Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-04-04
Tape appeared adjustment, two Yinxian. First root Yinxian, that is, yesterday, Wednesday, which is the next root Yinxian left shadow lines, nothing to fear. In particular, although the index closed lower for the day, but apart from outside of large-cap stocks can be described as flourishing, we have to make money feeling.
This feeling on the market sentiment is a kind of paralysis, a long time, and will go off the demon moth. Has always been such a law, plates, and how the leading stocks rose, tape will not peaked, but at the same time once all the stock boom, the amount of consecutive days, you can let the bull market short-term turning point occurred broader market.
So yesterday, I have the slightest worry. But the good news, "the people" just started making money, there is no form "crazy", there is not judged as the top of produce. But this vigilance, I have compared and related agencies to fully exchange. But many people prefer to believe that "peaceful Spring Festival," because a big bull market, festivals are peaceful.
I have no objection. However, I still have concerns.
Today's market performance, broad-market index stocks continue to fall, Sinopec fell 6 percentage points, the Shanghai index fell 55 points, several major banks also fell, in such a context, the Index has fallen fairly mild. If the hot money and the big cap stocks are also running in the same direction, will fall very badly.
Hot previous judgments to achieve these days, now to recall my January 5 to determine the hot spots, there will be a clearer idea generation:
"Hot spots judged: by bank stocks, led by super-large capitalization stocks Quotes, and does not end, because the big bull market of the stock market can not easily look at the top. But the short-term hot spots will gradually weaken, the adjustment in the index, the new hot spots will continue to emerge, when the hot money-oriented interpretation of Dance Macabre of the lively scene. is usually not a lot of stocks have long been up at this time, you will often find that the sudden increase in these stocks up. Why is this so? because individual investors have been selling them to chase large capitalization stocks of the. "
Since the number of trading days, it really is the case, and the prices are not because it was the target shares have ended limit down, but enjoy to perform the "Dance Macabre's lively scene." This case, the operation is increasing the probability of making money, casually out of a hot spot, which may have soared. For example January 5th day I will give you out the operation of such proposals Single:
"Can be due attention to the following units:
1, long-term is not up, missed the bull market, but the quality of the good. Such as public utilities (600,635), Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipes (000,778), etc.;
2, just started hot spots: for example, I recently recommended the Tibetan Tin Road (600,326), etc.;
3, the first broad market adjustment, and there is an end to adjust the technical features, such as I have been recommended by the real focus of development (600,748), etc.. "
Four trading days down, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 7.6% in the largest, which is a few stocks are far beyond the three tape:
On the real development: 26%, there is certainly room for a major theme in the post;
The mass public: the biggest rise for more than 16%, compensatory growth requirements still exist;
Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipes: close to 20%, still a rebound midway, the whole high can be closed;
Tibet's Tin Road: nearly 7%, there is a major theme, has been established mining companies, there will be copper load. Tape next week's match, may be entering the main Shenglang.
The current hot spots can be seen largely focused on compensatory growth in real terms in subject species and varieties.
The question now is: there is broad market risk? How do we judge?
There are several new thinking required to provide for your reference:
First, this wave of bull market is a historic bull market, it's tough, is the old thinking can not be accepted, up often people can not read, just like big bear market has fallen as people can not read. Therefore, any use of the bear market over the past five years, the "short-term high-volume, see" thinking, in large bull market is dangerous. It can be said that in a bear market, profit-taking is to say every day, but in the big bull market, a firm commitment to shareholders is the need every day of refining.
Second, strong bull market mentality, the need is on the bull market adjustment, especially in a major adjustment in judgments. It is very necessary. Because the bull market adjustment, although not a bear market then "gone", but the intensity and speed of adjustment will be more than a bear market. For example non-ferrous metals market, shot up after the adjustments, most experienced a price cut of the suffering.
Third, when adjusted? This two-day disk, although the look is very dangerous, but in fact or in the health category. Why? Because the super-stock index fell, while the other stocks steady, indicating that the market psychology still in the positive aspects. Because it undermined the afternoon when the market mentality, super-large-cap stocks have been adjusted in place, the index is still down do not go on. However, if the index rose along with stocks and other stocks, especially technology stocks junk stocks and underperformance also riots, then we need to keep guard.
