|
|||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Play the stock market is actually the test of people's thinking, your thinking right, it will make money in the stock market.
One wrong mentality: Do not chase a lot of stocks have risen to specifically buy the bottom of the unit.
The first step is buying and selling stocks stock picking, it may be how to pick stocks? You might say: Buy the bottom of the unit. But the end in the end there? I remember a friend just enter the market soon found a stock fell to 6 yuan from 10 yuan, he thinks the stock has dropped by nearly half, were at the bottom, and then boldly buying, one month after the stock has dropped 4 yuan more than the money, my friend thought: This time should be at the bottom, and then to cover their short positions, did not expect that not a month, the stock has slid more than a dollar, so his heart no end, and fear of stock keep falling in the vicinity of 3 yuan flesh out reluctantly. This is in fact, many individual friends, "bargain-hunting movement" a true portrayal. Is rarely at the bottom of the price you can imagine, imagine if the majority of people can see the bottom, then the banker to collect cheap chips where it? So remember, Do not buy cheap things, the market is not cheap can account for. Into the stock market, we should think of the maximum increase in capital efficiency. Then you will say, I'm not sure buy low, sell high, after all, right? From the word meaning is correct, but in practice, there are several retail Zuojiao friends can enjoy the fun, the real cast height?
Wrong mentality of the two: Buy to buy a certain amount of stock shares.
In fact, only two stages of a stock is obviously heavy volume, and one at the dealer's purchase stage, the second is at the shipping stage. Purchase phase is actually very subtle banker, and he may Powei down in heavy volume purchasing, this is generally the most difficult to grasp the stage, imagine if everyone in the Xihuo banker found, then how could the dealer to collect cheaper chips, more not talk of speculation. Since the purchase stage of bad grasp, then buy shares of the amount of shipment stage is the right time does not do?
Wrong mentality of the three: special fried message units, namely, the importance of stocks is greater than the message of the importance of the stock.
Some investors specializing in collecting. Inquire about what the so-called insider information, and then to operate. We do not ignore the value of the message, but most of us who get the news is incomplete and wrong. The dealer hype a stock, not just by a message or one of the factors influence, he is subject to a variety of factors dictate that. Therefore, we say that play the stock market is important to see their potential, not the message, more than fundamentals.
1. The principles of stock picking
One of the principles: Do not fry on the way down the "bottom" shares (because I do not know when it is at the end), choose only to establish the stock rally. Established at the rally in stocks and found that the strongest trends, the longest rally of the stock.
We are China's stock market stocks the past five years, conducted a statistical trend, reached the following conclusion: if a stock in one day reached a new high or a recent new high, then in the next 60-day period in the possibility of a new high of 70 % or more; In contrast, if a stock hit a new low in the day inside or near-term low, then he in the next 60 days time the possibility of new lows as high as 60%. Please keep in mind these conclusions.
The second principle is: Select the extension of 45-degree angle to run the stock up, while the volume gradually diminishing stocks.
Along the 45-degree angle upward trend of the stock of the most stable, the longest trend. Once a trend if you are closer to 45-degree angle, while turnover was a gradual reduction of stocks, then you all likelihood, is the discovery of the shadow of a banker.
Principle 3: the general trend for the better when the options to buy shares of a continuous daily limit.
Since the implementation of or restrictions on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, we have been right after the daily limit follow-up study of all-cap stocks for several years, with satisfactory results. Through the past two years there have been limit-stock tracking statistics, research and analysis the following conclusions:
[1] [2] [3] Next Page
1) The daily limit short-term trend
(1) rose the next day trend of share
There have been daily limit through the analysis of the stock, limit-the highest point of the next day average growth of 6%, according to the following day's closing price average return of 2.8%, therefore, if the daily limit short-term intervention stocks, the next day also significantly higher than the average revenue the current secondary market rate of return, even if the average return rate, annualized yield at least 65% or more.
(2) rose shares the next day and its stock price movements between high and low limit-stock next day, the trend is closely related to its stock price high or low, can be found below 7 yuan closed the day after shares of the average daily limit or more than 4%, far higher than the The average yield of 2.8%, therefore, involved in low-cost limit-share investment income will be higher. We also found that involvement of more than 20 yuan daily limit high-priced stocks are also relatively high rates of return.
(3) rose shares the next day and their movements Liu Tongpan the relationship between the size of the units in the daily limit, the flow of capital in the 3000-8000 million shares of inter-day movements better, and their average height and average rose more sharply. Perhaps the daily limit is the disk unit heavy volume may be a larger level of the main intervention, and different with the small-cap stocks (only as big as) and ultra-large-cap stocks (plates too, to continue pulled a certain degree of difficulty)'s sake. Therefore, the involvement of 3000-8000 shares of the limit-plate unit, a higher rate of return.
2) The daily limit the medium-term trend analysis of stocks
The shares limit-the medium-term trend after a total of four categories: limit-up after the unilateral; limit-down after the unilateral; limit-up after the first, after a slight decline; limit-up after the first, after a slight decline. Research Unit of the medium-term trend of limit-purpose: If the intervention is not promptly after the daily limit stock selling, holding the center line, then returns by how much. We found that unilateral upstream and the first trend down slightly after rising as high as 65% of the proportion of both limit-shares over the medium-term trend line of the probability of a larger trend of stocks daily limit significantly better than other stocks. Of course, the median line for the limit-stock holdings, may also wish to refer to the broad market trend and the stock's fundamentals.
2 .. to buy shares of the Road
1) How to buy "Stairs stocks"?
Climbing the stairs of the stage of a stock is often a slow Jiancang banker early, so that gradually lead to higher stock prices, they formed the initial staircase shape, once the dealer Jiancang completed, the next step is cleared of this stock is still inside the retail. Prior to making the lift, Xi Pan serves two purposes: One is to reduce the time in the high retail price to the selling pressure, and the second is to increase the average holding cost, also aims to reduce the selling.
Makers Xipan there are two ways: First, fierce heavy volume Zapan; Xipan For this, you only need to watch the disk within the outer plate number and plate number on the list, if found within the outer disk is larger than the number plate, we can prove the bookmakers in the Xi Pan non-shipment. So you only need the second Yinxian in the event of the intervention on the list, or Yinxian appear below their opening price the next day after the intervention. The second is Yindiexipan, this is generally Yindiexipan chip maker controlling their own hands and allow gravity shares, the stock appeared Yindie trend. This is generally the intervention of the stock when the stock price two to three days straight Yindie, a dramatic drop in volume compared with the preceding paragraph that is, selling points, if it occurred after the shrinkage of 4-5 days Yinxian, do not bought.
2) How to buy shares daily limit
(1) stock for: Through the above analysis, we think we can intervene in limit-shares should be based on short-term speculation-based, and should choose low-cost (7 yuan) or high (20 or more) of the shares, Liu Tongpan in 3000-8000 shares among the individual stocks as the preferred target. In case of Liu Tongpan stock daily limit of about 100 million shares the next day should be timely shipments.
(2) Intervention time: stocks were limit-time to leave the next day, the trend set earlier the better, if a stock at the closing before the daily limit, followed by the Japanese movements are not ideal. Moreover, the majority of stocks daily limit after the disk always has a chance to open limit-board, the best time to intervene should be re-closed limit-moment.
Daily limit to buy stocks to note the following points:
(1) strong market, particularly in a day or so the stock has a daily limit of five cases, we should be bold chase circuit breakers. A very weak market, must not chase the circuit breakers, probability is relatively too small a number.
(2) chase circuit breakers - select a theme of new shares, listed a small order a few days, suddenly one day and the daily limit of Tiaokonggaokai; followed by stock selection in the bottom of a long-term consolidation, no daily limit of sharply higher; three strong stock selection Finishing up some time after the end of the strong limit-in.
(3) must be limit-Do not chase does not meet the daily limit, once found in the main there is more than the amount of three-digit plate into the immediate recovery to the limit-forward, move faster. Ruthless.
(4) To adhere to this operation style, not between jobs, so when the market without involvement of other stocks daily limit quilt when Shouyang lost the chance to attack.
(5) The disk and timely search or list, right near the daily limit of its current price of the stock look. Liutong Pan size of the initial trends and to determine whether an object can be used as intervention. When the rose more than 9% buy should be well prepared in case the main large single letters daily limit and will not buy.
Previous [1] [2] [3] Next Page
(6) to recover into the release of the stock that day, the turnover is not too large, usually 1-2 times the previous day is appropriate, can be opened half an hour later in the day simply calculated.
(7) the entire plate to start, it is necessary to recover the first limit-namely, the leader in large or very strong bull market, especially, it is necessary to recover the first one to catch the daily limit.
3) Ask the Road
Dished out a stock must remember to throw it up, do not see it go down again when the thought of throwing it, and in general a stock even after the pull-3 in Yang Xian, after considering the short time to throw to.
1) "staircase shares" selling point
"Staircase shares" increased by a high degree, usually after the first time it Zhencang twice the length of pre-movement, that is exactly Zhencang point increase in the angle of the midpoint at the staircase. Also need to pay close attention to changes in volume, once a row (at least three trading days or more) of heavy volume, we should note that stands ready to make out.
2) The daily limit the time to sell shares
(1) will see average person, then when the 5 moving average can go flat or turn immediately throw the stock, or MACD indicators Hongzhu during times of reduced or be immediately thrown away.
(2) do not look at technical indicators, if the daily limit again the next day about 30 minutes while daring to hold. If not daily limit, it increased over time, the share price a few days when the platform is adjusted to be immediately thrown can also be ascribed to throw the next day.
(3) to recover into the stock, if after three days is not up, it could be thrown in order to avoid delays in planes or depth of stuck.
(4) Quotes downturn for some non-limit-shares, once a strong rebound or reversal will be to recover the first daily limit, and stock market outlook is very likely that the leader, even if the intensity of reaction is also much larger than that of other stocks.
4) Recommendation
Suggest that you just fried the future of these two types of stocks on the list, in accordance with operating profits above a certain operation of high style. The first is found in the Ruoshi "stairs stocks", collecting up to make the center line, once a stable trend, it will be to climb. The second trend is a good time to buy stocks daily limit, followed by bookmakers make daily limit, to do short-term. If you have stock for the daily limit was impervious to eat, or not sure, then the short positions a little more time, insist on waiting for grasping daily limit of 7 yuan the following shares of stocks, generally 50-100% rise over the year as long as seize 3 just enough.
Also in the short-term combination of stocks, middle holding time 2 - 5 months, short-term holding time is 3 - 7 days, the proportion of funds in the short-term is best for the 6:4.
Stocks is actually that simple. The above method include the stock of energy, price, quantity, when the four elements, implies an infinite truth, incising are Trader of the home is Chihiro hard to find a style all their own.
Previous [1] [2] [3]
