Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-03-05
Source: Beijing in the first place
In the past six months the land continued to rack up the amount of turnover in the index back below the 60-day moving average and went on to Friday, weekend effect and eliminate the negative impact? In the face of such a pattern of rising land supply, the market will move forward in what way? We focused on the current market characteristics, providing the three Raiders, for investors.
Short test of the dual index of the uplink capacity of
From the recent volatility characteristics of the index point of view, actually reflects the two major characteristics: First, continue to quietly raise the market centers, in the elevation with the May 30th day since the combination of K-line point of view, is to run in the second back After adjustment in the Fanchou pattern; second index fluctuations become more and more stable, but the direction of more and more uncertain, the market of 101.1 billion yuan from the Shanghai stock market Monday, Tuesday 953 billion in Wednesday's 63.59 billion yuan to the Thursday the day's 63.57 billion yuan (excluding Western Mining shares of turnover), and constantly Suliang day Shanghai Composite rose 50 points, the band is slightly larger than the Wednesday, but the reduced turnover, which indicates the direction of uncertainty circumstances, market participants are increasingly cautious testimony to that.
Blink of an eye went to Friday, we believe that faced with a double index of bad stress test: a heavy pressure from the technical side of the 60-day moving average of repression. As everyone knows, in 60 days is a relatively short period of time, so the market only then the recent 60-day moving average as an important reference to determine the average. The recent July 4 break the Shanghai Composite last Wednesday after the 60-day moving average, to 3930 points, supported by the location of the area into a pressure area. From this round of the bull run since the point of view, only the index of the end of July last year, breaks up this moving average, followed by a one-time stand up on the full restoration, during which many did not occur again. Monday, Tuesday and Thursday that three days are trying to index of upside, but obviously this moving average has been suppressed, then according to the situation to determine if the Shanghai Composite rose do not want to go back to the short-term in order to establish a rising Quotes , investors can intervene speculation. Short-term upside if the index unsuccessful, then the 60 MA into the pressure, the next step could test 3450 on the near half-line. The Shanghai Composite Index closed Thursday at 3915 points, 3926 points away from this average and only a step away. At least from the current disk of view, if we continue to maintain such Suliang state, it seems difficult to overcome the pressure of this zone area.
There is also a source of pressure is the weekend effect. Since the end of May, twice the market began to plunge by Friday, the recent Fridays index rose more or less all, the market recognized that there were bad effects of the plot over the weekend there has not disappeared. Went to close to release in June, as well as the first half of GDP, CPI, various industries such as macroeconomic indicators, running time, the abolition of interest tax and other bad news breaks out, some investors worried over the weekend put the message, then buying will not be strong to Friday Where to go. This psychological pressure on the market is also more evident.
Of course, the pressure does not mean that the market will definitely fall. If you do increase in number of investors, the index appeared heavy volume up, or a heavyweight to do more and more index Suliang up, the same can be ahead of the market out of this cautious consolidation pattern. Here we will introduce for the changes in the market, investors can take the corresponding StrategiesChinaInc operation.
Gonglue one: pay close attention to the latest changes are not placed shot
This operating strategy is best suited to stable and conservative investors. Even in the Friday market rallied even rose, nor the pattern of performance index for this out of the shock. In fact, to truly determine the index broke through the finishing of this triangle pattern, the Shanghai Composite must be effectively break 4300 points. After all, since the Shanghai stock market in May of more than 4,000 points in the daily transactions of more than 190 billion yuan, with the current turnover of just over 600 billion yuan compared with the number of levels is not one, but also need to be restored for some time, so alone a 2 in Yang Xian, it seems difficult to achieve. Investors, while at rest is best, regular attention to Beijing in the first day, the latest report released to analyzing the market when they can do more daring approach.
Gong Lue 2: patiently waiting for the time to buy low
The pattern of the market is consolidating, but it does not mean that there would be no opportunity to participate. The latest statistics showed that, despite the market trend in the past two months time, unsatisfactory, but still had a total of 100 stocks rising trend in times of adversity. China Life, Ping An, China Merchants Bank and other financial stocks, China Vanke, the real development, and Poly Real Estate and other real estate stocks, Xishan Coal and Electricity, Shenhuo shares, such as coal Lanhuakechuang plate and so on, in times of adversity and even hit a new high rise, which is a large accumulation of funds under adverse dare to bargain-hunting performance. I believe there are more high-quality blue-chip market outlook, high-quality growth stocks will be out of the big trends Niugu radical investors can be patient in these species, the opportunity to buy low, in the second half certainly have huge returns.
Gonglue III: hot pursuit of short-term players
Although the market in the past six months since the land supply, but definitely more than 600 billion turnover, or enough to support at least one per day, more than 20 daily limit for short-term speculative capital area, but still promising. Unwilling to short-term hot money chasing short-term could be considered hot spots, such as environmental protection plate, Tibet plate, real estate stocks, small and medium plates, B stock plate and so on, of which the money-making small-scale effects are more obvious, it is worthwhile race on the.
