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Data:2009-12-12 2:34
Source: Wang Tian Guo Hai Securities
Is expected to be the biggest bad bad his statement Monday be verified.
Recently, the market expected the central bank increases interest rates persist. However, the central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan 23 in Switzerland, Bank for International Settlements in Brussels attending the annual meeting, said that although China has to adjust interest rates, but inflation is likely to rise further, it may further tighten money supply. When asked about the issue of further rate hikes, Zhou said, "I do not rule out such a possibility," and pointed out that economic growth in the second quarter is likely to slow.
Experience, yet if the rate hike out of the market will be cashed bad bad attitude, after the stock index opened lower, but the chances of higher. Originally the market expected the central bank's rate hike had been there, and central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan made it clear that does not rule out further monetary tightening, which rather increased in the current market expectations for interest rates is usually expected in the most lethal, bad, and then the short-term impact on the market, is the main reason for today's broad market plunge.
From the disk of view, Monday stocks an extensive area as the lower limit of the tragic, the two cities together, I only the lower limit of about 500 individual stocks (ST exception). However, we see that the core indicators of the overall shares firmed, as China Merchants Bank, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, China Ping An, Sany Heavy Industry, etc. to continue to record, the greatest heavyweight ICBC and Bank of China, or less than 2%, making the majority of individual stocks fell more than tape.
Tape last Friday and Monday for two days straight sharp decline, the market is generally considered that the double-headed form of tape. In this regard, I think that experience, most people's point of view is often wrong, otherwise why the realization of the main ship, and secondly, take a step back, the broader market even if the formation of double-headed, the main struggle should have a process in which tape theory will be repeated. In addition, the bull market, stocks fell after two consecutive trading days after the sell into kinetic energy are substantially weakened, rebounded demand increase as well.
Disk from the current point of view, through a continuous drop in market confidence has been dealt a heavy blow, operability reduced. I have found that some stocks last week, with a warrant to take the initiative this week, a decline in investment opportunities or to be the first to appear. Proposed to focus on Sinochem International (600.5 thousand).
I believe that the crash was believed to be the main stock warrants to absorb and intentionally suppressed results. Such as Sinochem International (600.5 thousand) from May 21 the highest price of 22.74 yuan, the callback to June 5 of the low 12.75 yuan, the biggest drop of 43.93%. While the broad market over the same period from 4336 to the lowest point of the callback 3404, the biggest drop of 21.49%. Sinochem International fell more than broad market decline over the same period more than doubled. The June 5, the Sinochem International 12.75 yuan starting from the lowest to the highest June 20 rebounded to 19.46 yuan, the biggest rebound margin of 52.63%, while the broader market over the same period a rebound from 3404 to 4312 was the highest point, the biggest rebound margin of 26.67%, nearly double the broader market rebounded by more than! Warrant a backlash over the same period was as high as 66.78%. Thus, Sinochem International plummeted acute rebound rate significantly ahead of the broader market, while the C of E or higher on the tape, believed to be the main suppression is involved in stock warrants, which are shares of the pressure, creating a more Sinochem International significant investment value.
Sinochem International (600.5 thousand) is the 300 constituent stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen, but also the constituent stocks on the SSE 180 is a typical blue-chip image. Company is the world's top 500 Chinese Sinochem Corporation's sole listed company, the future is expected to inject a strong presence, the company holds 100 million shares of Bank of Communications and 476 million shares of stock Xinan, value-added very considerable.
Technically, the unit shares sexually active, gapped closed April 30 at the limit-May 8 Tiaokonggaokai, May 9 back pressure, May 10 and 11, heavy volume rose, May 12 The maximum can be seen 22.74 yuan, after a few days rest, May 30 suddenly raised the stamp duty, encounter bad, the unit straight down, the minimum detection to 12.75 yuan, the most significant or as high as 44%. Experience, the major usually a self-help process. Starting from June 5, shares of the biggest gains of 52.63%, while in the June 19 period of the main re-use out of the way the firm unexpectedly closed in the daily limit, after the recent Su Liang callback and re-charged to 60-day line, projected short-term will once again start around the 60-day line of retaliatory reaction, it is recommended to focus on.