Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-12-27
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: Sinopec shares such indicators intraday substantial correction, exacerbated by the release of systemic risk. On the other hand, there is a strong pre-oversold stocks rebound in demand for their target shares fall but rebound increase in weight. So, how can we take this opportunity to oversold bounce?
Game Analysis
A) the main and policies of the Game:
At this stage the structure of differentiation Quotes in stocks outside the index stocks bleeding are quite obvious, as a general decline in more than half. With the skyrocketing stock index ended the stage, this structure will also be the pattern of differentiation toward the end, stocks oversold bounce requirements are becoming stronger. But how to make use of the oversold bounce of the stock market, we need to have some essentials.
1) The pressure indicator unit, is intended to rebound: Indicator Unit of the short-term or too large, there is shock finishing requirements, it is the general law of stock prices; but once today's intraday stock index fell sharply, there are clear signs of pressure, does not meet the current market situation. The following main reasons: First, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China has been short-term valuation is reasonable, why is the strength of it alone? In addition to unit-linked Hong Kong banks, the major reason for this is because of the need to stabilize the market; the political context in which indicators of stock even if the decline will only take a slow approach. Second, the indicator unit is a valuation-based, objective to support the current stock price, it is not easy because of panic out phenomenon.
Therefore, the main pressure on the index stocks, it should be to prepare for the rebound. On the one hand, pressure can be indicators of stock index down to form the index plunge withdraw sword of the situation, so as to rebound and create an environment for a large city; the other hand, suppress the index stocks that can cause panic sell into psychology, washed off ahead of bargain-hunting chips, thereby reducing withdraw sword in the afternoon plunge in profits in the process of selling.
2) The rebound characteristics and grasp the essentials: the decision oversold bounce efforts by many factors, so that we mentioned two aspects. First, good news with the surface. The main sections in line with the characteristics of science and technology sections, especially the 3G. According to statistics, the first three quarters this year, investment in telecommunications there was a substantial increase in fixed assets, mainly in rural telecommunications network, the construction and investment in 3G network construction, while the pilot 3G networks are also expected to be to stimulate the use of price factors. In addition to 3G, the coastal section is also the possibility of good news, primarily targeting financial center in Tianjin, and submitted application for stock exchange and is awaiting approval. The second area is larger decreases in small-cap stocks. Such stocks as Liu Tongpan small, needs funds pulled little susceptible to the main favor.
Strategy, the best choice for a good plate-based units, namely, home loans to borrowers are more likely to form once the rebound effect of plate. The foundation is not strong at the plate stocks, selection criteria are supported by good fundamentals, the best money down before the apparent involvement of signs, and a larger volume.
B) the main financial Game:
Deliberately suppressed in the petrochemical, and other main indicators of stocks, mainly manufacturing market panic sell into psychology, but a considerable part of the motivation oversold stocks fell significantly decreased, and there is money involved in signs of short-term capital is expected to be ready for the big rebound. Wuhan Iron and Steel put warrants for four days in a row substantially today after a sudden backhand long on the maximum up to 500% or so. This windfall opportunity for the sex trade should be a profitable means of a microcosm of the mainstream market outlook.
3) between the medium and small retail game:
The proposed goal orientation can be oversold bounce in blue chip stocks, for the short-term or excessive core blue chips, you can consider progressively lighten up.
Disk X-ray: a rebound is expected to continue tomorrow, Xiao-yang at close.
The opportunity to plate is expected to: science and technology for home loans to borrowers is expected to have better performance.
Market Risk point: the core of blue-chip speculation will be temporarily come to an end, the valuation is relatively reduced space and pay attention to out rallies.
Protection measures: It is recommended rallies to trim, proper control positions.
