|
|||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:
We first raises the issue of time-line selling point, in fact, actual operation, the key to selling will depend on how kind of how like to buy. Because the selling points, price will determine the cost of high and low positions, if you can time-line in determining the stock price will rise from the moment rapid intervention, at least pull up after the chase than the other occupied cost advantage. Now we have a disk in the Wan Shing Fri Industry (600,767), for example, time-line analysis of the stock will soon rise from the moment of Handicap features.
Yun-Sheng Industrial Co., Friday morning in a smaller amount of affordable single-opening, with the broader market slightly on the red time-line began to adjust to 9.46 yuan. The subsequent adjustment of time-line patterns can be approximated as a right-angled triangle, at 9:50 there were some small single transaction, from the price of 9.46 yuan on a break from the triangle line. However, the amount can not actively cooperate with, it is difficult for speculators cause of psychological inter-professional communication and resonance, but also at 9.46 yuan an extremely narrow line appeared at the top of finishing. In the meantime, the new morphology along the narrow price adjustment has been moved to 9.48 yuan, and the largest single transaction for the previous 203 hands. From the volume and price patterns can break through two expansion point of view, if they can occur more than 203 hand-single transaction, up 9.48 yuan break the form of a high point, then the stock price Zaishangtaijie be a foregone conclusion. Finally 10:03, for two consecutive pen 186 hands, 210 hands pay, directly to the time-price level to 9.50 yuan. The most obvious first morning the unit up points from this explosion, real time can be higher than the price for lodging fast approaching.
I also mentioned last week, the article: "In the time-line will play up that moment, the market is often sensitive to the resonance between the psychological speculation hands to communicate," This is evident from the above-mentioned Wan Shing Industrial Co., rose from the first point can be conducive to reflection. Analyzed before us, we should be able to meet the volume and shape of a breakthrough expansion of these two conditions, the unit in the vicinity of 9.48 yuan is best to have more than 203 hands before the single turnover occurs. Can imagine, the market speculation in the sensitive hands might have to hold this same psychological expectations. In other words, as long as they meet these conditions of there pay, they would quickly as possible to get into. It is this psychological resonance is expected at 10:03, after the time-line of Wan Shing Industrial Co., appeared in explosive rise.
Yun-Sheng Industrial Co., at 10:03 Tai Shan breakthrough price of 9.48 yuan, after the expected time-lines appeared in the explosive rise; to 10:12 on the feeling started to rise 9.70 yuan to adjust the way to form a time-line of small round-bottomed later, at the 10:24 break up again, around 9.70 yuan for the second selling points; 10:44 and then reappeared third selling point. In these three selling points, we made the 10:03 of around 9.50 yuan selling points is called the first point in time. The first point in time is characterized by: at day time-line of the first wave of the moment before rising significantly; in the price of buying the first point in time can be said to be relatively safe, especially for some strong individual stocks, even if you buy After the tape appeared to weaken or even crash the same day's closing price of the stocks in general are also able to close above the first point in time, which will help us find the general trend not good the next day When they take the initiative in the psychological status.
This week we in the instance of operation, the first disk proposed two of the more important concepts: "psychological resonance" and the "first point in time." This is after I "Handicap Internal Classic" series of articles in the often mentioned, they are the best selling points in the time-line to grasp the key factor. We will continually introduce examples in order to further deepen our understanding.
The most basic combat skills - "Handicap Nei Jing" the sale of Point
Can often see some "long-term is golden", "short-term is silver", "beat makers" and other books to explain the stock market real skills. I think even the author's own, it is undeniable is this: these books in the actual combat skills, is still built on the basis of analysis of thought, but not in your implementation of the specific conduct of your action (buying and selling Handicap ) give help, and since stock prices change so fast that these so-called combat skills also inevitable with great predictability, or that is uncertainty.
For example, we generally believe that the trend began in the price of a breakthrough, and some books also will be thus deduced what "Furongchushui", "multi-gun" and other sort of real buying techniques, although we do not deny that these general skills reference to the role, but we are more and more actual process of discovery, such as "multi-gun" like the day after the rising effect of the actual operation of the market become so pale and weak.
"Multi-Gun" and the like only that we judged that the direction of K-line combination of common sense, in fact, any kind of analysis, whether fundamental analysis or technical analysis, we only invest in stocks as a business needs to master the process of sense Bale.
Because in the stock market, any kind of analyzing methods (including existing or being innovative) before the introduction of your specific behavior (buying and selling of these two actions) before, are no doubt a way of thinking on the manner or direction, while the stock price changes and will not be because of your way of thinking or orientation varies. Stock price changes of the most fundamental reason is: the market actors to implement "buy" and "sell" these two specific actions caused.
Obviously, if you are a perpetrator, a certain one when you "buy" or "sell" action moments occur, the stock price is not predictable, because at that time the stock price is that you buy or sell price. But in the aftermath of your actions, and all other acts due to human-induced costs are needed to predict. And as time goes on, the future price of becoming less and less on the accuracy of the forecasts.
Put it another way, when you capture that in a certain point in time the action took place behavior (buy or sell), you can best determine the occurrence of this behavior is when the stock price (because it was the then current price), followed by closer from this point in time the more easy to predict stock prices, or more with a stronger certainty - which we put forward many important points the book based on the basis of one, please carefully Experience!
Based on the above basis for the foundation, we can not think so, the strength of stock price changes in the time uncertainty can be sorted (from strong to weak): T +0, T +1, T +2 ......., Of course, this is relatively small, trend-cycle identified and not considered a big cycle and the total market conditions change.
This book is the time to explore the stock price of the object shall be T +0, which is the day we see the stock price of time-sharing plan, maybe some people would say that we now operate the domestic stock market is T +1, T +0 there is no research meaningful.
Well, we have from the following original intention was to do such a short-term point of view to reflect on this question:
When you buy a stock short in the Handicap, the broader market appeared a slump in the stock you buy has not been spared, this time you want to be able to play as long as the fee on the first day out.
The next day, stock prices appear vulnerable in the time-line of the first wave of the modest pulled, when the time-line to reach a certain height when wandering (with characteristics), what would you think? 1. Sell it, anyway, fees have been out; 2. Wait a bit, there is still a bit of money is enough charge it!
How the results of what?
The first case, would not hesitate to implementation;
The second case, you will charge money for those first few minutes, "wait a bit longer."
Broader market continued to fall, the original fee from the poor 5 assigned to 0.1 yuan a gradual difference, 0.2 yuan, 0.5 yuan, 1.0 yuan, 2.0 yuan .......
Think about whether you had the money for those five minutes and eventually the deep cover more than 20%.
[1] [2] [3] [4] Next Page
E-0682 to the East, for example, September 4 rally now appears to be very weak (but it is wise after the event), but at the time you think it has a more than 5% of the rebound in the second day of broad market unfortunately is not a strong trend is not clear, you want to sell, so you also will encounter the above two situations: the first case sold, and the second case you have a few cents to the psychological role that quilt now, may be a rate of 30%.For instance, in today's Shenzhen Development Bank to buy, such as the most sensitive point in time in the first 9:42 of 13.08 yuan or so (with real features, not as predicted less uncertainty), the second selling points in 10:07 of the 13.26 yuan in the vicinity.
Results The Pan Die, and you expect a rebound, and does not appear, you have to consider selling the first bar tomorrow!
However, today, tomorrow, Shenzhen Development rebound high of 13.38 yuan to you sale?
At 13.08 yuan to buy you will not hesitate to sell the 13.26 yuan to buy you might think: "only a thin charge of 7 cents is enough."
Broad market and individual stocks for the latter part of the movement, from the prediction point of view who can say on that? From the K line to see the deep development is the recent strong stock, but the shape and quantity of energy is evolving, not to mention the current unilateral broader market decline, the risk is large, then you in the end tomorrow, how should I do?
You say you sure sell, but 7 cents of the fee will not affect your mental shipments decision, you can not completely overcome some of the weaknesses of human nature?
- "Selling the kind of depends on how you buy how"!
- This is the Forum on "darkness before the dawn," a summary of brother!
The above is published in the Forum Posts Minfa may wish to think over what you have is a bit of money because of fees that have been the depth of feeling stuck too.
Since it is difficult to overcome these weaknesses of human nature, why should we buy this stock at the beginning, in the time-sharing plan is not to buy a bit less money? Perhaps the low to buy a penny allow you to find the hands of the future trend of the stock not good when the possession of the initiative in the psychological status of shipment, the problem is that the low fraction of the money to buy it for granted there are still technical reference? This is the book trying to solve a major problem.
"Handicap Nei Jing" is intended to explain the question is: most of the stocks in the hourly chart of the price curve is regular, and this rule based on the preceding analysis is easier than the K-line rule grasp. For the middle and long-term investors, we can buy based on this law on the same day you have a favorite stock when bought in the corresponding low.
1. Than is the time-line real-time is relatively recent times the average amount of change. In general the analysis of both the software defaults to the date of the average trading volume per minute, the venue, and in the past 5, the ratio of trading volume per minute on average, its formula is:
Real-time date = date than the average per minute volume / (past 5 days average trading volume per minute * real-time until the date of the transaction time)
2. Clearly, compared with more than 1 indicates that the current floor active trading turnover increased over the past few days. It is noteworthy that the main dealer can also be used "to knock" to achieve than the increase in manufacturing activity in a false atmosphere of the venue. At this time than on the need to combine changes, time-line patterns to be a distinction between short-term trend.
3. To a different day than per minute continuously with the point values described in a coordinate, the curve formed compared. On the curve than the current practice, other securities of books seldom mentioned. In my personal experience to read the tape, the curve is very Magical than the. There are a lot of people do not know where the curve compared with that in fact the most common time-sharing interface, Qian stocks, through the numeric keypad at the top of the key "/" or "*" conversion, you can see the curve.
4. The day than is constantly changing, we have to read the tape can not remember the process of change in each of a value than the details, but through the curve than to resolve this problem. Than to see how the curve changes than the date of the first to know, but also be able to Handicap the same day that the changes in volume, thereby to know the amount of the day could be relatively recent times the amount of energy changes.
5. It is often said that time-line of how to share how smooth, smooth is actually a subtle change in people to give up stock prices, and ultimately summed up as stock is running on the track patterns formed by feeling. If the investment is a kind of perfect sense, and we have found a form on the smooth feeling of the price, then we might as well try to find a sense of the amount to be fluent. Through long-term observations of the compared curves, I found that the adoption of the curve can also find a Handicap whether the amount of energy change for smooth feel. For example on the curve than the amendment, which is envisaged based on this smooth.
6. In general, market information and people through the night psychological changes, new opening of a trading day when the share price and volume changes in contrast to a great opening. Is reflected in the numerically than that is a lot of value stocks than when they opened up a few times or even a hundred times, and then compared with numerical another sharp fall. Than curves from the point of view, as we mentioned that the stock changes sometimes seem as abrupt and bizarre. Most of the stock trading day in the new one opened when they appeared to be very unstable, and therefore usually Quotes context, we should wait for some stability in curves than before taking action.
7. When compared to curve along the time-chart of a general trend of unilateral operation, the sudden appearance of volume and price the first signs of rapid Alice at this time necessary to take quick action, because this is just a change in the trend of the original single - possible, we can wait significantly compared with the reverse curve is once again running to go flat, and then further changes based on the amount of price action. That is, when compared with the trend curve in the original abrupt change occurs, the general need to be further rest.
8. For long observation period compared with curves, you'll feel the curve compared with morphology consistent with the argument, that feeling seems to be a form of energy, resulting in the relationship between volume and price to find a more perfect co-ordination of the smooth feel.
Wear Yang view: "Time-line shape than the K line shape standards"
; We try to decipher the traditional form of theoretical analysis, often with some of what the head and shoulders, triangle, flag-shaped form of the word, and so chance encounter, and all kinds of technical analysis of the various classical works, want to expose these sorts trying the form of hidden password. However, to our difficult is that the trajectory of market movement is not consistent, an active market for sports is perhaps just as a "fast and loose" in Playboy. Combination of the K-line form, we who have seen a "soul to single-minded," "never goes for the differences", in line with the standard form of the model head and shoulders, head and shoulders at the end come? Even if there are, we can see that the market in shaping the course of the standard form from time to time in the philandering. Of the "Love" has always been "loyalty" and investors may therefore unable to withstand such arbitrary sway the market moves, and eventually be eliminated.
To use a modern term, the market is very "chic", and if you put a stock just as you are optimistic about Empress Dowager of stunning beauty, you have not yet been fully her victory in this long process, the Americans will inevitably will "affair," several rounds. Can finally complete victory, the more they see you in a calm and generous.
Previous [1] [2] [3] [4] Next Page
Prior to the stock of participants did not change hands, the original holder to hold their own during most can remember (assuming a relatively long) band of the high and low price point. When the next run to these high and low price point, he would support or pressure based on the general knowledge of the implementation of the corresponding transaction. When such people accounted for the vast majority of the market when the stock price will support or pressure in some places before the theoretical analysis of the trajectories follow the pattern to run as the final price will be very much in line with the standard model form. But we know that market participants are constantly and frequently changing, new participants may not be ignored (as compared with the original holder in terms of) pre-band high and low price point. When such people exist in the market forces are not hours, stock prices and will not support or pressure from a number of important bits before abruptly stop. In other words, in theory, the standard model will be at this point because of these new participants "relatively ignored" and bias, this bias eventually led to the K-line form of non-standard.
For the sudden rise of the stock price information on a particular day to break the standard form, from the outbreak of the amount of energy to the amount of energy consumption and in turn to fix the amount of energy stability of a process, K-line form does not seem to be the standard is very easy to understand The.
The following is the Shanghai stock index and a certain period of time K-line charts:
(Figure 1, the Shanghai K Line)
(Figure 2, the stock K Line)
But let us look at the two time-sharing plans:
(Figure 1, the Shanghai-sharing)
(Figure 2, the stock time-sharing)
This shows that the hourly chart patterns than the K-line combination to form the multi-standard, there are still reasons for this situation from the market information and market participants a simple analysis of the two angles:
Information from the market perspective <TCDZQ · COM>, the next day the information is difficult to predict and may be unexpected. However, when one day opening to close the meantime, the day is basically the amount of market information, public awareness is relatively certain, so that people in the hourly chart which is basically buying and selling behavior of price changes and to implement. In other words, the market during this period largely in a friction-free state, the people's trading behavior can be considered to follow certain laws of nature. The classical form of the theory by a century of foreign markets, the test of practice, people have found that it belongs to a law of nature.
Due to the behavior of market transactions in a relatively friction-free state, and to some extent in line with the laws of nature, so the price of such transactions behavior trajectory, thus the performance of time-out is relatively standard.
From the market participants view <TCDZQ · COM>, one-day changes in participants compared to a period of days when the changes in participants much smaller. And the date of the changes in participants led to changes in the price trajectory, is very clearly recorded in the stock price time-line, people would not forget that as a result of excessively long time the importance of the early high and low price point, or that it is important to stress support level.
If the trend Dazhong Xiao divided into three types, then the stock price trends in time-line should belong to the small scope of the trend. Since the trend of stock prices at the time-line of such a framework, then the time-line formed by the same high and low points, the same day with a pressure or a supportive role. As I said before, people do not forget that as a result of excessively long time to support the pressure of these bits, so when the time-shares to meet those price points, people will not help to follow the natural laws of the implementation of the corresponding transaction. Clearly, in this basis, the time-line of the track formed by the traditional theory is in line with the classic form of the model, and to K over a period of time line charts the formation of a more standardized form.
"Handicap Nei Jing" actual application of the basic points of
"Handicap Nei Jing" observed the focus of real-time Quotes concentrated, mainly on the time-line, compared with break-point curve and the amount of turnover of a single analysis. In contrast, "Handicap Nei Jing" relatively short, as the commission ratio, internal and external changes in the data set.
(A) Time-line
Time-lines should be any way to read the tape the most emphasis on the elements, because the time-line is the price from the most primitive transaction data map is. "Handicap Nei Jing" on time-lines are mainly concerned with the following:
1. Time-line forms. In the first part, we have already introduced some of the common time-line shape, stocks at the disk before starting up, usually out of the traditional theory of the bullish patterns. On the contrary, ups and downs no exception. Therefore, when the time-line in the disk to form a rudimentary form, it should be to read the tape caused by people's concern, especially in the form of the critical point should be the case.
2. Points to make the line smooth. Time-line fluency in fact involves a sense of beauty, although I often use a stick or Sophora to describe the feeling of time-lines are not smooth, but still feel in the flow is difficult to make time-line of the text some of the more satisfactory Description. This time-line of fluid needs to read the tape in a long time to go on their own experience.
3. Time-line elements of the price. Time-line price of other important factor is relative prices, such as yesterday's close, this opening, this former city high and low points, real-time average price, form the critical point, and significant integer bit price, time-lines running to the these important price, often there will be more obvious changes.
4. The proportion of time-line gains. For Handicap strong unit, the time-line, or the ratio itself represents the Quote of the day its position. Moreover, we have to gain by the ratio of stocks to determine the intensity of the size of the next wave of gains. Of course, to tie in with the same amount of time to the expansion of efforts to analyze.
(B) compared with curves
Than curve is "Handicap Nei Jing" is different from most of the way to read the tape and focus on the characteristics of targets, see should focus on grasping the curve than the following:
1. Than the direction of the curve. Defects than values only show a certain point in time than on the data, only to judge the relative volume at that point the average turnover over the past few days the change, but not so to determine the amount of energy of the date of the relative changes in Handicap . To resolve this defect, it must access point on the day of the session than in the past. Obviously, Handicap than any point in time the value can only be compared with curves from the visual to see. The value than the amount of changes that can change the meaning of the day, from the curve than the direction of change in perspective, the more clear.
Than the direction of the curve corresponds to the time-form (or a very short time-line direction) changes.
2. Than curve than the corresponding values. This is in fact is now people have begun widespread concern Handicap than, than the size of the key to reflect the value of the date of closing of a real-time stock Handicap compared with the past few days, both the amount of turnover changes. Value than the size defined for the effective short-term strength of stocks, as other books have said, there is a very important significance. However, in the "Handicap Nei Jing," read the tape method, compared to values far less than the size of the direction and smooth curves to the important, because changes in the curve than can be said to accommodate everything.
Previous [1] [2] [3] [4] Next Page
Values than the size corresponds to the proportion of time-line gains. 3. Than smooth curves. Than curve can also have patterns, in fact can be seen as compared to the direction of further expansion of the curve. But here we want to make is smoother than curve form of the question, the amendment than the curve is envisaged based on this smooth.
(C). Breakthrough single volume of the transaction
When the time-line and compared with the curve in the best condition, the parallel form of the critical point will break the moment, can be started to pay attention before the break the amount of change in a single transaction. Observed break point is a "mouthful" or "multi-stuttering" or fitting a grasp on this critical point in the psychological state, the right breakthrough single-volume transactions, the implementation of self-fulfilling.
(D). Other
Other focus to read the tape, according to order of importance are: volume column lines, inside and outside the plate, transaction details, commissions and other than that ........
Volume bars. Is the most primitive of the changes in the amount of information on the level of change can be seen from the date of the relative change in volume at all times, but we use than the direction of the curve itself to solve this problem. Therefore, when the stock intraday quick read, the focus down here do not have to focus on.
Internal and external disk. Within the disk and outer disk, just take note of a stock after the Handicap reference.
Transaction details. When a stock is poised to form the critical point a few minutes before breaking up can take a look at the stocks in front of the high point of the turnover of a single amount of details, were concerned about the breakthrough at the moment when the change in the transaction details.
Commission ratio. Venezuela than in the "Handicap Nei Jing" in reference to read the tape in the way of little use, even without looking.
Tape time-line Change opportunities
Stock clear time-line starting point of up and downs, mostly with the same time, tape time-line efforts on Change: For the strong shares, the time-line is often the broader market fell by a wave about to hook up the first, this stocks has taken the lead back up to shape up near the starting poised to break through; for weak stocks, it is time-lines in the broader market down by a wave about to hook up the first time that such stocks has taken the lead had fallen back to form near the build up from potential breakthrough.
Actual combat, we should choose the broader market Handicap the most time-line before the eleventh hour efforts to Change orders to buy or sell. Therefore, grasping the broader market ahead of time-line of the next wave of Zhang Sheng efforts to combat operations on the sale of opportunities to master a very important significance. Are now time-sharing plan at today's tape, for example, analysis of the tape time-line in a strong wave of Change before the moment of Handicap features.
That day, the Shanghai Composite Index rebounded slightly following the previous session after the low point of 1476 opened, there have been two waves of a small sell into, and a slight rebound. In 10:15 the broader market began to narrow the time-green column before the largest green columns, was significantly lower than the wave of the biggest time-green column, and the time-line ahead of schedule to go flat, no lows, it is time-line tape will have a relatively strong wave of efforts to increase pre-Handicap features (need to be explained that the examples cited here are only for convenience of description, in fact, as today's disk is not suitable for call operation), when the whole Quotes of the day ( including bounce) was impressed when, this time to accelerate the speed of disk real-time stock picking, the strong have taken the lead unit is characterized by a time-line of tape back up to starting up near certain types of patterns.
After the tape time-line as expected intensity of the relatively large rebound occurs. But at 10:59, against the big time-line there stagflation phenomenon, Hongzhu to start closing before the maximum well below the maximum value on the wave of time-Hongzhu, thus can determine if the tape will soon usher in a wave of higher intensity to sell into. At this point the characteristics of vulnerable stocks are: time-line in the last wave of broad market rebound upward when the hourly price of such shares little or no upward rebound; or sync with the broa
