Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-04-27
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: From the point of view disk market is still weak. However, we judge market's weakness today is the illusion that it tells us the opposite, a day or two tape may have a strong rebound. In the end is a rebound or reversal? From just out of bad management has become a bit of good. It is the policy side of change?
Today, four days after falling the big city, once out of the slightly stabilized the market, there are slight signs of bottoming out, but the afternoon weaker broader market once again and finally on the Shanghai Composite Index down 12 points, Shen Chengzhi the afternoon of 27 points. A severe and difficult to answer the question, but also placed in front of large numbers of investors: tape is the resistance to go down market, is still ready to go the larger rebound be made?
1, from the disk point of view, the market is still weak, but it is false or the truth?
From the volume of view, today's Shanghai stock market is 18.16 billion, the Shenzhen stock market was 8.55 billion compared with yesterday, there is a certain degree of atrophy, with the recent "week" is also a slight decline in comparison. It should be said from a volume perspective, there is no market had hoped the phenomenon of heavy volume. Therefore, the ability to identify broad market is still weak then? We differ from the traditional methods of analysis, we believe that in the big city, there is no gasping for breath, the market is still a wait and see when to buy not to buy, sell do not want to sell volume shrinkage is inevitable, and it reflects the the nature of the market are not necessarily weak, but the market is watching stage.
Be the performance of individual stocks from today point of view, once there were 000,812 daily limit of gold leaf, 000058 of the SEG, 600,838 to 900, there is no particular significance. The front plate of the leading non-ferrous metals, 600,489 of gold in gold is still down 3.95 percent, only 600,497 of the profit Chihong substantial growth in the first half due to the expected 6-fold rise 4.23 percent, the recent strong performance of the East 000,962 Tantalum Industry fell by 4.42%. What is remarkable is not the office. Target sector, has always been to play to rescue the market pioneer 600028 Sinopec pm 0.69, the market high hopes of 601988 and no good performance of the Bank of China. 0000001 Shenzhen Development Bank dropped 0.3%, 600036 of the China Merchants Bank fell 0.82%. Lower limit of 600,671 Tianmu medicine, 600,379 shares, and so are the recent increases in Glory larger stocks, there is no particular significance.
From the index stocks, leading stocks, rose drop table view, stocks are not strong, and even can be said is relatively weak.
However, such a weak disk in the end it is the truth or illusion? This is one really need to judge. As the main force in the profits when the time comes, certainly not clearly tell us: this is a chance! Otherwise, is tantamount to giving the us. Therefore, we must see through the essence of the phenomenon.
Our views tend to think that today's market's weakness is an illusion, it is negative tells us that one or two days may have a stronger broad market rebound. Of course, it is a rebound or a reversal in the end, have to wait for the rally to come out before this judge.
Second, pay attention to the message side, the management has grown from just a bad has become a little bit of good out of. This is a policy, a change in the surface.
Today, there is broad market started margin trading pilot to declare good news, in essence it is a neutral look at the news, but everybody has been good to understand it according to the. But a good news in fact yesterday announced the composition of its good because of yesterday's crash was greatly reduced.
Today, no major expansion on the macro-control and the news. We believe that the new macro-control measures should wait and see a phased period, until September there will be no new measures being introduced. And large expansion in the Datong-Qinhuangdao listing, Air China will issue, the ICBC in October issue, and so on the news. The key depends on the attitude of management, and if it did, as the Bank of China, adopted a "lightning-style" release, the market can do nothing. This depends entirely on the management's attitude. But we must also note that since mid-from 7, the message is just out of the surface has been bad, or even out are major bad start into the two-day, out of 12 positive. No matter how weak the strength of its positive, can be seen as a signal. - Management has grown from just a bad has become a little bit of good out of. This is a policy, a change in the surface. For there is a policy known city of China's stock market, such a policy change, whether it is a sign of broad market turnaround it? Remains to be seen.
3, the operation strategy.
We estimate that within the broader market will be 12 days out of a slightly bigger rally. So on the current point and may not be wise to sell at a loss. Investors are advised to come out after the rally, etc., and then a rebound in the end, or reverse judgments Quotes. If the judge is a rebound, it should trim their rallies; if judgments are reversed, you should consider selecting an appropriate time to intervene.
Rebound when the must pay attention to the intensity of its volume, as well as the main hot spots.
