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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: The repeated shocks of today's big city can be understood as follows: First, the tape transfer not go, be strong. Second, the repeated shocks that index is not stable, is a prelude to Xi Pan. We slightly prefer the latter. Investors operating strategy is to ... ....
Today's bad news: The CBRC punished under the influence of illegal funds into the market, the index opened down after the rapid once a day Quotes repeated shocks. Among them, the Shanghai index is weaker shocks, while the Shen Chengzhi is the shock strength.
From the disk to see large city can have two kinds of repeated shocks to understand: tape transfer does not go on, despite the bad are just added to the index of repeated shocks, when the bad effects disappeared, the market will be able to return to the rally.
Another understanding is that the repeated shocks that index has not stabilized, is a prelude to Xi Pan.
We slightly prefer the latter, of course, this is only two hundred points Xi Pan shock rather than a sharp adjustment in the beginning of that stage.
1, today's tape out of the repeated shocks of the stock market.
Bad news today, the index under the influence of repeated shocks. The Shanghai Composite Index gone relatively weak, in the 11:10 of the second wave of decline, the first time below the lowest point. The Shen Chengzhi down in the second wave, the low on the ends for the first time. In the end, the day on the Shanghai Composite Index rose 16 points, the increase rate of 0.38%, Shen Chengzhi the day up 141 points, the increase rate is 1%.
From the hot side, today's big rise in the main city of 000,503 Rainbow Holdings is led by shares of Internet stocks. 000,503 Haihong Holding limit-board 600.77 thousand shares of the Arts is also limit-a. 600,839 shares of Microsoft and the concept of Sichuan Changhong, the tide of 600,756 software also has relatively good performance. Another, brokerage section of the 000,563 limit-Shan Guotou also had. But, overall, today's hot market, more partial, more cold.
Second, the trend of today's disk is strong or weak?
Today's disk movements from different point of view, can have different interpretations.
See more who can be considered strong. Since the index hit with bad news, still out of the upside of the stock market, broad market eventually closed out the Yang Xian.
Those who look at the empty can be considered the broader market did not continue the momentum of yesterday's sharp rise, but out of the repeated shocks of the stock market. Indicates the long lack of power.
We have a slight preference for big cities should Xipan reasons are:
First, gapped opened yesterday, based on inadequate, but today there is no strength to continue long upside. This is a bull with limited strength characteristics.
Second, the broader market has come to a near 4300 point mark, profit plate, loosened the pressure plate are particularly large, non-stop innovation and high potential. Callback Click to accumulate power and then hit a new high, it might be better.
Third, today's bad policy could be a signal that there will be bad recently introduced.
Of course, we estimate that this time, Xi Pan is only 23 days, the Shanghai index of the size of two hundred points. After Xi Pan, the index is likely to impact on 4500 o'clock.
Third, investors operating strategies.
We estimate that the broader market if you want to Xi Pan is carried out within 12 days. But the intensity is also very limited.
Investors can consider to ignore it and continue to do more. In this way, when the Xi Pan can not be afraid, you should adhere to see more, do more. Broader market rose on the firm can not do more, the index fell, they determined to see the empty, short.
Of course, you might consider avoiding. Thrown disc that is profit, and so the callback and then buy. The advantage of this approach, it is possible to capture the market at different stages of the different hot spots. - We estimate that Xi Pan, the market's hot spots will be different with this two-day hot spot. After the throw, you can market a new stage in time to capture new hot spot.
If you choose to evade the operation strategy should also note that if the tape is a major positive influence, another record high, we may have to re-enter the market of the. This is to be flexible to deal with. After all, market's mid-term trend is upward.