|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Head and shoulders reversal pattern in the head is important to complete at least four weeks or more time to form a five partial reverse movement, ie at least three high and two low drop after the completion of at least three waves over the maintenance of decline, with "left shoulder - the first - the right shoulder - below - withdraw sword," five steps. Its formation process as follows: with a huge turnover, the market showed up explosive characteristics, when it reaches a certain height when Su Liang callback, forming the left shoulder; soon be rising again, and crossed the previous high point, anode and shade, due to heavy volume can not be effectively or below the level of the left shoulder, then dropped to near the previous stabilized, forming the head; Zhang Sheng to the left shoulder followed by another peak price of about inability to upside volume is also significantly reduced, forming the right shoulder; head-shoulder Top of embryonic shape, the market has been a turning point in sight. After breaking the neckline, there is often withdraw sword process, neckline support into pressure, withdraw sword process is head and shoulders pattern of the escape point.
June 2001 is to head and shoulders broad market peaked, and 2218 points for the left shoulder, the top 2245 points, 2237 points for the right shoulder, after the completion of withdraw sword stock a Spring River Flows East. We note this as an example head and shoulders top combat techniques:
1, Vol. To request volume and price with the left shoulder, head, long-short when the two sides due to a large number of traded, turnover is also great, but the volume has been compared with the left shoulder showed decadent trend, can not effectively heavy volume at or below the level of the left shoulder, right shoulder and withdraw sword because of the process of wrangling, volume showing a continuous decline trend.
Stocks in 2245 point to build a head and shoulders emerged when the volume on this multi - less - more - less features.
2, neckline. Link to the head in 2:00 shape trough level posed by the pressure line neckline, the neckline in the head and shoulders top is not necessarily the horizon, but whether an upward or a downward-sloping neckline can not change the fate of free-falling down . 2245 points tape the top of the head and shoulder neckline is the downward-sloping, indicating that decreased motivation is compelling.
3, a breakthrough. Head and shoulders neckline break when the top-down, with head and shoulder at the end not the same, with no volume, namely, Su Liang breakthrough and effective. Frequently accompanied by withdraw sword to confirm the break, breaking through the neckline generally more than 3% as the standard. Head and shoulders over the top of the head and shoulder at the end of a breakthrough is often much more to be reliable, of course, as long as there is no breakthrough in the real neckline, still can not conclude that the reversal downward, although it will lose the opportunity to head the best ship, but to sell high price in the actual combat is very difficult. The figure after the withdraw sword Powei stocks in the process of escape is the last line.
4, measured decline. Measure the head to the neckline first, the maximum distance from the location of start to break down the maximum distance minus the head and shoulders shall be a measure of decline. This is only a theoretical decline, stock prices fell after the completion of measurements there is still the driving force continued to decline. Figure in stocks in 1861, when short-term point of stabilized, but did not change the continuing downward trend.
The need to combat Note:
1, head and shoulders top end of the target oversold signals are mostly bull trap.
As the head and shoulders developed to the right shoulder or down Po Wei, the entire head region into a larger finishing area, so KDJ, RSI and other indicators are often in vulnerable areas to run, when Do not linger on the target, because a slight price withdraw sword, indicators can be repaired, so as to further nosedive, freeing more space. Figure withdraw sword neckline stocks in a short time on the restoration of the oversold rally the KDJ.
2, head and shoulders top reversal patterns are a reliable, relatively rare case of failure.
However, head and shoulders sometimes act as a continuous form, turned into a trumpet or a rectangle, below the neckline is effectively a confirmation will be important.
3, with average analyzing the role of the auxiliary.
Head and shoulders top of the building process of the performance of the box shock, short and long-term average in the right shoulder will often gather together a long time, tends to divide, with the price drop down to the average system will form a divergent cross-die.
4, real sometimes occur over one shoulder or the long form of multi-shoulder, though more complicated, but the original aim, and its essence is still head and shoulders bottom.