|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: The main hot spots bad + plunge, into the callback, is the main way this time, Xi Pan, beware of other hot spots, will happen. Periodic adjustment of the property section is not yet over, but the middle of the afternoon rally. Note that this time Xi Pan is not yet over, it will be more complex, more twists and turns ... ....
Today, stocks in yesterday's decline, based on the re-falling more than 11 o'clock when the fell to the lowest position: on the Shanghai Composite Index fell 92 points, Shen Chengzhi down 272 points. Led lower by property and banking plate plate. Index began to rebound in the afternoon, the final day on the Shanghai Composite Index fell 22 points, Shen Chengzhi day up 22 points. We insist that this time before the callback is a comprehensive Xipan crazy. However, due to continuous bad, so the process is more complex, more twists and turns, the adjustment time than we originally forecast to be slightly extended.
For now, banks plates, real estate section has entered the stage by the bad against the callback. This is the main mode of recent Xi Pan. Investors will also be careful of other hot stock into the adjustment in this mode.
1, the main hot spot bad + plunge, into the callback, is the main way this time, Xi Pan, beware of other hot spots, will happen.
Yesterday, Today tape is bad news in the real estate under the influence of plate, out of a larger pullback. Plus 12 weeks on the banks of the callback section, we see this time stage Xi Pan mode is characterized by:
First, in order to turn down the main hot spots manner. As the two weeks of the fall in bank as the main force plate, which is two days is a real estate decline as the main driving force plate.
Second, the main hot spots adjustment formula is: bad + plunge, and then entered the stage Xi Pan.
Third, the main hot spots into the basic stages Xipan no obvious omen before, and even large-liter. Plate in front of the bank, this time the real estate section, are in their walk a good case, a sudden plunge into the.
At present there are several blocks is l very good, such as steel plate, power plate, wine plate, brokerage plate, and so on. Investors should beware of these sections will be out of the blocks as bank, real estate section of the callback method. Should pay attention to:
First, the index Xi Pan, the main hot spots Xi Pan, the general must be transmitted to other hot spots. In other words, are now two main hot spots are entered Xi Pan, should we pay attention to: the other hot spots will enter the stage Xi Pan.
Second, the plate from the bank, real estate section to see its periodic callback is raging.
Second, paying particular attention to: Real Estate phased adjustment plate is not yet over, but the middle of the afternoon rally.
Index bottomed out of the afternoon picked up the trend, real estate became a rally of the main plate. However, investors should note: As the real estate section has a major substantive bad news, and this bad have not heard too early, there is no early digestive problems. So it can not be just 12 days of the crash, they completely disappear. We believe that the real estate section under the influence of this bad has actually entered a stage in the adjustment Quotes. Afternoon, the increase was only half-way nature of rebound is its rapid decline and the market prices of long thought stronger, while the disc due to bargain-hunting triggered. Estimates, real estate section of the periodic adjustment of 23 weeks to go market, which means that it has completed the rebound to go lower.
Failure to make timely departure yesterday, investors may consider using the opportunity to rebound, rallies to trim. Who wish to bargain-hunting investors should probably be phased so the bottom of their only hands-on will be better. If you really want to participate in the recent rally, it is best to choose small early increase, with the nature of compensatory growth stocks.
Third, pay attention this time Xi Pan is not yet over, it will be more complex and more tortuous.
As the afternoon to re-strength index, the market's broader market to plunge the feeling will be substantially weakened, will dare to do more with the "hours" increasing,. Such an index for predicting the broader market down 2 days to drop a few months, the index rose two days they are expected to be index rose a few months. The analysis, forecasting the stock market style, methods, and we are very much against it.
We estimate that:
First, the broader market will rise again in a week or so years, the Shanghai index should be able to record highs. Hot spots should be a callback for a long time the main banks plate.
Second, after the indices have to be careful there could be a breather. The momentum of its fall may be from the plate is still a good trend. This is the investor attention.
Third, this time Xipan the time may be extended from our original estimate of two weeks extended to four or five weeks. Investors do not because the index was up a few days and blind optimism. To stand in a higher position to observe the market from the stock market development and understanding of the law of movement up the market, not only from the movement of 12 days to make judgments is very easy to see too close to the main deceived.