Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-07-14
Everything has two explanations: the phenomenon of solution and the fundamental solution. Most people tend to the analysis of the phenomenon of solution, the reasons for the phenomenon to explain, but the solution can only explain the phenomenon of surface, and is to follow behind the facts, you must come and go, to adapt to the ever-changing phenomenon, the phenomenon can not be in-depth Behind the fundamental reason to find that only the fundamental solution provides insight into the nature of things, understanding the future changes. In other words, the phenomenon of solution can only explain the past, the future of the fundamental solution can be explained. The stock price is reflecting the future is not reflected in the past, so the stock market should pursue the fundamental solution, rather than the phenomenon of solution. However, the analysis of the general media, are based on the facts, often aimed at explaining the facts that have occurred, most of them tend to be the phenomenon of solution, only a very small number of analysis can go deep into the fundamental solution. So, if we read the newspapers and magazines over the past terms, and afterwards proved that those who had the foresight not many, most of them are plug-in to tell a story for the past to find a cause that the actual cause, the heart is rather an, is rather pragmatic. However, after a recall, the reasons for these in the past does not lead the future, the linear relationship between the past and the future does not exist, even though there is often less than the correlation into the three, is not reliable.
According to linear to analyze the stock market or to analyze the basis of information tends to flow in the phenomenon of solution. Only on the basis of political economic analysis of the environment or the economy, or the chips according to the relationship between the funds in order to obtain a fundamental solution. In Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market point of view, to scale, so that the oil, China Construction Bank and other large domestic listed stocks to return to official international-oriented, otherwise the total market capitalization in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is only 400 billion U.S. dollars of view, a major U.S. fund, you might buy take stock of all listed companies in China, in the case of such a small scale to conduct financial liberalization, it is easy to international capital Kong Pan, so scale is an international-oriented premise. In the past, heard a large-scale expansion of the stock market is regarded as a great scourge, the stock market crashed down, but this time the old and new draw-off after the release of the draft, the stock market actually rose, breaking with past practice. From the phenomena of solution, this is abnormal, but the fundamental solutions of point of view, but higher expansion, but it is inevitable that the answer, so the phenomenon of solution and the fundamental solution is often just the opposite, which is generally one of the main operating losses, too pay attention to the phenomenon of solution, ignoring a fundamental solution.
To enter the basic solution, it is necessary perspective behind the phenomenon of nature, from the space jumped into the time, no need to rush, for the nature of things, nature, ontology have some experience. To know how to upstream and downstream, to be able to care little on the large, to be able to use the error. These accomplishments are the necessary conditions for access to the basic solution.
