Zhuanggu When will diving Speaking from the three wood collapse Money Tips

Category: Money tips Release Date: 2005-12-15

3 Wood Group (000,632) of continuous lower limit movements across the entire New Year holiday. Although the market staged Zhuanggu diving good show which is not the first time, but in successive Zhuanggu diving trend, people are always after the issue of doubt, find the reason. Lower limit of this trend in a row from a high lethality strongest market, but also investors, the most fearful way of a decline because of its market in recent years the frequency is so high, we need to advance prevention research Precautions .

There is a rule to note that we can find out which stocks are implicit in this dangerous Kongpanzhuanggu diving, but we can not determine that the stock would be at what time, what price, what has happened with a continuous trend of diving. Therefore, the prior conclusion implied risk Kongpanzhuanggu diving is the most important features.

The most important disk features - Day K line and a small tightly-week K-line arrangement of

Can be found by comparing the study, more than half a row of diving Zhuanggu lower limit, in which they appear before the diving trend, stock prices mainly to K-line arrangement of such a feature: short-term moving average was dragged into a straight line on the shock amplitude is K small, a continuous small bodies arranged in parallel, like a stiff stick; weeks if we look at the recent K-line arrangement, characteristic K-line with the Japanese is similar to a very high degree of Kongpan for some time in terms of a long Zhuang Gu, Zhou K-line and K line on short-term and even the shape can not see obvious differences.

Such as "stick" the same trend, is a highly concentrated Kongpan stock liquidity declined significantly after the inevitable result, if it appears in a K-line arrangement, after the stock rose sharply, or drop down from the high way the stock price at a future time to occur within an uncertain possibility of diving trend is very great. I would like to not have 11 For example, we can look at the disk there had been continuous in the lower limit of the Zhuanggu diving, the diving characteristics of most of the case before the trend.

Of course, the stock price after the formation of such a trend does not mean that it will fall immediately, in some cases may even experience short-term rise. 3 Wood Group has been formed prior to the beginning of a "stick" trend, but early last year, there is no obvious wave of the sudden heavy volume increase. The price of such shares, in most cases are subject to manipulation of state, and formed a "stick" after the rising trend of band is characterized by a very short time, the intensity is very large, but the heavy volume is not obvious that such a rally can not catch you.

"Stick" does not appear in the clear trend is often high, in most cases peaked back in after a platform at this time if there is a rebound that has often been mistakenly put in place to engage in a callback, but rebound is precisely at this time Zhuanggu Some out of the tactic.

Two auxiliary features - high concentration of ownership and performance does not match the

Some people like the number of households and per capita holdings from the shareholders point of view to judge a stock is the extent of speculation, which has some truth, but some people are held to determine the per capita method has entered the errors. Per capita ownership is not as high as possible, because the higher the per capita holdings, stock Kongpan the greater the risk, the future possibility of turning the greater the peak.

If a stock shareholder of the number of households continued to decline over time, naturally there is a signal of the main collection of chips, but if the shareholders continued to decrease in the number of households to a large extent, the will no longer continue to reduce and even a slight increase, which shows The Unit has been in a passive state of high Kongpan have spread the risk of chips.

For the investment to determine the most important point lies the company's operation, so for the implied risk Zhuanggu diving is always a performance and stock price does not match the features of this mismatch is divided into two cases: one case is clearly in support of the performance of the stock price can not be high, but the price adjustment in the broader market just do not fall in stock prices from the fundamentals of the resilience of this trend before in the diving often be mistaken for a banker and strength performance.

Another case is the matching performance and stock price out of business common sense, such as the year's Dongfang Electronics, a large proportion of ex consecutive years before and after, the annual earnings per share remain at fifty cents or so, allowing a continuous Tianquan up. From the price-earnings ratio point of view remains unchanged, but the sharp rise in the rate of net capital gains, from the normal scope of business common sense, but also from an angle, stock prices are not the normal state. In fact, 100 percent of entrepreneurs in this market are all mortal, and investors do not need to believe the myth.

High concentration of holdings and performance matched abnormal to judge whether a stock Kongpanzhuanggu, as well as the risk of stock there are two auxiliary features of diving, if the stock just above the trend line with a "stick "feature, you basically can be sure that this is an implied risk Kongpanzhuanggu diving.

Zhuanggu When will dive?

Implied risk Kongpanzhuanggu diving diving when it will be a can not be identified. For example, the Department of 3 Delong shares for many years been repeatedly prompted to risk, but there is always a steady upward trend, until April 2004, diving origin. In this process, the fate of diving is an established, when diving into it is a fate not sure factor.

Zhuanggu Divers may be because lie was exposed, for example Guangxia, it may be because the capital chain rupture, such as Delong department, it may be because the executive or large shareholder of the accident, for example Xugongkeji may also be due to speculation goals has been completed and a series of reasons. This series of reasons in the eyes of an outsider appears to be no way to predict a clear, even within the people themselves is not very clear.

So how should investors do? The easiest way - a gentleman does not make Weiqiang, under the above-mentioned risk characteristics of stocks diving do not touch it wants to.

A relatively simple but the final say of the more common short-term disk to determine which is that these Kongpanzhuanggu in diving often have a short period of time prior to abnormal movements. This unusual trend is a short-term contribution, but shares hardly budged, for example, Miki Group, the trend of early January. With the obvious exception of the quantitative stock failed to respond, but also a sign of the coming one short-term risk.