|
|||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||
Data:2009-12-12 2:34
From a technical analysis point of view, a dark horse to complete the operating rules is nothing but a chip from low to high distribution of the collection process. The so-called low collection, is a certain target area, through a long period of sideways or low oscillation chips from scattered to focus on the completion of the process. Unlike in the past, now that the low collection time significantly longer than usual, tends to be covert gathering means, rather than a single day as in the past put a large number of pulled-style tactics Jiancang as intense. Single-day trading volume to more difficult to reflect the main trends.
As the current market size is widening, and the volatility of individual stocks and the market's running rhythm correlation between the more and more low, short-term volatility is difficult to reflect the trend midline. However, the Chinese and long-term graphics observation, through a period of time, a cumulative basis, the main trend was still crossing the river, such as predators, leaving the strings of ripples. As the market gradually matures, Stock volatility has little impact on the index. From the development process of countries in the world stock markets, the market maturity, the higher the volatility of individual stocks run by the broad market indexes, constraints smaller Stock Quotes
Independence is stronger, more mature market conditions to become the main features. Recalling the history of the development of China's stock market can also be clearly found in this trend.
Quotes from the previous trend in the best-performing stocks to analyze, they all have some common features: defensive stock, chips concentration, and the prices of the forward-looking, trend of independence.
Defensive stock prices, broad market decline is the main strength of a touchstone, if strong Zhuanggu, the main control of most of the chips, broader market decline will not thrown us off course and will not drift with the tide, maintain a good defensive play, especially in the broader market long period of time everywhere in the adjustment period, a stock has been able to survive an ambush which, of course with a firm optimistic and bullish, sometimes broader market effects would occur by the sudden plunge in the message, for those "a pair of little red 10000 green" in Stock may be of particular attention.
Chips of the concentration, the current market practice of using per-capita holdings to determine the degree of concentration of chips, the per capita holdings larger chips, the higher the degree of concentration, the per capita holdings less, indicating the more decentralized bargaining chips.
Quotes of the forward-looking, a successful main, market trend is bound to have an accurate grasp of a large number of good courage in the late fall Jiancang to maintain healthy stock price movements to ensure that the initial advance Quotes attack, having a hot when served its purpose and that is, the amount of good to play in advance. Strong Zhuanggu usually precede the broader market bottomed out, or sideways at a high level, with the formation of a clear departure from the broader market trend.
The independence movement, in general, if the k-line graph individual stocks is inconsistent with the broader market, then the unit involved in the operation of funds, individual stocks and the broader market trends deviate from the longer, the major strength of the stronger, a good independence from the side to prove extraordinary strength of the main force.
The main activities in the market can always leave clues, the following correction from the market of the most common phenomena start to explore the technical requirements resulting dark horse.
The importance of space-time
1. The sense of time
Under long-term observation of the trend of history, big black horse, the correction time and rise time ratio is 4:1, the absolute time long enough to consume the patience of investors, its sideways range of small, so that the vast majority of investors in sideways during the chase sell into the hard saturation compensation. Once thrown the stock, we also found the original "plague stocks" became instant eye-black horse. The operational features of China's stock market: beef short Kumanaga. If the operational status from the stocks of view, the feature does exist. Quotes from the one you can see the rising phase of individual stocks there is the time difference, the existence of this phenomenon to provide investors with more investment opportunities, but also increases the difficulty of operating stocks. On the other hand, from the market trend to see, almost every year a wave of Quotes. Dow Theory states: the index to reflect market fluctuations can be explained, and most of the acts. When the market is rising, and rising stocks increased significantly, the market adjustment, decline in stocks the same. Observations from the actual market, most stocks fluctuate in sync with the broader market, but there are some individual stocks did not keep pace with the market trend, and the movement of these stocks have some commonality study these individual stocks will help us get beyond the common market's gains, which is what we aim to explore this phenomenon lies.
2. The significance of space
Our point of view from space to temporarily defined as a consolidation, in the weekly fluctuations in k-line diagram in the range of 30% or less, time in more than six months box.
[1] [2] Next Page
The amplitude of consolidation, after consolidation of the explosive breakthrough there is a certain relationship. The smaller the oscillation amplitude during the consolidation of its explosive power, the stronger after the break; consolidation period of oscillation to increase the consumption of a breakthrough after the outbreak of energy, which, as a spring, shrinking the more tight, pop-up more effectively.
The birth of big black horse must take account of the long-term sideways, but the long-term sideways not all stocks can become a dark horse can really rise in stocks is a very small part of them.
K-line combination of volume and timing of the decision a breakthrough
1. Volume significance
In general, a dark horse before the start of volume needed to meet the requirements, only after a large number of changing hands, before the birth of the dark horse creating a sufficient condition. Movement of individual stocks in general have experienced consolidation - Active - rise - the cycle of consolidation process,
As the second phase of share price movement, that is commonly referred to as shares of activation phase, which is active in the process of volume. When the stocks are in the bottom of the incubation period, its market performance is not active, the phase of the turnover is depressed. The rise in stock prices will inevitably lead to profit-disc set with some sort of relief increased, long-short differences between the two sides increased. Correspondingly, the share price to rise further support the need for more energy, while the active volume is an objective reflection of the phenomenon of the Unit. BBI differences between the two sides share the greater the volume the greater. In theory, long-short stock price differences between the two sides should be the location of the largest regions in the consolidation of the box at the top, from the stock to run the actual situation, in the box near the top of the heavy volume on the stock price indeed a breakthrough in a certain reference value .
Active volume with the intensity of individual stocks broke out after the break, indicating the inherent strength of the market. Change hands higher, the participating investors, the more shares in a certain direction once the breakthrough, the original long-short huge differences in the victory of one party to make one-sided markets, forcing the other party to join Fan Shen, Such a joint sufficient to create a great price waves.
Results show that the cumulative period of time when the turnover reached 20% -40% or more, the stocks into the break before the critical state, which grasp the market opportunity for us to provide a better early signals.
2.k-line portfolio
When the Unit to meet the time, space, energy conditions, indicating that stock prices already in a delicate state of equilibrium, while the k line graph can give us that such a balance which of the parties tend to long-short, is highlighted in the direction of a breakthrough. A large Niugu the beginning of its birth, its various movements must be perfect, but failed to become a major Niugu stocks in the morphological trends but each have their own flaws. Study the movement of stocks from different perspectives help us to improve the chances of a successful forecast, due to k-line with the inherent characteristics of the market is highly sensitive to the actual operation of the guidance has a high value, the application k line graph can help us to judge the short-term stock price breakthrough time.
Summing up the above analysis, we can make a model to describe dark horse produced by space-time, energy, between the price of the common features:
First. Stocks over the past year or less, preferably 60% 1, the volume, breaking years of lines, monthly turnover of around 100%, Liu Tongpan large lower turnover, higher turnover Liu Tongpan small .
Second. The past six months a 30% volatility, the volatility of the smaller, the greater the intensity of a breakthrough.
Third. A breakthrough, the stock from the box at the top closer.
4th. Break before the correction box, there are k line graph pattern matching, moving average systems have been arranged into a bull.
5th. Volume with the help to improve the accuracy of a breakthrough
Previous [1] [2]
