Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-12-19
Source: Beijing in the first place Author: Zhuang Tao
Despite Tuesday, G Merlin, G Guo Mai and other local stocks and G cloud Shanghai copper, G-yun aluminum varieties of non-ferrous metals rose, sparking some sentiment, but the index still unable to offset the shares of Sinopec and other indicators of the rapid decline in Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges were closed out the final small-Yin Xian. From 1695 points to 1529 points, the Shanghai Composite dropped 150 points, only took 6 days, volume has shrunk, the market waiting to see the atmosphere significantly worse. How do you view the market outlook go? We believe that the afternoon the formation of A-share market long-term, comprehensive "valuation-driven bull market" basis, not shaken, so a firm should maintain long-term bullish attitude, but the short-term trend will be an order for the return type of shock Lord.
The Yin Zhou K-line arrangement of Enlightenment
A longer period of time from the point of view, better response time weeks K-line interpretation of the situation a little longer in stock. Last week received a rare perimeter Yinxian is to destabilize an important factor in strength of some long. Our statistical history of the Zhou K line, in the close out of medium-and long Yinxian, the stock within the next couple of weeks, mostly finishing or even shock shock Pandie trend. Since 1999, we counted the Shanghai Composite fell more than 100 points or so weeks K-line, a total of 10, this 10 in Yin Xian, subsequent discharges are: income out of Chang Yin Zhou K-line immediately after rising 3 section, there are five continued to decline, in the consolidation rising more than 2 weeks and then there are two. In other words, after last week's close out the long-Yin Xian, there Pandie this week, the probability of shocks up to 50%; up immediately close out the week, the probability of only 20% of Yang Xian. The Shanghai Composite Index this year from the 1100-point came up, this time at a relatively high 1,700 points below the close out the long-Yin Xian, Zhang Yin weeks from the above K-Line K-line arrangement of the subsequent term, in the absence of external force to change the message under the surface of positive , in June the remaining half time, the market trend in the time being difficult to look at more firmly.
Adjust the end of the signal 1:
End of the index stocks stabilized on position adjustments
Historical trends and not simply repeat the evolution of the bull market is bound to is full of twists and turns, the current consolidation pattern will still be a shock in the time period will depend on changes in the market may be, and the present needs of the market is concerned, only two major positive signals in order to determine To adjust the pattern to end. Signal: The first tune warehouse end of the indicator stocks stabilized. We believe that the new market of super blue-chip distribution will inevitably bring about the tone of the old varieties of positions. Moreover, is the place soon become the new Dinghaishenzhen Sinopec, Sinopec will be part of the agency must sell the tune warehouse behavior.
With "rapid" word to describe the Bank of China issued A-shares market is the most suitable, however, it is a super blue-chip rapid release first listing, the market has brought a huge blood effect: not only the domestic A-share market current section a heavyweight Sinopec consecutive Yindie more than 20% Tuesday to accelerate easily break down even the 60-day moving average; and Hong Kong stock market has also been directly affected Tuesday, China Unicom, China Mobile, China Merchants and other H shares tumbled Powei, which institutions such as insurance funds and the Bank of China A share purchase fought not unrelated. The two funds have vacated position to purchase prepared for loss of blood outside the capital fear a serious deterrent for short-term market entry, resulting in rapid decline in the market.
However, we expect the market indicators of stock short after the release of kinetic energy of the broader market finished it be possible to talk about adjustments, having received the support of target stocks, indexes will be able to rebound or even reversal.
Adjust the end of the signal 2:
Toronto Canada and then out of arena
Monday's G, 100, G Comprehensive Chao, Suning Appliance consumer species, as well as the G-cloud Tuesday aluminum, G cloud of copper and a number of consumer categories, non-ferrous metals stocks have daily limit, and once led the market higher, showing that the plate of market influence. More importantly, we found an encouraging sign of the market bulls: commercial department stores, wine varieties, as well as consumer-based non-ferrous metal plates, is 3, in April led the index rise, one of the main force to lead the market rising very strong appeal and later, in mid-May, on the broader market for the first time, after touching 1,700 points, these species appeared active callback finishing market, is leading the market down to adjust the leading indicator of the mean is obvious.
Today, the Shanghai Composite plunged nearly 150 points, after two consecutive days this week, is consumption, and non-ferrous metals leading index rose varieties, has been attacked outside the capital, stock prices are rising, there has been significant incremental funding into the market phenomenon. Unfortunately, although the pre-G-Wuliangye, G Maotai, G Jiang led the leading copper and other early signs of the decline stopped and is not yet clear, the recent limit-more to second-line varieties, but it also shows that: First, take the initiative to return to pre-Toronto Canada adjusted for nearly a month later, there are signs of an initial adjustment in place, and the appeal in the market is still strong; Second, market-leading features of the species highlighted, afternoon the market if we can continue to be non-ferrous metals, real estate and other varieties of pre-echo led , then led the panel to resume its role can be regarded as the broader market bottomed out in the probability of greatly increased.
