Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-12-22
One of the principles: Do not fry on the way down the stock (because I do not know when it is at the end, where price is at the end), select only the stock rally has been established. In the rally in stocks has been established, to find the strongest trends, the longest rally of the stock. We are in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets in individual stocks last five years, a statistical trend, reached the following conclusions: if a stock hit a new high in the day or in the near future a new high, the stock the next 60 days time the possibility of a new high more than 70%. In contrast, if a stock hit a new low in the day or in the recent lows, the stock the next 60 days time the possibility of new lows as high as 60%. Conclusion Please keep in mind --- 7 to 3 chance of winning, why not choose 30 stocks upward average Angtou choose at the bottom of the stock and take the downward path of the stocks? At the bottom of the stock or take a downward spiral in the stock will only make you lose money or lose time.
The second principle is: Choose to run along the 45-degree angle upward, and gradually decreasing the stock trading volume. Along the 45-degree angle upward trend of the stock of the most stable, the longest trend. It's very much building and technical personnel to 45 degrees or near the stairs into the shape of 45 degrees, because this is the most stable shape, we have this trend characteristics of the stock as "the stairs stock." Once a trend if you are close to 45-degree angle, while volume was progressively reduced stock, then you all likelihood, is the discovery of the banker's shadow in the corridor.
Principle 3: options to buy shares of a continuous daily limit. Continuous limit-shares mostly appear in the trend for the better when the involvement of these stocks are the most exciting. Since the implementation of or restrictions on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, we have pairs of stocks after the daily limit for several years the trend follow-up study, through the past two years there have been daily limit of statistical research and analysis to track the stock, reached the following conclusions:
Daily limit short-term trend analysis of
1, limit-share trend the next day. There have been daily limit through the analysis of the stock, the highest point of the next day average or daily limit of 5.92 percent, according to the following day's closing price, the average return of 2.86%. Therefore, if the daily limit short-term intervention stocks, the next day average yield is much higher than the secondary market rate of return, even if the average return rate, annualized yield at least 65%.
2, limit-stock the next day and their movements between high and low stock prices. Limit-stock the next day and its stock price movements have a close relationship between high and low, through research can be found below 7 yuan limit-day closing stock average rose more than 4%, far higher than the 2.86 percent average yield, therefore, involved in low-cost limit - stocks investment rate of return will be higher. We also found that involvement of more than 20 yuan daily limit high-priced stocks are also relatively high rates of return.
3, limit-stock the next day and its trend of the relationship between the size of Liu Tongpan. Individual stocks in the daily limit, the flow of capital in the 3000-8000 trend million shares the next day better, average or much above average. Perhaps the daily limit is the disk unit heavy volume may be a larger level of the main intervention, as opposed to small-cap stocks (only as big as) and ultra-large-cap stocks (plates too, to continue pulled a certain degree of difficulty)'s sake. Therefore, the involvement of 3000-8000 million plates of the limit-higher-yielding stocks.
The medium-term trend analysis of limit-Unit
The medium-term trend of individual stocks after the daily limit --- There are four limit-up after unilateral; limit-down after unilateral; limit-up after the first, after a slight decline; limit-up after the first, after a slight decline. Research limit-Unit The purpose of the medium-term trends, if not timely intervention after the daily limit to sell the stock, held by the center line, then returns by how much. We found that unilateral upstream and the first trend down slightly after rising as high as 65% of the proportion that the limit-Stock medium-term upward trend in the probability of large, daily limit the movement of individual stocks significantly better than other stocks. Of course, the center line of holding stocks for the daily limit, had to refer to the broader market, and the fundamentals of individual stocks.
