicinity of the shocks continue. But they do not close on the 5th line below there would be no big problems, otherwise, be careful. If the bad policies issued over the weekend expectations come to nothing, while banks and real estate sections Zaiduofali not rule out the tape is still a red. Next week will be the latter half of the month .4 sensitive point in time the introduction of macroeconomic data will decide whether to raise interest rates again. next Thursday and Zhou five markets started the big bang is still a possibility. whether, therefore, form a shadow line on the high in May, we will wait and see.
