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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
1, love with the opposite theory. In fact, a collapse of the market in more than 90% of the time people are desperate panic, and the remaining 9% of the time is rebound, and sideways, only 1% of the time are the extremes meet, when the situation improves. However, many people (especially those involving deep-City did not professional stocks persons), at every turn is the "market is panic," and "people are desperate," so, the "big end is coming," and so forth. Poor they are playing a probability of only 1% less than the bet! On the contrary theory is in fact is a standard "hindsight" type of theory, after summing up, no one to take for granted, but from my experience, I have never seen people around me have an accurate application of the contrary theory had already had some success people! Of course, saying that the bottom one hundred times or almost every week saying that big at the end of those who always want to come to Mongolia right time. In fact, this inner logic is simple: Do not put itself above the top of the market, thinking that others are smarter than that.
2, using previous experience. The stock market there is a very important feature is that each price and down, are not the same. But people always like to use previous experience to set now. For example, a row, is now 10 weeks, so next week, how how. Every time the stock market moves will give you a new lesson.
3, early action. Down city, is also a test of human nature. The face of continuous or cities, the temptation to continue. So the trend reversal signals ranging from early admission. The outcome of his thoughts clearly. One user said well, Shouyang broken arms and legs broken legs itch.
4, whenever possible fluctuations. Some people always thought, I was professional investors, continuous short positions me to the stock market doing? So every day, staring at the disk, which day there is a red line can not be themselves. In fact, a bear market rally that only about 10% of the operational meaning, the rest of the rebound is not operational meaning. Have never experienced a bear market more than two in particular, 1993-1994, 2001 or the second half of the city people would not understand this sentence.
5, has always been further reduced in a rebound when the pound, especially always want the highest point in the rally and then out. The result is that the more sets deeper. These people did not mind the concept of stop-loss. In fact, to do so or, as above said, doing a small probability event. Bear market in a famous statement: "at any time throw is correct." This is the 1993-1994, 2001, the slump in the second half of the number of sharp lesson in return. But then someone always repeated to pay such high tuition fees.