Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-09-16
Intensified Jiancang tune warehouse to meet in November in New Shenglang
The decline in pre-holiday is extremely short the market again, and some pessimistic people even believe that a comprehensive share reform has been launched, stock reform Quote this end, some pre-determined to see the confidence of many investors began to waver. While the broader market this week, stabilization, but volatile, so investors do not mind remained generally steadfast, mentality Change With the broader market ups and downs.
Quotes lot of people will be defined as the current round of split share structure reform, market, but we think that the current round of market information four years after the end of oversold bear market rally, but the split share structure reform will increase the strength of a rebound. Round Quotes and macroeconomic fundamentals, as well as the factors listed companies do not have a big relationship, bluntly, is a technical rally, so to judge this round Quotes technical is more important than the fundamentals.
1, adjustment will be a continuation of the tone oscillator is finishing
Tape from the September 20 highest 1223 points in 7 trading days would fall to the lowest point of 1129, down to 8.37%, we can not say much, this is the market spike on the reasons for pessimism. However, from July 19 the minimum 1004 points to the September 20 the highest point of 1223, the Shanghai index rose 219 points, during the period August 18 although substantially, but the adjustment of just one day, the whole process can be considered the primary up without adequate adjustment, the recent adjustment is clearly rising to the entire process of the medium-term adjustment, the recent adjustment of the relative decline of view, to the current round only the overall gain of 42.92 percent Quotes, but also belong to a strong adjustment, so we also have no reason to bearish afternoon.
Wave Quotes usually have three waves, the current round of Quotes from the morphology of view, from July 20 to September 20 increased by just completed the first one wave, and the present operation is obviously two wave adjustment, then there are 3 waves. Quotes of the first wave 3 wave is the main Shenglang, its strength and continuity of time, generally more than one wave, so that the big round Quotes opportunities lie ahead. However, from the technical indicators, the broader market adjustment will continue for some time, such as the KDJ has now established a repair Sicha take several weeks.
We believe that, although the market's future adjustments may not have a large room, or even may not fall below September 28 low of 1129 points, but the time will also need to continue for several weeks. We expect the broad market as a whole in October will be around 1150 points, up and down oscillation, in November will start the 3rd round Quotes wave that now is a good time to Jiancang tune warehouse, we recommend investors to a very good grasp.
Second, the nature of the current round Quotes of the oversold stocks are still hot in the future Quotes
Looking at the current round of Quotes from the July 20 launch has been the evolution of hot spots, although each section of the bubbling has some reason or theme, such as the ST segment, stock reform plates, new energy blocks and so on, but its essence is did not leave fallen too far. ST stocks in bear market in recent years, the largest decrease, and therefore become the biggest gainer this round Quotes plate, according to statistics on July 20 to September 20 of the stock market for two months, the entire ST plates an average rise of 70%. Quotes of the big round While the first stocks Niugu G Tianwei change, the latter is the speculation of new energy concept, but its essence has not fallen too far away. Same stocks stock reform, G on the Hong Kong stock reform, even in the hottest time of plate is also no performance July 20 rose 15% since the broader market, the stock fell by 12%, the reason is a bear market gains in recent years, too. Quotes have been repeatedly look at the current round of new energy bubbling plate was fried and all are oversold stocks, such as Anhui BBCA Biochemical Co., Guangdongganhua and so on.
In recent years, because of oversold stocks are generally not the main force involved, so round to oversold stocks rebounded as the main feature of the stock market appeared to be mainly off-site incremental funding committed. Rising from oversold stocks extent and intensity of view, the main force involved in the general deep, just up by a band simply could not be completed Jiancang to exit from the process, which determines the oversold stocks will continue to be the next phase of the bubbling Quotes thread . Therefore, no matter what the subject matter to give the next bubbling hot, but never leave fallen too far, suggest that investors in the current market's adjustment is still necessary to bear in recent years, the process of oversold stocks as the accumulation or transfer the object positions.
