Category: Money Tips Date: 2007-01-15
Source: Ding Jun Li Arts Chengdu Evening News
"5.30" drop, so that Hu Zhi 4300 points, a drop from 900 points, more than 3 trillion yuan worth suddenly evaporated. Week 2, funds support the market around a second-tier blue chip to chip fierce sweep, prompting a rebound gradually expand over the past four trading days Huzhi the biggest gain has reached 15%. With Sinopec, Baosteel, Chihong Zinc and Germanium, CITIC Securities, China Vanke as represented by the institutions to sustain the core of blue-chip Masukura, while the number of second-line blue-chip fund Shigekura also reaching record highs. Week 5, Hu Zhi 4,000 points once again walked off before the general concern investors: next week whether the tape again, breaking off? Can the rally continue?
â—?long camp
Trend may reproduce short squeeze
Huai new investment analyst: Hu Zhi continue to rise yesterday, the weekend news likely to remain relatively calm surface, due to factors that affect the bull market fundamentals remain unchanged, is expected to re-take the short squeeze Quotes Huzhi a great possibility.
First of all, most of the stocks these days Handicap of view, which hit the main level is not deep, this time due to a decline caused by raising the stamp duty can be said to stir up trouble. In news this week, see, red chips to be returned, the bank's shares in the first half to complete the change, if we not have confidence in this market, these tasks will be completed ugly, so stock will go up. However, if the approach taken to slow up, it dealt the individual chips were seized the opportunity, the main pre-Xi Pan carried out in the vain, therefore, the main trend will take short squeeze, manufactures crazy, and to further extract a timid person chips.
Secondly, the next week into the middle of June, the recent announcement by releasing an interim pre-listed companies with a lot of work with the end of the first half, pre-growing the company may also be more and more. Performance of listed companies growth is mainly due to two aspects: First, after the share reform by issuing or major shareholder of the reorganization of assets and hidden assets into the show, thus increasing profits; second is from the rapid development of China's economy continues. High growth performance, can quickly reduce the high price-earnings ratio.
Finally, this plunge so tragic, one factor is that those who come from non-formal channels of overseas hot money fled the country, however, due to the capital of the profit-driven, in that broader market stability, the overall level of stock prices dropped more than 20% from the previous month later, these capital will again flood the market, win the post. As a result, is bound to push stocks higher.
Therefore, these three terms, short squeeze Quotes appears very likely. Reporter胡凌
Back to the heavy volume critical point of flutter 4000
Societe Generale Securities analyst: shocks higher broader market's trend is expected to continue, but the key is the volume must be increased to 300 billion yuan level.
Short-term point of view, in a continuous upward pressure on rapid rebound after the broader market is still large, due next Tuesday will be released in May CPI index, the market for a rate hike concerns also there are some psychological pressure on short-term rebound. Around 4000 at about the regional market funds will perform the main separate ways, "Xi Pan" God technology, in order to make the strategic layout of the second half.
The Government's intention to market care more obvious, while the blue chips this week, a large number of fund Shigekura contrarian new high, indicating long-term institutional investors to the market trend is still relatively good, therefore, suggest that investors continue to hold the hands of individual stocks, but it must be results are supported, industry growth is good or substantial reorganization of the stocks. Is expected in mid-June, high stock prices with some blue-chip stocks with low price-earnings ratio are expected to interpret the substantive themes cap, lower "planes will", value discovery and pursuit of the bubble will continue to be the operational direction for small and medium investors. Reporter Husch
â—?bear camp
Difficult to stabilize above the 4000 points
West China Securities analyst: From yesterday disk of view, clear differentiation of individual stocks, broader market 4,000 points to take a firm must also be exposed to great test of stock index shot up next week is expected to fall to the bottom of repeatedly proven more likely.
From a technical standpoint, this week market is Xianyihouyang gesture. But the market repeated shocks, indicating investors are looking forward to another afternoon filled with hearts cautious over the weekend by news of great uncertainty in the risk for investors, coupled with broader market rally consecutive days, faced with this wave of bargain-hunting fund profit-taking to make some plates to face some selling pressure.
From the disk to see, some species there stagflation situation, also shows that the market there are certain differences, long-short two fierce struggle. Also, many stocks have not yet returned to previous high point, high point of the quilt in the afternoon drive news of uncertain circumstances, may rallies out, so afternoon is facing pressure from the callback. In addition, the junk bond bubble created need to be further suppressed, garbage stocks rebound by this opportunity to have a certain pick-up, while the later will be distributed will result in massive decline.
Thus, 4000 point in sight, once again rushed into the 4,000-point almost no suspense, but the firm probably unrealistic. May be ascribed to early next week, after a short fall at the bottom of repeatedly proved.
Continued to repeated shocks bottom
Beijing in the first place Analysts: Recently, this rise does not mean that the market will appear as the rising pattern of newly settled copies.
First of all, the major economic powers are wary of the potential risks in global financial markets. Latest reports out recently held in South Africa a monetary policy forum, including the U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet and the Bank of Japan Governor Toshihiko Fukui indicated that in case the current favorable global economic environment in which a reversal in Investors should be prepared to meet the serious impact on preparation. They are all investors generally underestimate the financial market concerns about the potential risks, which this clearly points out the possible risks of the global asset bubble.
Secondly, from the index to analyze trends, 5, 10 short-term moving average has formed a U-turn down Sicha pattern, 30-day moving average near in 3960, up 4,000 points, followed by an integer is a barrier, the current index of the top of the the pressure is still quite obvious, once ascribed to encounter resistance, do not rule out the broad market may fall into the second, to enter the big box order pattern.
Third, the volume clearly not be appropriate. Turnover is only 280.049 billion yuan yesterday, the two cities, has narrowed over the previous, only the equivalent of a week ago when the Shanghai stock market plunged the daily trading volume. The market in order not to rest a long-time, on the launching of a strong bull market, do not release volume is impossible.
Therefore, the next week, after the broader market may be ascribed to lower short-term and continue to the bottom of repeatedly proved.
