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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Beijing in the first place
First, predicting trends: short-term downward pressure on bottom.
1, tomorrow forecast: continued to decline. Monday Gaokaidizou Shanghai and Shenzhen cities, showing unilateral Suliang down trend. K-line map to see from the Shanghai Composite stock index has fallen through 5 and 10 day moving average, the next file the apparent lack of moving average support. At the same time, today the two cities are close to the lowest point of closing, K-line showing bald barefoot in the form of Yin Xian, which augured well for tomorrow broader market to continue downward trend may occur.
â‘?index fluctuation range: 3600 points -3,860 points;
â‘?Run: Su Liang bottom shock.
â‘?trend of focus: first, the three macro-economic data this week announced soon, CPI continues to move up, has been among the expectations, the management take measures to control overheating in the economy has become the focus of current concern investors; Article Second, at present, more than average on the index constitutes a counter-pressure, indexes lower support regional war era? Has become a recent focus of investor attention.
2, short, middle trend: In fact, the special treasury bonds and IPO speed, as well as the gradual return of red chips, are awash with liquidity management of one of the ways. The CPI data for further higher, as well as macroeconomic overheating, has gradually become the focus of the management of the macro-control targets. Lower the interest rate hike taxes and re-tightening of monetary policy is still awash with liquidity management of one of the measures. Can be seen in the macroeconomic adjustment process, the performance of listed companies in the next two years, can continue to maintain an overall growth, will become the test market, an important factor. Technology from the market perspective, as the 10-day moving average North fallen through, short-term broad market down to the test July 6 low of 3563.54 points, and half of the line pressure will increase, this index re-dip process, will bring short-term the best selling points.
Second, the main trend analysis: multi-uninterested, making air kinetic energy to face the short-term focus on vent.
1, long the main trends analysis: Monday, due to a shock in the overall market down trend, intraday stocks mostly down the main. Although some individual stocks limit-times of adversity, but more performance behavior for stocks. Tenacious support the market last week, the beginning of the heavyweight division, showing the multi-camp began to fission. More typical of China's Ping An and China Life Insurance, China Unicom and other heavyweights up, did not stop stock decline, while Sinopec, Baosteel, Yangtze Power, as well as banks and other heavyweights are making adjustments, but tomorrow when the rising insurance Monday heavyweight appeared Budie of stock will be the worse. In addition, the Hongyuan Securities, Jilin Aodong the strongest first-half performance and other brokerage stocks, there continuous adjustment, kam lung and some other species and even shares a substantial leading decliners, showing performance growth factors are also difficult to change the confidence of investors to reduce holdings of facts. Performance of growth stocks like this, other lofty stock price, but the lack of performance of supported species, the short-term face downward pressure may sell into a larger. This means that multi-uninterested circumstances, short-term market will usher in a new phase of chips loose.
2, short analysis of the main trends: Lin Hai oversold shares, etc. there another new cap, lower the bad end of the trend, the West Marine shares, shares and other stocks that began the Rainbow led decliners, short-term market momentum for air vent facing the concentrated, investors should pay attention to panic sexual sell into stocks posed downside risks.
3, the operation strategy: market Powei down, markets face for air vent their kinetic energy to focus, for those who supported the lack of performance in high-priced stocks should focus on prevention Budie risk; lighten up for those who are already ahead of the investors, may be concerned about the broader market fell again the process, Stock re-emergence of bargain-hunting opportunities.
Fourth, real gold pool: None.