Category: Money tips Release Date: 2006-10-25
2005 was an unusual year, the stock has not only seen 8-year low, and has been troubled by the market-tradable shares started. Quotes tail end of Alice brought a glimmer of hope for investors in 2006, the general trend of how to run? The market will focus on the theme of what to invest? Which industries are agencies who focus on individual stocks? Recently with the Galaxy, CITIC, peace, Everbright, Haitong days relative to investment in securities and 10 securities-based research institute launched in 2006 the stock market investment strategy report, will be our 2006 stock market investment advice and suggestions. Trend articles: unilateral City, it is hard for With an organization for the broader market in 2006 to run a specific interval and point and there are differences, but agreed that it is hard for unilateral City market, which appears broader market is difficult to unilateral upward bull market, there is also very difficult to decrease the adverse trend of unilateral .
Range: 900-1500 between the
Tape from each agency's forecast operating point and point of view, a larger drop, pessimistic may fall below 1000 points, optimistic expectations may be closer to 1,500 points, shock as much as 600 points.
CITIC Securities believes that next year's A-share market will remain at low levels. 1000-1300 points may still be the main running interval. Once again below 1000 points, the possibility also exist. In the process of shaking up and down each volatility also in the 200 or so.
Everbright Securities is expected in 2006, Chinese A-share market will fall through a vent to the end concentration of 5-year bear market trend continued throughout the year on the Shanghai Composite Index to 1,000 points for the U-axis show the trend.
Days relative to investment is that the index throughout the year 1000 points to 1400 points, to run between the broader market will not fall below 1000 points, but also difficult to break through 1,400 points.
Ping An Securities was more optimistic that after July 2001 to July 2005, after four years of decline, the stock market has been transferred to up-cycle. The current consolidation process around the end of the Spring Festival in 2006, after which will start a new round of upside market, in 2006 the Shanghai index could reach 1,500-point level. But by the macroeconomic impact of the nature of Quotes Quotes may be similar in 1999, as ferocious and go haste.
Low: the possibility of a larger year
Quotes of the lows for the year, individual institutions are not large differences in virtually unanimous agreement that the Quotes of the year appears likely low. For example, Everbright Securities Quotes showed that the whole U-, mid-year low of nature; and days may be low relative to investment that Wu Liuyue or so; Hai Tong Securities believes that the second quarter, when there is a low Quote.
For the broader market in 2006 caused by the reasons for low test a low, institutions have agreed that the culprit will be the "new from the old." In accordance with the progress of the majority of the shares of listed companies, reform proposals will be launched in the first quarter of 2006, state-owned large-cap stocks once the share reform completed, the whole market is naturally entered a new from the old stage, expansion of the pressure will be on the market, a major form shock. With the decline of the vent, due to the level of the overall market valuation has been and international standards, most organizations that fall will provide investors with an opportunity to intervene, with the IPO, the market release of the psychological pressure will gradually rebound.
Opportunities: the second half of the time
More Quotes Since 2006 is the main shock, CITIC, Everbright and the days are equal agency believes that the larger band in 2006 there will be increased opportunities for twice, once early in the year, while another in the second half more likely to .
For the beginning of possible market, their main reasons for supporting the annual "two sessions," From a historical point of view, "two sessions" held during the period, the market is really on a relatively strong rally. Hai Tong Securities believes that the market will remain at the beginning of an active atmosphere, mainly due to the advance of share reform. At present, most of the listed company's share reform program will be launched in the first quarter of 2006, stock reform Major Holders effects will maintain the confidence of investors, shareholders, active markets, especially in the petrochemical industry, China Unicom stocks of large capitalization stocks state-owned enterprises reform.
Quotes for the second half of the production, it is because after years of stuck low, the market release of the "new old", the pressure of a lower level after the valuation, with the psychological pressure release, foreign mergers and acquisitions to accelerate the trade surplus continues to growth, to bring the appreciation of the value of assets revaluation, etc., the market may rise again if the economic growth better than expected, the market may be completely out of disk Bureau.
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