Category: Money Tips Date: 2006-09-03
Source: Author: abnormal warm winter
Recently, I have always thought that in nature there is Fanchou rebound, but has yet to rebound, but is all the way down. That feeling is like in late May, I am worried that tape will be diving every day, the result is a slightly broader market climbed, this time the constant increase in the number of institutions and market participants to the high expectations, but it was finally jumped June 7th come. I believe that this may in turn the broader market should rebound in the technology is not up anti-down, and constantly searching down to explore, suddenly one day the broader market began to rise continuously. By then, you will not tell me, my hands already sold the stock, and flesh for sale, then will not dare to enter. My current view is that the broader market to rebound at least, space is still set at 1630 points in the vicinity. Space for the current market's point of view, this space in a rebound enough. That is to say, even if the broader market decline, then the short-term at this time is the time to buy sets.
To this day, I deliberately took the time at noon with "short-term it is to consider buying a time", published out of time is at 1:12 p.m. on the 14th, pointing out that the current approach is to consider the initiative, take to buy sets of psychological, short-term approach can be considered. If you accept my point of view, 10 minutes after 1512 saw the low point of the day, to close at 1531 points, bits, most of the stocks, fees should have been out, but we were not fitted.
Let me reiterate, I have some of the points at noon to carry out some additional observations. Stocks in a row after two days of urgent Su Liang, not only failed to rebound, but was brought down again. We believe that this is the ICBC IPO-related news and related reactions. So how do you view this issue? First of all, the market expansion concerns. Since the IPO launched, the expansion speed, so that the investing public that is reminiscent of past Banded Ze and the fish have dried up a "means for misappropriating" phenomenon, this time has been as panicky reactions are extreme pessimism Kong Huangpan with blaze and further exacerbate the the short-term oversold technical oversold or should we say, pay attention to this pattern is a bullish broad market big oversold, easy to trigger oversold bounce. Secondly, we can see all sorts of criticisms from the media, management hopes the stock market up, but do not want to soaring, but even more do not want to fall, especially fall. Xinhua News Agency in early May to associate two articles, we can understand the management does not want the stock market soaring. If the broader market decline on the stock market is definitely negative, then the high-quality large cap stocks return to A shares, will be more distant, to support national economic development, thus resulting in reduced force, which is obviously the management do not want to see. Finally, today's renewed decline in the management of the investing public in the stock market has not yet stabilized, they speed up the expansion of a potential dissatisfaction of anger.
The face of short-term stock market plunge, since it is not management want, then there are ways to do? Or will think of a way? I think that management's hands, there is a "brand" to play, some of the positive out of the policy or will soon introduced. We recall that when management is strongly encouraged to guide the compliance market funds What is time? Margin What is the time to talk about more? What is the point position at the time? Margin is the end of last year and the beginning of the year, when almost every day on the news of margin trading. At that time the view generally is that margin trading as the IPO matching measures, and now Bank of China released just around the corner, and the Bank of China on the formation of mass destruction has been a huge market, timely introduction of margin trading is necessary. It is worth emphasizing that, they may go out of financing. In addition, the July 1 may be partly to achieve T +0 and amplification Price Limits, which may also appear in the recent news of the pilot.
Non-ferrous metals short kinetic energy will become weaker, despite the non-ferrous metal stocks affected by the commodity futures plummeted, especially in Shanghai copper has emerged three consecutive daily limit, but some individual stocks have been shown, following Monday's strong rebound requirements, today's non-ferrous metal stocks G-yun copper gone against the tide rose, combined with Monday's dry non-ferrous metal stocks move, you can think this is a spark, there is the possibility of a prairie fire. But only one of the main self-help process, pay attention to the risk of rebound, remains forgotten.
Plate facing the real estate rebound. In the management of continuing a policy of repression of public opinion and the media, under a strong, real estate shares since June 7 in the broader market continued to fall sharply, showing significant resilience, it is necessary to know the real estate stocks after the formation is relatively weak. Also, what is the commercial housing market, passing the message? June 14, according to "China News" message, the National Development and Reform Commission, the National Bureau of Statistics survey released today shows that in May of this year, China's 70 large and medium cities housing sales price rose 5.8 percent, or 0.2 percentage points higher than the previous month. That being the case, then, has been fully adjusted to the real estate section, up is not normal?
Power sector is likely to rise in the tariff expected, out of the wave of the highs. Today, G Long electrical performance visible, combined with its shape, its short-term is expected to continue to rebound and become the engine of the power section.
Issue price of bank shares by the Bank of China is currently trading close to the valuation of the level of bank shares, so that the valuation of the level of bank shares has a new frame of reference, is expected to boost the sector, the collective strength.
The individual stocks, the number of individual stocks has recently been adjusted, has been transferred to 60-day line, and even adjusted to the 120-day line, which is very important. This bull market is seen as a mid-level to adjust the level of completion. Especially the broad market since June 7 drop heavy volume after the middle of the lack of rebound in the amount of a sustained decline in three trading days is a better proof, so that may be so broad market plunge Suliang adjustment time (in my mid-May predicted that broad market peaked, you may have to adjust more than two months). How do passengers do not always care is necessary, I suggest that practice is a rebound in the market's future to 1630, when near the first exit to wait and see what, if factors such as the amount of energy and continued with the hot spots, then re-select into high-quality stocks will get good benefits.
To sum up, the broader market bull market circumstances, the continuous decline, should not be fear, sell stocks, so a continuous decline, in theory, would create more rebound opportunities. Investors are advised shareholders to be short-term rebound.
