Category: Money tips Release Date: 2007-08-02
Source: Guangzhou Bandung
Abstract: It is technical analysis requirements. But the anti-technology trend, do not follow common sense out the card, is the main force of the usual tactics, but anti-! Our response is: the technology trend is positive selection, anti-technology as a stand-prepared to deal with two kinds of preparations.
Today, the big city out of the narrow range of oscillation of the stock market, the increase did not affect the table in front of the target shares particularly high, indicating no immediate follow Fanchou broader market possibilities. Taking into account the broad market has been sideways for 5 days, and we consider it necessary to give more consideration to the development of big city, another possibility - sideways walking immediately after the rise of the stock market accelerated. Is to take the technical Fanchou, or go directly to accelerated market, the key lies in the main operation is based on technology trends go, or anti-technological trend to go. Fan Chou from the technical trend of view, is reasonable. However, China's stock history, anti-technology trend is also often taken as a main tactic is the main force of China's stock market a big trick number, must consider a possibility.
1, take Fanchou is technical analysis requirements.
Big City After six months, after continuing its own run-in last week hit a recent high. Even excluding the Bank of China down prices listed on the broader market also hit a recent high. From a technical trend to see the broader market need to have a Fan Chou. This was mainly due to:
First, there are a lot of sort of relief disc blaze. By the end of May early June, near the big cities in 1695 stayed for a week or so, driven and controlled by a considerable number of investors. Bank of China has experienced tremendous oscillation issue after the bull market, suffered a very heavy blow. This time, after going through the ordeal, when the market finally has returned to its original place, a lot of the original quilt at a high level of investors, there is a strong desire to get out of trouble. Therefore, there will be a sort of relief plate popped up process. Of particular importance is the rise in the broader market, they are not out; but when the broad market decline, when they will rush out.
Second, the disc also has a profit-taking process. From June 14 onwards, the market started to rise to the present 1512, the market had already risen more than 240 points, set aside the Bank of China listed the factors that inflated, large cities have also increased by nearly 200 points. More than half have been an increase, some increase in good stocks, such as 2,3 percent of non-ferrous metal plates has been increased. This determines that there is a large city, the process of profit-plate popped up, thereby contributing to the broader market adjustment.
Therefore, from technical analysis perspective, big city of callback requests and pressure.
Second, the main trend of anti-technology habits.
Technical analysis is to determine the trend of big city, a very important factor. However, due to technical analysis has long been deeply rooted among the almost two to three years experience in stocks investors have access to considerable technical analytical skills. Thus, in certain time, the main needs for its operation will be deliberate violations of technology trends - in technology is clearly a great need for adjustment, but the opposite happens continuously increased substantially, so that the investors by surprise, and missed opportunities. Can be said that anti-technology trend, do not follow common sense out the card, is the main force of China's stock market as a usual tactic. Therefore, in the projection Quotes, apart according to technical analysis to predict, we must also consider the main do not follow common sense out the card, the possibility of anti-technology trend.
The only way to a more comprehensive and accurate grasp Quotes trend. From the development trend of the market outlook, the current largest city of accelerated possibilities. From past experience, this is the main force of China's stock market is most likely anti-technological movements stage of development. Based on this judge, we have to do more development trend of the market outlook, an estimate - that is not according to technical, walking Fan Chou, and in the sideways adjustment, immediately transferred to speed up the rising market, so as to bring the technology trends Forecast adjustment of investors, thrown from the vehicle.
3, the operation responses: the technology trend is positive selection, anti-technology as a stand-prepared to deal with two kinds of preparations.
In general, the technology trend is more reasonable and consistent with conventional, so there are opportunities to be more. Quotes from the current analysis shows that the possibility of taking Fanchou line is also relatively large. However, due to go back is to accelerate the rise in market, is most likely to take the anti-technology, Quotes, we have to prevent the main force of China's stock market the usual anti-technology trend, do not follow common sense out the card tactics.
In the operation, neither to full houses, nor their short positions, taking into account the back is to take the accelerated market, while the index of technical Fanchou fall is estimated at five to 60 points, range is limited. It is proposed that investors Bacheng about positions. Hand there are some funds are not afraid of adjustment, most of the positions they are not afraid of taking accelerated Quotes.
In order to prepare for both eventualities, but obviously the high side of the principle, to deal with China's main stock market may take two kinds of tactics to deal with the second largest city, may be different trends