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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Many people like to do short-term, because short-term does not require a lot of fundamental analysis as well as a sense of the kind of striving hard to stimulate.
However, more dependent on short-term technical analysis, technical analysis is only really understood the true meaning of the future, combined with the stock market real case, summed up for your own ideas and technology. Before talking about the trick, we need to think the following issues:
1, do you have formed some ideas?
2, you choose whether the target carried out a detailed technical analysis, and countermeasures plan to buy later?
The first problem here to make some explanation (only short-term):
1, first of all is to stock picking. Understand the objectives of the stock market there are many, but really can be done will not be many varieties of short-term, we recall that a better short-term performance of each species will not be many, it is estimated will not exceed 100. These tickets are not will have the opportunity each week, a year also has lead to several opportunities for short-term striving hard. So you have to stock picking, stock must be sexually active, the mass base is relatively better.
2, second is to have volume. Since it is a short-term, then the market should choose the focus (here, not to mention the lead, to understand the difference between focus and lead), the focus is the market where the popularity and financial activity, according to volume changes, experience the wonders of short-term access.
3, shares the stage to determine sex. Even if the stock of a good vote, a year most active time of no more than 2 months, and therefore at what stage of the stocks must have an accurate judgments, adopt a different strategy.
4, tape effects. Generally not recommended for short-term falling trend, notably a wave of rebound coming to an end or decline of the Po Wei, easy to sell into the deep fragmentation, or increase a loss. The rebound in the wake of deep-down, should be used to recover the first limit-closure of the most decisive, while the latter used to do small-Zhuang Gu, down on the way to do oversold bounce and so forth used strategy. Therefore, different stages of the tape, should have different short-term strategies.
There are other considerations, such an idea after the disk combined with the day and decided to short-term trading.
Here to talk about some short-term technical issues, Gann, Elliott and other major application is nothing more than statistical theory, combined with a number of other factors come to the application of the techniques in the stock market, on-line see a lot of bookworms in the show off, it is dogma. If you really want to do short-term, to the A-share market history Niugu come up to them carefully (of course, speculation will continue to change tactics, but also constantly analyzing, any technology can not be avoided), striving hard to know how to carry out short-term as well as the countermeasures. Wave Theory - Wave theory, people easily, it is estimated they themselves have no clear. Because the key is that you do not know now is a continuation of the past or the beginning of the future. As a result, you sleepwalk few others sleepwalk to see, eventually engage in a sleepwalk.
Gann Theory - I think that the essence of Gann theory of combat, while not a Gann cycle. When Wall Street got 45 years, this book, really do not see any User comments so exciting, a bit random, just felt Gann took probability and statistics for analysis. Then right before the stock market is also a reality, a summary and response analysis, there are actual techniques of Gann.
Trends in theory - a look at the trend is obvious and sometimes rough, look closely into question. Many of my friends like to Chart to show trends, but many of the stock in fact due to pulse, so there is a problem with drawing lines. Draw a line determine if this trend is changing, it becomes relatively confused.
Supply and demand curves - the stock market transactions, production, is that both sides feel that closing transactions at reasonable prices. That is the supply curve and demand curves generate the intersection, but do use this model, the problems brought about is that when the stock goes up, the trends have an impact on supply and demand, the holder will increase the supply of expectations. This effect also brings a hard to grasp.
Pressure Support - This is the price to run the most important reference. People walk more, it becomes a road, the same reason that many people set the price, and it becomes pressure.
Once the pressure has been breakthrough into the support. Pressure on prices and transaction support is important to accumulate, for to do disk sector, the plan is often the price as a target, it is more horizontal than the X-weight, while the accumulation of transaction, as fortifications built by the intensity, the more the more firmly on the show .
Technical indicators - the concept of using mathematical language, and then see if there are no clear rules or boundaries. But many people often forget that indicators came in., but dogma to superstition. To be honest, I could easily be a good idea to write indicator, and then verify, than what many people are superstitious password, a good indicator. However, I am still a little used, only for observation, comprehensive judgments.
Break-even - as long as the stock market has not been closed, there will never be break-even. Time course is always a dynamic process, like life. As long as you have not been eliminated, you have a chance, but the fact is that you tend to fall in the stock market once again.
A group of stocks deviate from the annual rate of significant time, that is often when the broader market slump, but also broader market bottomed out when the medium-term.
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Chip distribution - can know the cost of chips, as well as the distribution of the market, as the operations have to know ourselves as to the truth Baizhanbudai. Previously used to track the dealer cost, with the village on the premise that agencies are always trying to make out of a can. But the city a few years to adjust, so that everyone understand that will jump off the wall of Gou Ji, institutions will also be on hand to bear in the diving, Pusher. Therefore, even if a bargaining chip to know the distribution of specific short-term operation and had little meaning.
MA Theory - when fueled up or down when the help, the most traditional and sophisticated analysis of the theory. MA may be long or short, short-long-slow-fast, but for the short-term moving average is often you want to know is has already occurred, but for long-term moving average, is often short-term is not the place you have to know.
Predict the decision-making - to a time when you really trading is definitely expected to be up before buying, is expected to be down only to sell. Certainly before the decision-making to predict the compliance with one of the basic principle is that history will repeat itself, that is, the principle of inertia. However, in the stock market which you must remember that such a sequence: the fundamentals (macro environment) - "funds -" Plan (chips) - "charts, where the latter has a certain part of the face in front of the feedback effect. If even the principle of inertia is not clear, but to apply a mechanical theory predicts that when you die will not be how he is dead. Any reliance on technical analysis of K-line graph is ultimately a result of the operation of funds according to plan, do not reverse causation. With a good prediction, decision-making will be relatively simple, decision-making rely on each person a different personality characteristics and funding, there is a different decision-making methods.
All the theory, can be said that no one is perfect, but fortunately very often complement each other. For any one theory, that should not scoff, nor gods. The final results of the analysis is still manifested in the graph, so the set Anjiu draw a lot of classic (and I quote term Go), also can be combined with the above principles in the stock market occurred in a lot of graphics, analysis summarized. To the last is a rough one sees that we would vote in good and bad. If we not, do not do. If you do not mind a little confidence to conduct transactions entirely pure gambling activities. You only do you understand the graphics, this is sufficient.
My main considerations: historical levels, turnover accumulation, Gann callback rules, wave theory, the cost of chips. For example 000725: In the 14 yuan went to the nine pre-2001 along the bottom box is the long-term decline 50% of withdraw sword wave position, the pressure is very large, short-term need to be adjusted. By 16 yuan in the vicinity, that is, along the line of chopsticks, but also the bottom up and almost doubled the price of 7.77, medium-term target. If we break, look.
Tell us about the Gann retracement zones:
When a stock fell 20 yuan from 10 yuan peaked bottomed out, began to rebound, then the rebound in the price of the most important is that 50% of the location of 15 yuan. Prices tend to rebound this end, fell again. Second, important price is 63%, at 16.25, if the rebound more than 15 yuan, then the resistance in the 16.25 ~ 16.67 (ie, along the line of chopsticks) blocked. If prices continue to rise, breaking chopsticks line, then the third strongest resistance at 100%, or 20.
Theory of probability and statistics: Probability theory in the stock market should be applied inside the most. In forecasting, decision-making invariably involves the confidence question, who can not say that the forecast can be 100% accurate, but is often a posteriori probability is that the statistics that have occurred, be used to predict, but also must comply with the principle of inertia, but the problem What is the degree of confidence, such as that BOLL line, that is, twice the standard deviation, that is, 95% confidence level that the stock price does not exceed the upper and lower rails BOLL.
Operation Chaos: With regard to its name, muddle, smoke and mirrors will be more beautiful. Chaos accompanied by structural similarity, the application can be clearly aware of a similar structure, it is also sufficient. And concrete is very difficult to quantify the so-called women's lamp on the next beau, the blur is beautiful.
Eventually, to talk about some stock analysts have often said: "As I expected, like" - because, as expected, as too little, so the Greek for your objects, so they took out significant strike, I wonder if it was just the opposite result, showing no bragging level. Because you have only been from the Chinese stock market, such as Gann, as summed up experience applied to the stock market, in order to progress.
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