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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Chihiro hard to find a style all their own play the stock market is actually the test of people's thinking, your thinking right, it will make money in the stock market. Why do most people the stock market losses? This is because they enter the stock market has been incorrect education, resulting in a wrong way of thinking, this erroneous thinking so that the general medium and small retail investors lose money year after year, year after year to become stuck with family. Now, we first of all wash brainwash so that you discard the original wrong way of thinking, a new way of thinking to re-enter the stock market, won the biggest gains.
One wrong mentality: play the stock market is to sell high buy low, do not chase a lot of stocks have risen to specifically buy the bottom of the unit.
The first step is buying and selling stocks stock picking, it may be how to pick stocks? You might say: buy low sell high, buy the bottom of the unit. But the end in the end there? I remember a friend just enter the market soon found a stock fell to 6 yuan from 10 yuan, he thinks the stock has dropped by nearly half, were at the bottom, and then boldly buying, one month after the stock has dropped 4 yuan more than the money, my friend thought: This time should be at the bottom, and also to raise funds to cover short positions, did not expect that not a month, the stock has slid more than a dollar, so his heart no end, and fear that stocks keep falling, in the vicinity of 3 yuan flesh out reluctantly. This is in fact, many individual friends, "bargain-hunting movement" a true portrayal. Is rarely at the bottom of the price you can imagine, imagine if the majority of people can see the bottom, then the banker to collect cheap chips where it? So remember, Do not buy cheap things, the market is not cheap can be accounted for, and if that point you have to pay the price, the most typical is time. Casual conversations, I often hear some of my friends quilt as long as two to three years time, or even longer, I would say you have come to stocks to make money, not wanted to come to long-term investment. Into the stock market, we should think about making money, thinking to maximize the improvement of capital efficiency. Then you will say, I'm not sure buy low, sell high, after all, right? From the word meaning is correct, but in practice, there are several retail Zuojiao friends can enjoy the fun, the real cast height?
Wrong mentality of the two: Buy to buy a certain amount of stock shares.
In fact, only two stages of a stock is obviously heavy volume, and one at the dealer's purchase stage, the second is at the shipping stage. Purchase phase is actually very subtle banker, and he may Powei down in heavy volume purchasing, this is generally the most difficult to grasp the stage, imagine if everyone in the Xihuo banker found, then how could the dealer to collect cheaper chips, more not talk of speculation. Since the purchase stage of bad grasp, then buy shares of the amount of shipment stage is the right time does not do?
Wrong mentality of the three: special fried message units, namely, the importance of stocks is greater than the message of the importance of the stock.
Some investors specializing in collecting friends. Inquire about what the so-called insider information, and then operate on the so-called inside information. Here we are not talking about no attention to news value, but most of us who get the message is incomplete and wrong, because the board members or Trader closely associated persons are few. The dealer hype a stock, not just by a message or one of the factors influence, he is subject to a variety of factors dictate that. Therefore, we say that play the stock market is important to see their potential, not the message, more than fundamentals.
1. The principles of stock picking
One of the principles: Do not fry on the way down the "bottom" shares (because I do not know when it is at the end, where price is at the end), choose only to establish the stock rally. Established at the rally in stocks and found that the strongest trends, the longest rally of the stock.
We are China's stock market stocks the past five years, conducted a statistical trend, reached the following conclusion: if a stock in one day reached a new high or a recent new high, then in the next 60-day period in the possibility of a new high of 70 % or more; In contrast, if a stock hit a new low in the day inside or near-term low, then he in the next 60 days time the possibility of new lows as high as 60%. Please keep in mind these conclusions , 7:3 chance of winning, why not choose on the 30th MA Angtou choose the bottom-up stock shares and take the downward path of stocks? The bottom of the channel or walk down the stock will only make you lose money or lose time.
The second principle is: Select the extension of 45-degree angle to run the stock up, while the volume gradually diminishing stocks.
Along the 45-degree angle upward trend of the stock of the most stable, the longest trend. This is the building of technical staff as we build the staircase, or close to 45 degrees 45 degrees of shape, because this is the most stable shape, so we have such characteristics of the stock as "the stairs stock." If once you found that "the stairs shares" in the trend of closer to 45-degree angle, while turnover was a gradual reduction of stocks, then you all likelihood, is the discovery of bookmakers in the corridor on the shadow of.
Principle 3: the general trend for the better when the options to buy shares of a continuous daily limit, to intervene in the stock is the most exciting of.
Since the implementation of or restrictions on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, we have been right after the daily limit follow-up study of all-cap stocks for several years, with satisfactory results. Through the past two years there have been limit-stock tracking statistics, research and analysis the following conclusions:
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1) The daily limit short-term trend
(1) rose the next day trend of share
There have been daily limit through the analysis of the stock, the highest point of the next day average or daily limit of 5.92 percent, according to the following day's closing price for the 2.86% average return, so if the daily limit short-term intervention stocks, the next day also significantly higher than the average revenue the current secondary market rate of return, even if the average return rate, annualized yield at least 65% or more.
(2) rose shares the next day and its stock price movements between high and low limit-stock next day, the trend is closely related to its stock price high or low, can be found below 7 yuan closed the day after shares of the average daily limit or more than 4%, far higher than the The average yield of 2.86%, therefore, involved in low-cost limit-share investment income will be higher. We also found that involvement of more than 20 yuan daily limit high-priced stocks are also relatively high rates of return.
(3) rose shares the next day and their movements Liu Tongpan the relationship between the size of the units in the daily limit, the flow of capital in the 3000-8000 million shares of inter-day movements better, and their average height and average rose more sharply. Perhaps the daily limit is the disk unit heavy volume may be a larger level of the main intervention, and different with the small-cap stocks (only the forces for the large) and ultra-large-cap stocks (plates too, to continue pulled a certain degree of difficulty)'s sake. Therefore, the involvement of 3000-8000 shares of the limit-plate unit, a higher rate of return.
2) The daily limit the medium-term trend analysis of stocks
The shares limit-the medium-term trend after a total of four categories: limit-up after the unilateral; limit-down after the unilateral; limit-up after the first, after a slight decline; limit-up after the first, after a slight decline. Research Unit of the medium-term trend of limit-purpose: If the intervention is not promptly after the daily limit stock selling, holding the center line, then returns by how much. We found that unilateral upstream and the first trend down slightly after rising as high as 65% of the proportion of both limit-shares over the medium-term trend line of the probability of a larger trend of stocks daily limit significantly better than other stocks. Of course, the median line for the limit-stock holdings, may also wish to refer to the broad market trend and the stock's fundamentals.
2 .. to buy shares of the Road
1) How to buy "Stairs stocks"?
Climbing the stairs of the stage of a stock is often a slow Jiancang banker early, so that gradually lead to higher stock prices, they formed the initial staircase shape, once the dealer Jiancang completed, the next step is cleared of this stock is still inside the individual. Bookmakers in the lift before Xipan two purposes: One is to reduce the time in the high retail price to the selling pressure, and the second is to increase the average holding cost, also aims to reduce the selling.
Makers Xipan there are two ways: First, fierce heavy volume Zapan; Xipan For this, you only need to Qian immediate disk (or other analysis software) point of view outside the plate number and the number of on-line within the disk, and if found to outer plate is greater than the number of the number of trays (ie, turnover is greater than the sum of the number of red-green single-single-number), will be able to prove that the dealer instead of shipping in the Xi Pan. So you only need the second Yinxian in the event of the intervention on the list, or Yinxian appear below their opening price the next day after the intervention. The second is Yindiexipan, this is generally Yindiexipan chip maker controlling their own hands, letting gravity stock. In the absence of the dealer stock purchase and then up a number of days, so many killed and more individual cases, the stock appeared Yindie trend. This is generally the intervention of the stock when the stock price two to three days straight Yindie, a dramatic drop in volume compared with the preceding paragraph that is, selling points, if it occurred after the shrinkage of 4-5 days Yinxian, do not bought.
2) How to buy shares daily limit
(1) stock for: Through the above analysis, we think we can intervene in limit-shares should be based on short-term speculation-based, and should choose low-cost (7 yuan) or high (20 or more) of the shares (Note: Low and high - At that time, as the broader market, shares the case may be), Liu Tongpan million in 3000-8000 between the stocks as the preferred target. In case of Liu Tongpan stock daily limit of about 100 million shares the next day should be timely shipments.
(2) Intervention Time: Through evaluation, individual stocks were limit-time to leave the next day, the trend set earlier the better, if a stock at the closing before the daily limit, followed by the Japanese movements are not ideal. Moreover, the majority of stocks daily limit after the disk always has a chance to open limit-board, the best time to intervene should be re-closed limit-moment.
Daily limit to buy stocks to note the following points:
(1) strong market, particularly in a day or so the stock has a daily limit of five cases, we should be bold chase circuit breakers. A very weak market, must not chase the circuit breakers, probability is relatively too small a number.
(2) chase circuit breakers - select a theme of new shares, listed a small order a few days, suddenly one day and the daily limit of Tiaokonggaokai; followed by stock selection in the bottom of a long-term consolidation, no daily limit of sharply higher; three strong stock selection Finishing up some time after the end of the strong limit-in.
(3) must be daily limit, does not meet the limit-time (one point difference is not OK) do not recover if it is found above the main there are three-digit volume to the limit-entry into the immediate recovery, action should be fast. Ruthless.
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(4) To adhere to this operation style, not between jobs, so when the market without involvement of other stocks daily limit quilt when Shouyang lost the chance to attack.
(5) The disk and timely search or list, right near the daily limit of its current price of the stock look. Liutong Pan size of the initial trends and to determine whether an object can be used as intervention. When the rose more than 9% buy should be well prepared in case the main large single letters daily limit and will not buy.
(6) to recover into the release of the stock that day, the turnover is not too large, usually 1-2 times the previous day is appropriate, can be opened half an hour later in the day simply calculated.
(7) the entire plate to start, it is necessary to recover the first limit-namely, the leader in large or very strong bull market, especially, it is necessary to recover the first one to catch the daily limit.
3) Ask the Road
Dished out a stock must remember to throw it up, do not see it go down again when the thought of throwing it, and in general a stock even after the pull-3 in Yang Xian, after considering the short time to throw to.
1) "staircase shares" selling point
"Staircase shares" increased by a high degree, usually after the first time it Zhencang twice the length of pre-movement, that is exactly Zhencang point increase in the angle of the midpoint at the staircase. Also need to pay close attention to changes in volume, once a row (at least three trading days or more) of heavy volume, we should note that stands ready to make out.
2) The daily limit the time to sell shares
(1) will see average person, then when the 5 moving average can go flat or turn immediately throw the stock, or macd indicators Hongzhu shortening or during times be immediately thrown away.
(2) do not look at technical indicators, if the daily limit again the next day about 30 minutes while daring to hold. If not daily limit, it increased over time, the share price a few days when the platform is adjusted to be immediately thrown can also be ascribed to throw the next day.
(3) to recover into the stock, if after three days is not up, it could be thrown in order to avoid delays in planes or depth of stuck.
(4) Quotes downturn for some non-limit-shares, once a strong rebound or reversal will be to recover the first daily limit, and stock market outlook is very likely that the leader, even if the intensity of reaction is also much larger than that of other stocks.
4) Recommendation
I suggest you just fried the future of these two types of stocks on the list, in accordance with operating profits above a certain operation of high style. The first is found in the Ruoshi "stairs stocks", collecting up to make the center line, once a stable trend, it will be to climb. The second trend is a good time to buy stocks daily limit, followed by bookmakers make daily limit, to do short-term. If you have stock for the daily limit was impervious to eat, or not sure, then the short positions a little more time, insist on waiting for grasping daily limit of 7 yuan the following shares of stocks, generally 50-100% rise over the year as long as seize 3 just enough.
In addition, we hope that you will in the short-term combination of stocks and holding the center line for 2 - 5 months, short-term holding time is 3 - 7 days, the proportion of funds in the short-term is best for the 6:4 (that is, possession of midline share capital 60 %, short-term stock funds hold 40%).
Stocks is actually that simple. The above method is simple but its magic include the stock of energy, price, quantity, when the four elements, implies an infinite truth, are cut into the main Shenglang is hard to find a style all their own Chihiro
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