Category: Money Tips Date: 2007-07-25
The greatest feature of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is: price does not rise up the key to making fried not fried. When making the most hype passion? Makers in the low-cost chips to eat when the stomach is most passionate one. Therefore, the retail stocks with the village if the dealer's position to judge the situation accurately, completed their Zhuanggu Dinglao a Jiancang, when pulled up in his forthcoming intervention is bound to gain a wealth of value-added fission surprises. This is inside the key is how to find the dealer has Chibaohezu, I have many years of experience to read the tape is one of the characteristics with the following preliminary judgments can be Jiancang maker has entered the end: First, put a small amount can be pulled out Changyang or block its daily limit of the sub-shares. After the IPO, the banker admitted Xihuo phase of new shares, after a period of time to collect, if the dealer with very little money can be easily pulled out daily limit, it means that the dealer chip collection is almost complete, it has had Kongpan capacity, can be arbitrary control disk.
Second, K-line trend in its own way, ignoring the broader market out of the independent Quotes stocks. Some stocks, broader market up it is not up, big Pandie it does not fall. This usually means that most of the chips have fallen into the bag makers: When the general trend downward, there is Fuchouzapan, bookmakers Bianba chips try to jack, sealed down space, to prevent low-cost chips to be robbed of the go; trend upward or stabilized, there is hot money grab plate, but the dealer at this time due to various reasons they do not want to launch market, so there are fierce Zapan appear shut up stock space, to prevent disruption of short-term hot money speculation scheme. K-line form of the stock sideways, or slightly shocks along its own run average.
Third, K-line trend of ups and downs, while the hourly charts severe shock, volume withering. Banker to the collection of the late short-term profits in order to wash plates, while away the confidence of retail shareholders, we do plan to use a small amount of chips. K line from the Japanese perspective, stock prices fluctuating trend, while to the wave, while to the bottom, but the price is always red tank top is not broken do not break down also Xiangdi. The hourly charts the same day is even more severe shock. Venezuela to buy, commissions selling price gap between the very large, and sometimes a difference of a few minutes, sometimes a difference of a few cents, giving a kind of inexplicable, erratic feelings. Volume is also very irregular, and sometimes a few minutes before closing, and sometimes 10 minutes after a turnover, time trend of drawing out the horizontal or vertical, forming a rectangular volume is also withering. Sell-off when on a very light, lower support strong, very few floating chips.
Fourth, the event of bad crack down on stock prices drop, although slightly up, or the day of immeasurable callback, but then closed out the sun the next day, the stock quickly restored to its original price. Sudden bad hit, the bookmakers by surprise, retail chips can be thrown and run, but can only bear the dealer. So hit bad disk can be seen that day, after selling a lot of opening and then plate more, and soon to reduce selling, stock prices stabilized. As the fear of individual investors picked up cheaper chips, the second day of the dealer price was again pulled up early to the original level. If Min-Fu Fa November 5 last year by the Securities and Futures Commission punished because of the company, the share price the day slid nearly 1 million opening day a banker on the pulled up.
"A simple calculation of the positions and the dealer cost"
How can we get from the K-line diagrams and turnover in the simple calculation of the positions and the dealer cost? According to the author careful analysis and study that should be used to calculate the turnover is accurate.
�formula for calculating the turnover volume divided by the total number of shares outstanding multiplied by 100%. Because we have to calculate Jiancang from the beginning to the beginning of the dealer pulled up the total turnover during the period, therefore, in my experience, the weekly chart of the maximum reference value.
�see chart stocks weekly K, Zhou average parameters can be set to 5,10,20, when the weekly average K-line map system was arranged long time, we can prove that a dealer involved in the unit. Only in making a lot of money involved, the individual stocks in the low turnover will continue to enlarge, which is making Jiancang characteristics. It is precisely because of the shortage of chips, so that the gradual rise in stock prices before making weekly average K-line system was arranged long, we have found a dealer can be initially determined.
�both short-term, middle or long-term banker, its Kongpan should be of at least 20% or more, and only 20% of the shares Kongpan was done up, less than 20% unless the big city, very good, otherwise it is not doing village. If Kongpan 20% -40%, and the shares of the most active, but more Fu Chou, up less space, pulled up more difficult; if Kongpan volume of 40% -60%, with an active stock level of better, more space, the extent reached a relatively Kongpan; Kongpan if it is over 60% of the amount of the poor level of activity, but the room is great, and this is definitely Kong Pan, big dark horse mostly produced in this area Kongpan. Why is there such a law? Because a stock turnover of 20% is usually locked immobile, these are the absolute long-term investors. While the remaining 80% of the chips in circulation, only 20% of which is the most active floating chips, if you put 20% of the chips finished the collection on the market seldom Fu Chou, and so can be generally Kong Pan. The last 60% of the chips is relatively stable, if the dealer re-absorption by half, or 30%, then the dealer is a bargaining chip in the hands of 50% of the Kongpan, plus 20% of long-term investors, equivalent to 70% of dealer control chips. In this way, the dealer will be able to control the direction of price movement. It is also used by the majority of bookmakers Kongpan level. If the dealer Kongpan more than 60%, only 20% of the outside Fu Chou. Makers can control the arbitrary price. Investors Yaogen village, it is best with the positions of more than 50% of the village. Of course, the bigger the better positions because the positions increase with the large amount of lanes are proportional relationship.
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