Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-03-13
Source: Xu Shenyin
Short-term market, showing a rising trend apparent short squeeze-style stock index average for relying on the 5th consecutive strong drive, up the pace of a stable and solid.
Although the central bank recently announced that the third time this year raised the deposit reserve ratio, coupled with the recent increases in interest rates four times during the year has been spent stringent monetary policy tool, but market liquidity is still abundant. The same time, strong support for the market up 06 of the most important reason is undoubtedly the annual reports of 07 listed companies, a quarterly performance-than-expected growth, which can enhance the level of market valuation is the most powerful support. Therefore, rising short-term index is expected to remain stable running patterns, some market participants expect short-term Huzhi will see 3500 points, I think that this possibility is relatively large.
Short-term ups and downs of the stock have a big possibility of a relatively small, but the middle there are two factors that may cause greater shock index, investors must be concerned about.
First, the introduction of stock index futures. For the launch of stock index futures, present divergent views on the market, it said that in April, there are that 5,6 month, but also said that in October, and has not an accurate version. The SFC is anxious to be introduced in the first half of stock index futures, but the objective conditions is not able to provide adequate co-ordination is still difficult to judge. The introduction of stock index futures, in the end will be what the market, saying there are lots, I have specifically talked about the author, in this will not repeat, like to briefly dwell on two aspects: on the one hand, the current at a relatively high level of the index, The introduction of stock index futures to help play down the role of the early more likely to have implications for the role than the possibility of large; the other hand, the introduction of stock index futures to change the long-only model to do more to make money, which investors psychological the temptation to force can not be belittled.
Second, the size of the non-arrival of the peak reduction, in particular, is a cardinal is not will be a substantial reduction. If the reduction of non-small can also be attributed to customs shed more than a decade, once they get rich-quick mentality of the liberation of Shiran, then a cardinal such a simple reduction is difficult to explain. Reduction of a cardinal, not only a market capitalization of short-term side will form a severe test, but also on the market, the formation of a heavy psychological blow. If the child's pro-father and mother were not to have children, then this child is bound to question the inevitable reduction of transmission Similarly cardinal is the major shareholder of a listed company on the value of the corresponding stage of over-judgment. Once this view has been widely accepted by the market, the market short-term also inevitably the big bang.
Therefore, the positive short-term to do more of the same time, investors should pay attention to the above two factors are likely to bring about the timing of the arrival of the shock. If you can evade out of this shock, it will enhance the rate of return on investment in 2007 of great help.
