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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
A bear market, one of the biggest problems lies in how the out rallies. This involves how to determine the strong resistance, especially the strong rebound in the resistance problem. Generally speaking, a bear market rally, or up to a strong resistance in the vicinity, that is, out of the opportunity. Determine rebound resistance, the following determining methods:
(A) averages method
In general, the bear market in the stock price with the average relationship is:
Shares in the bottom of 5,10,20,30,60,100,120,250 antenna. Dance between the rebound is average. Strong resistance is usually in the 20 antennas. For example, the June 6, 2002 started from 1455 points, a rebound, that is, more than twice blocked at 20 antenna. But for individual stocks, the situation is vastly different. The top of the moving average, the more long-term moving average, the greater the resistance, the harder it crossed. June 18 to lead the department store category section, thereby bringing about broad market rebound in terms of the first department store that day intraday daily limit, but the limit-board 8.99 yuan, 8.95 yuan exactly the same day, the basic overlap of 250 antennas. As a result the stock intraday sell-off, such as Chung. The next day, ie June 19 on the biggest loser. Can be seen that once a bear market near the heavy volume selling and long-term moving average, which is "immediately ship" time.
(B) Morphology
Generally speaking, a triangle Ye Hao, box, double-headed, triple top, head and shoulders top, diamond and other forms, there are important technical place, mainly neckline bit or the bottom line. Once the important bits neckline or below the bottom line is effectively, then it has become an important resistance level. In this way, in order to neckline bit, pre-goal rally in the bottom line, etc., once in the neckline bit, pre-positions, such as in or near the bottom line meet resistance, the same as "immediately shipped" opportunities. For example, the May 16, 2002 Powei April 2 low, that is two-headed point of the neckline-bit 1575, after May 17, May 21 twice bounced back to around 1575 points, 1570 points and 1599 points , the result is meet resistance, the "bounce in place, immediately shipped" investment, have circumvented after the band of downside risk.
(3) K-line method
In general, high release within six months, the maximum amount of that a K-line, its low, opening, closing, high points, where the resistance is strong. As this is six months, the maximum amount of lies is high, so to run this stock is bound to lead to lock-plate pressure.
On the first department store, for example, the Unit June 18 high of 8.99 yuan limit-position, just is in the most recent high number of K-line's closing price near the opening price. April 10 heavy volume 1600 shares of stock belonging to the most recent large-scale, shares opened 9.1 to close at 9.08, low 8.92, high 9.56. Among them, the low of 8.92, 9.1 opening, closing 9.08 from the June 18 unit high, limit-position of 8.99 yuan, very close. June 18 the day of surging share price sell-off hardly surprising: it is the price due to the nearby lock-plate. Moreover, K-line resistance coincides with the 250 or close to the antenna and so on.
