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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
According to the changes in volume to find dark horse, investors were first noticed. If the main accumulation is more firm, then rose sharply when the big bang, a fall, a sharp Su Liang will become the main theme of Jiancang phase of volume change. Although many cases, the main accumulation would be more subtle movements, volume changes in regularity is not obvious, but not without a trace can be identified. Is an important tool to observe the volume averages. If the average trading volume in the vicinity of frequent vibration, when the volume of shares rose more than average, but fell below the average when the volume more, then the unit should be close attention to objects. Because this shows that continuous chips are concentrated in the hands of the main force.
Note that, investors from the change in volume for "dark horse" when the stock price changes must be combined for analysis. Because most stocks have some big, and their short-term access, it will also lead to fluctuations in volume, the key is to trade caused by such a random fluctuation and the main intention to absorb the fluctuations caused by separated. We know that there is no deliberate suppressing random fluctuations in the stock issue, turnover prone to emit when the stock price increased by leaps and bounds, while the main accumulation is bound to drive down the purchase price, so the rise in stock prices and trading volume have a certain continuity. Based on this principle, changes in trading volume and stock prices to establish a link between Change, through the technical means to filter out those who share turnover leap amplified picture of the actual chips concentration.
Volume accumulation is another important observation object, it is the main force for judging the cost of the Jiancang has an important role. In addition to newly-listed shares, the majority of the stock has traded a dense area, the stock to break through the region needs to consume a large amount of energy, and it has become an important Jiancang main areas, often can be found here at relatively low cost to collect to a large number of chips. Therefore, those who stuck with just an important breakthrough in the history area, and in the following areas of cumulative volume of individual stocks reaching record highs, it is very worthy of attention because it shows that the main strength of the new intervention is far better than in the past, its cost is higher Jiancang If there is no more room for the afternoon, then big money is not easily get out of trouble for the venue of funds.
However, if the cumulative volume is not large, so-called "easy-off top", then the need for vigilance, as it is often the main force of the original, due to massive accumulation of chips have been made much easier lift. While this does not necessarily mean that the stock price does not hit a new high, but no doubt the main costs are lower than they have seen, therefore, operations need to be more emphasis on risk control, the stock market, particularly when the overall trend of weakening of caution.
Should be noted that, in the main start Jiancang, the volume of a region of more intensive, then the main force in the region near the Jiancang cost more, because whether it is true or to buy the main right knocking, need to be costly, transaction-intensive The most important area is the main cost areas, the cumulative volume and turnover is higher, then the main accumulation of more full of chips, and often has a stronger strength of such shares when the time comes, is often likely to become an overnight success, becoming a horse "super dark horse."
How judged that the changes in volume
The stock market, there is an old saying: "Technical indicators for the ever-changing, trading volume is the real deal." We can say that the size of turnover, directly indicates the long-short market, the two sides of the market at some point the technical form of the final level of acceptance. Now, the writer's two kinds of typical situations to make some analysis.
1, moderate heavy volume. This refers to a turnover of individual stocks continued to slump in the early stage after the sudden appearance of a similar "Yamagata" moderate heavy volume as a continuous form, such a heavy volume form, also called "quantity heap." Stock appears at the bottom of the "quantity heap" phenomenon, the general strength can prove that funds involved. But that does not mean that investors can immediately intervene, the general share price at the bottom of a moderate heavy volume, the stock price will increase with the amount, the amount of shrinkage when the stock price will be adjusted appropriately. Such adjustment is not a fixed time mode, as little as 10 days, as many as several months, so at this time must be in batches Buying investors, and the reasons in support of the buying has not been proven wrong time, there is enough patience to wait. Important to note that when stock prices rose moderately heavy volume, after the adjustment should not be less than the heavy volume of its early lows, as adjusted, if less than the cost of the main Jiancang area, or at least explain the market sell-off is still very great, may be adjusted market outlook is greater.
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2, sudden massive release. Analyzing such trends, it should be divided into several different situations to treat. In general, the process put up huge amount usually indicates the strength of the use of multi-exhausted, afternoon continue to rise will be difficult. Fell in the process of massive general Kongfangliliang mostly focused on the last release, the possibility of afternoon to continue deep down is very small, short-term rebound may be in front of. Another situation is that adverse economic contribution, the empty sound of shouting in the market when a heavy volume upside, resulting in a very eye-catching effect. Such stocks often only one or two days of the stock market, and then drop has accelerated, so many heavy volume day upside follow-up investors are stuck with.
Another point we should note that the main funds in accumulation when the volume does not necessarily have much, so long as there is enough patience, more consolidation at the bottom line for some time. While the main force to be shipped, because of the hands of too many chips, it will always find ways to set up a variety of traps. Therefore, a comprehensive review of the unit should be a long running track, understand the price which it is located, the amount of energy level and its fundamental relationship between the rules and find out the main activities in the afternoon the potential of individual stocks through a comprehensive analysis to identify where we intervention or shipping time.
Although the indicators of technical analysis as many as hundreds of species, but the final analysis, nothing more than the basic price and volume and other indicators of nothing more than variations of these two indicators or extension. As we all know the basic principle of price-volume relationship is "volume is a result, price is the fruit; the amount of earlier, prices in the post," that volume is the internal driving force of changes in stock prices, thus the amount of people to export a wide range of prices between rules, used to refer to people of specific investments. However, in practice, people will find that under price-volume relationship for a specific trade in securities, often mistakes, especially the main judge in accordance with volume shipments and Xi Pan, the failure rate higher than when the ship mistakenly put Xi Pan premature to sell, which lost profit opportunities, that is mistakenly shipped when Xi Pan, the out of not, the result is lost opportunities to ship. So, how actual investment volume changes in accordance with the correct entry and exit determine the main direction of, or how to change according to volume and accurately determine the main force in the shipping or Xipan it?
In general, when the main not yet ready to lift stock prices, the stock's performance is often very boring, the volume change is very small, study of volume at this time no real meaning, not in a good concluded that the main intent. However, once the main force of heavy volume prop up share prices, the main whereabouts will be exposed to, we have such a strong Zhuanggu stock is called, this time study the changes in volume of great practical importance at this time, if we can accurately to capture the main signs of the Xi Pan and decisive intervention, often within a short period of time can get very good benefits. Practice has proved that the following characteristics according to changes in volume can be the backbone for strong Zhuang Gu Xi Pan is not to make a more accurate judgments:
First, because the main active involvement of the original boring stock significantly larger in volume, driven to become active, there has been Jiashengliangzeng trend. Then, the main force pulled up sharply after the order to neutralize the barriers, forced to wash away the short-term profit-plate force, which acts Xipan the performance of K-line diagram for the yin and yang-and-white sideways shocks at the same time, because the main objective is to retail investors out, therefore, stock prices tend to become K-line form obvious "head shape."
Secondly, in the main phase of Xi Pan, K-line combinations are often large continuous overcast, and received more than the number of overcast and cloudy when they accompanied each received a huge volume, as if the main are engaged in shipping, in fact not the case, careful observation of we will discover, when there is more massive big yin, the stock price seldom fell below the 10-day moving average line, short-term moving average of the stock constitutes a strong support, the main signs of low cover at a glance, that is, skilled workers say "massive Zhang Yin price is not down, there must be the main Xipan up."
Thirdly, in the main Xi Pan, as a volume change in key indicators judged OBV, the amount of lines are also some obvious features, mainly as follows: When the above massive Great Yin, the price of 5, 10 average daily volume of line has always been to keep up to run, indicating the main has been Masukura, stock trading was active, optimistic market outlook. In addition, the volume of the quantitative indicators of OBV high turbulence in the stock, and always keep up, even if the instantaneous drop will quickly pull up and be able to create a new high recently, which shows the amount of energy just from the point of view, the stock already has a substantial conditions for a rise
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