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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
1, Taishiyanpan: shock down for technical support.
Tomorrow Forecast: shocks to seek support. Monday stocks in individual stocks differentiation serious cases, the majority of stocks have experienced substantial decline, and decliners topped advancers outnumber the number of technical adjustments are among the market, due to the fall of 10, moving average, tomorrow there is inertia bottom broader market demands . Stocks fell sharply increased volatility in the market to avoid the risk of the same time, some of the bottom of the blue-chip stocks gone against the tide trying to flaunt, but also provides an opportunity for investors to explore the potential shares.
Blue chip stocks such as Beijing Olympic Games first shares (600008) is worth focusing on
1, â‘?index fluctuation range: 1840 points -1,875 points;
â‘?Run: shock down;
â‘?trend of focus: 10-day moving average near the long-short facing competition, concerns below 1850-point support efforts.
2, in the short-term trend: the short-term bottom into the broader market can attack, in addition to the weight of blue-chip strength, depends on whether stocks fell sharply reduced, and the availability of new and appeal of the hot spot was born; the medium-term upward trend in tape yet change.
Second, real gold pool: Capital shares (600008): As the industry's absolute leading water industry, water treatment capacity to occupy 80% of Beijing's market share, the company has in Guangdong, Zhejiang, Shandong and other places have more than 10 water companies; become Domestic water industry's fastest growing, largest and most influential leading enterprises in water. Become to be working with three international water giant's shoulder compared to one of the most powerful nation. The company has Jingtong highway main road 1 billion of assets, is expected to share the traffic growth in the stability of the revenue. The company has the Olympic Games, environmental protection, foreign cooperation, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stock index of major topics such as multi-, medium-double potential. The 30-day moving average trend lines with the semi-annual bond, 5, 10-day moving average up and semi-annual payment on the 30th moving average line, while those closer to line and half-line, short, medium and long-term average accumulation, indicating an important change in stock price Disk-sensitive point, Monday mild adverse economic strength, explosive out of a major breakthrough is expected to runaway.
Third, warrants a serious trend of differentiation
Monday, in the message to remain calm surface conditions, the Shanghai and Shenzhen cities there Shenfudiaozheng, although the morning banking, real estate section has been strong, but not fundamentally reverse the downward trend in the market rose. Especially those with a C of E is the sharp decline in stocks, warrants to the appropriate species provides a strong opportunity. However, the overall market is down because of fear, evident signs of capital flight, manifested in the warrants market trends, that is, differentiation is relatively serious.
From the closing situation, the 25 warrants, only eight warrants up, but the rate of increase is relatively small. If the largest rate of increase in potash JTP1, its rate of increase is only 6.527%. However, more varieties of decline warrants, a total of 17 warrants fell. Among them, Wuhan Iron and Steel JTP1 a decrease of 62.000%, Wuhan Iron and Steel JTB1 a decrease of 27.712 percent, Angang JTC1 a decrease of 6.995%. Up from the overall decline, though, if compared with the A shares of the stock market, we would clearly find that the C of E species as a whole decreased far less than the stock fall. Should be said that the stock of structural differentiation process, the warrants market varieties perform well in the stock market. But this does not show that the risk warrants species is less than the risk of stocks. On the contrary, some species warrants after the recent rise in accumulated excessive premium rates, the bubble has increased.
At the same time, from Handicap performance, the steel plate due to the short-term rate of increase is generally higher than 20%, there are short-term callback requests. So, although some steel stocks are to be seen in the disk, but the chase momentum is not strong. Not stimulate a corresponding trend in the steel active warrants. We are from another point of view, begins with the end of the current round of 10 warrants the rising A-share market should be attributed to the active iron and steel plates, so as to drive steel Warrants "crazy."
At present, from a purely technical point of analysis, and steel plate should be facing short-term adjustment. Therefore, the steel may be temporarily in a calm state of warrants. But we can not rule out the possibility of steel warrants active in the trading period.
In fact, A-share market gained strength, Diego highs, but also to provide a strong market opportunity warrants. Because external funds are always under the laws of the market, along a certain trajectory running. A stock market as a whole strong, led A-share market in a positive stock warrants with a stronger, thereby pulling the corresponding warrants to attract capital strength behind the boom in the warrant, that is, the wealth effect of the stimulation, thereby attracting more capital speculation warrants species, in the the case of capital accumulation, both warrant or a put warrant, would have been blocking funds, in the intraday outstanding performance, a strong trend. So, in this case, tend to produce behind the madness of individual warrants, there is no reasonable cause to give an explanation. Then the face of the current market environment, we should do know about it?
We believe that, due to A-share market adjustments, do not rule out part of the funds pulled out of the stock market, and affected the market warrants. Therefore, the warrants market is adjusting, or even among plain, but also consistent with the above reasons and trends. From this point of view, warrant the differentiation of species is also the role of market discipline. But we can not rule out the warrants market opportunities. The A-share market's overall adjustment to put warrants opportunities. From the financial rules and arbitrage on the market situation in our country's securities market, the stock market adjustment, it is highly likely to lead to part of the body assigned to warrants capital markets, to seek warrants variety of investment opportunities, taking the difference of profits. T +0 market, coupled with warrants trading system and contribute to funding of these fast track approach to strengthen the institutional varieties of warrants investment. In addition, the stock market and the warrants market, there exists an obvious leverage. Generally, when the stock market on an upward trend, then the warrants warrants on the market, may now shares higher, driven by outstanding performance, a strong trend. On the contrary, when the stock market tends to light, is lower in case of shares, warrants market is overlooked, put warrants, will be a meteoric rise, sharp aggressive. The above factors, just as the market warrants a rebound opportunity, especially for the severe oversold this week, put warrants provide a rebound opportunity.
Finally, investors must note that Monday Wuhan Iron and Steel JTP1 decrease of 62.000%; Wuhan Iron and Steel JTB1 a decrease of 27.712%. This is another two "doomsday wheel" Warrants Warrants will soon withdraw from the final stage performances. Wuhan Iron and Steel and Wuhan Iron and Steel JTB1 also JTP1 the last two trading days, that is, cease trading after the close of this week, three to start the right lines. Currently WISCO put warrants a premium rate remains high, there is no intrinsic value, it will continue to repeat Wanke, deep can put warrants in the past. Investors are advised to pay attention to controlling risk.
